Data-driven study of the COVID-19 pandemic via age-structured modelling and prediction of the health system failure in Brazil amid diverse intervention strategies

• Askery Canabarro ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Askery Canabarro, Elayne Tenório, Renato Martins, Laís Martins, Samuraí Brito, Rafael Chaves

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: askery.canabarro@arapiraca.ufal.br

  Affiliations International Institute of Physics, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, RN, Brazil, Grupo de Física da Matéria Condensada, Núcleo de Ciências Exatas—NCEx, Campus Arapiraca, Universidade Federal de Alagoas, Arapiraca, AL, Brazil

  http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5048-2317

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• Elayne Tenório ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Askery Canabarro, Elayne Tenório, Renato Martins, Laís Martins, Samuraí Brito, Rafael Chaves

  Roles Conceptualization, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Hospital Santa Casa de Misericórdia de Maceió, Maceió, AL, Brazil

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• Renato Martins ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Askery Canabarro, Elayne Tenório, Renato Martins, Laís Martins, Samuraí Brito, Rafael Chaves

  Roles Investigation, Methodology

  Affiliation HIV/AIDS Testing and Counseling Center, Itaberaba, BA, Brazil

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• Laís Martins ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Askery Canabarro, Elayne Tenório, Renato Martins, Laís Martins, Samuraí Brito, Rafael Chaves

  Roles Investigation, Methodology

  Affiliation Superior School of Health Science, Brasília, DF, Brazil

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• Samuraí Brito ,

  Contributed equally to this work with: Askery Canabarro, Elayne Tenório, Renato Martins, Laís Martins, Samuraí Brito, Rafael Chaves

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation International Institute of Physics, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, RN, Brazil

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• Rafael Chaves

  Contributed equally to this work with: Askery Canabarro, Elayne Tenório, Renato Martins, Laís Martins, Samuraí Brito, Rafael Chaves

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations International Institute of Physics, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, RN, Brazil, School of Science and Technology, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, Natal, Brazil

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