Mathematical modeling of pneumococcal transmission dynamics in response to PCV13 infant vaccination in Germany predicts increasing IPD burden due to serotypes included in next-generation PCVs

• Matthias Horn ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: matthias.horn@imise.uni-leipzig.de

  Affiliation Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany

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• Christian Theilacker,

  Roles Conceptualization, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Pfizer Pharma GmbH, Berlin, Germany

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• Ralf Sprenger,

  Roles Conceptualization, Investigation, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Pfizer Pharma GmbH, Berlin, Germany

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• Christof von Eiff,

  Roles Conceptualization, Investigation, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Pfizer Pharma GmbH, Berlin, Germany

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• Ernestine Mahar,

  Roles Investigation, Supervision, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Pfizer Pharma GmbH, Berlin, Germany

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• Julia Schiffner-Rohe,

  Roles Conceptualization, Investigation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Pfizer Pharma GmbH, Berlin, Germany

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• Mathias W. Pletz,

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Institute for Infectious Diseases and Infection Control, Jena University Hospital, Jena, Germany

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8157-2753

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• Mark van der Linden,

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Institute of Medical Microbiology, German National Reference Centre for Streptococci, University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany

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• Markus Scholz

  Roles Conceptualization, Investigation, Methodology, Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4059-1779

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