Quantifying early COVID-19 outbreak transmission in South Africa and exploring vaccine efficacy scenarios

• Zindoga Mukandavire,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Centre for Data Science, Coventry University, Coventry, United Kingdom, School of Computing, Electronics and Mathematics, Coventry University, Coventry, United Kingdom

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• Farai Nyabadza,

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa

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• Noble J. Malunguza,

  Roles Conceptualization, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Insurance and Actuarial Science, National University of Science and Technology, Bulawayo, Zimbabwe

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• Diego F. Cuadros,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Department of Geography and Geographic Information Science, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, United States of America, Health Geography and Disease Modeling Laboratory, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, United States of America

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• Tinevimbo Shiri,

  Roles Conceptualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, England, United Kingdom

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• Godfrey Musuka

  Roles Conceptualization, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: gm2660@cumc.columbia.edu

  Affiliation ICAP at Columbia University, Harare, Zimbabwe

  http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9077-4429

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