Combining predictive models with future change scenarios can produce credible forecasts of COVID-19 futures

• Ken Newcomb,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Global Health Infectious Disease Research, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7468-4079

  ⨯
• Shakir Bilal,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Global Health Infectious Disease Research, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4425-0805

  ⨯
• Edwin Michael

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: emichael443@usf.edu

  Affiliation Global Health Infectious Disease Research, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, United States of America

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9473-4245

  ⨯