Modelling the initial epidemic trends of COVID-19 in Italy, Spain, Germany, and France

• Kai Wang ,

  Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  ¶‡ These authors share first authorship on this work

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Key Laboratory for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430030, China

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• Lin Ding ,

  Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  ¶‡ These authors share first authorship on this work

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Key Laboratory for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430030, China

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• Yu Yan ,

  Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  ¶‡ These authors share first authorship on this work

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Key Laboratory for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430030, China

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• Chengguqiu Dai ,

  Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  ¶‡ These authors share first authorship on this work

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Key Laboratory for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430030, China

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• Minghan Qu ,

  Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  ¶‡ These authors share first authorship on this work

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Key Laboratory for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430030, China

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• Dong Jiayi,

  Roles Data curation, Formal analysis

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Key Laboratory for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430030, China

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2735-3653

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• Xingjie Hao

  Roles Funding acquisition, Project administration, Supervision, Validation

  * E-mail: xingjie@hust.edu.cn

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Key Laboratory for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430030, China

  https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1535-9860

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