Better null models for assessing predictive accuracy of disease models

• Alexander C. Keyel ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: alexander.keyel@health.ny.gov

  Affiliations Division of Infectious Diseases, Wadsworth Center, New York State Department of Health, Albany, NY, United States of America, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5256-6274

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• A. Marm Kilpatrick

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Supervision, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States of America

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