Accounting for skill in trend, variability, and autocorrelation facilitates better multi-model projections: Application to the AMOC and temperature time series

• Roman Olson,

  Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliations Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea, Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, South Korea, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea

  http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8233-9467

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• Soon-Il An ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  * E-mail: sian@yonsei.ac.kr

  Affiliation Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea

  http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0003-429X

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• Yanan Fan,

  Roles Conceptualization, Investigation, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation School of Mathematics and Statistics, UNSW Australia, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

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• Jason P. Evans

  Roles Conceptualization, Investigation, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre for Excellence in Climate Extremes, UNSW Australia, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

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