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Open Access
Peer-reviewed
Research Article
Mathematically aggregating experts’ predictions of possible futures
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A. M. Hanea,
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
⨯ -
D. P. Wilkinson,
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Software, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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M. McBride,
Roles Methodology, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
⨯ - A. Lyon,
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D. van Ravenzwaaij,
Roles Methodology, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Faculty of Behavioural and Social Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
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F. Singleton Thorn,
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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C. Gray,
Roles Data curation, Software
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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D. R. Mandel,
Roles Methodology, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation Cognimotive Consulting Inc., Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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A. Willcox,
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Software
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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E. Gould,
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Methodology, Software, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
⨯ -
E. T. Smith,
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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F. Mody,
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
⨯ -
M. Bush,
Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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F. Fidler,
Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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H. Fraser,
Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
⨯ - [ ... ],
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B. C. Wintle
Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing
Affiliation MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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Mathematically aggregating experts’ predictions of possible futures
- A. M. Hanea,
- D. P. Wilkinson,
- M. McBride,
- A. Lyon,
- D. van Ravenzwaaij,
- F. Singleton Thorn,
- C. Gray,
- D. R. Mandel,
- A. Willcox,
- E. Gould
![PLOS](/resource/img/logo-plos.png)
- Published: September 2, 2021
- https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0256919