Simple discrete-time self-exciting models can describe complex dynamic processes: A case study of COVID-19

• Raiha Browning ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: raihatuitaura.browning@qut.edu.au

  Affiliations School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia, Australian Research Council, Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Brisbane, Australia

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6175-2244

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• Deborah Sulem,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

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• Kerrie Mengersen ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Kerrie Mengersen, Vincent Rivoirard, Judith Rousseau

  Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia, Australian Research Council, Centre of Excellence for Mathematical and Statistical Frontiers, Brisbane, Australia

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• Vincent Rivoirard ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Kerrie Mengersen, Vincent Rivoirard, Judith Rousseau

  Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Ceremade, Université Paris-Dauphine, Paris, France

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• Judith Rousseau

  Contributed equally to this work with: Kerrie Mengersen, Vincent Rivoirard, Judith Rousseau

  Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, Ceremade, Université Paris-Dauphine, Paris, France

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