Assessment of the outbreak risk, mapping and infection behavior of COVID-19: Application of the autoregressive integrated-moving average (ARIMA) and polynomial models

• Hamid Reza Pourghasemi ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: hr.pourghasemi@shirazu.ac.ir (HRP); bheidari@shirazu.ac.ir (BH)

  Affiliation Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran

  http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-2998

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• Soheila Pouyan,

  Roles Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Writing – original draft

  Affiliation Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran

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• Zakariya Farajzadeh,

  Roles Formal analysis, Investigation, Software, Validation, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Agricultural Economics, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran

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• Nitheshnirmal Sadhasivam,

  Roles Visualization, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Geography, School of Earth Science, Bharathidasan University, Tiruchirappalli, Tamil Nadu, India

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• Bahram Heidari ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: hr.pourghasemi@shirazu.ac.ir (HRP); bheidari@shirazu.ac.ir (BH)

  Affiliation Department of Plant Production and Genetics, School of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran

  http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5856-4592

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• Sedigheh Babaei,

  Roles Software, Visualization, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran

  http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4138-0658

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• John P. Tiefenbacher

  Roles Supervision, Visualization, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Geography, Texas State University, San Marcos, Texas, United States of America

  http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9342-6550

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