Quantifying uncertainty about future antimicrobial resistance: Comparing structured expert judgment and statistical forecasting methods

• Abigail R. Colson ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: abigail.colson@strath.ac.uk

  Affiliations Department of Management Science, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy, Washington, DC, United States of America

  http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3241-5855

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• Itamar Megiddo,

  Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Department of Management Science, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy, Washington, DC, United States of America

  http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8391-6660

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• Gerardo Alvarez-Uria,

  Roles Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Infectious Diseases, Rural Development Trust Hospital, Bathalapalli, Andhra Pradesh, India

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• Sumanth Gandra,

  Roles Methodology, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Department of Management Science, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy, Washington, DC, United States of America

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• Tim Bedford,

  Roles Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Management Science, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom

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• Alec Morton,

  Roles Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Management Science, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom

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• Roger M. Cooke,

  Roles Methodology, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, United States of America, TU Delft, Delft, The Netherlands

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• Ramanan Laxminarayan

  Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Department of Management Science, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy, Washington, DC, United States of America, Princeton Environmental Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America

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