Application of a Combined Model with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN) in Forecasting Hepatitis Incidence in Heng County, China

Wudi Wei; Junjun Jiang; Hao Liang; Lian Gao; Bingyu Liang; Jiegang Huang; Ning Zang; Yanyan Liao; Jun Yu; Jingzhen Lai; Fengxiang Qin; Jinming Su; Li Ye; Hui Chen

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0156768

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Research Article

Application of a Combined Model with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN) in Forecasting Hepatitis Incidence in Heng County, China

Wudi Wei ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Wudi Wei, Junjun Jiang

Affiliation Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Junjun Jiang ,

Contributed equally to this work with: Wudi Wei, Junjun Jiang

Affiliation Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Hao Liang,

Affiliations Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China, Guangxi Collaborative Innovation Center for Biomedicine, Guangxi Medical Research Center, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Lian Gao,

Affiliation Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Heng County 530300, Guangxi, China
⨯
Bingyu Liang,

Affiliation Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Jiegang Huang,

Affiliation Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Ning Zang,

Affiliations Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China, Guangxi Collaborative Innovation Center for Biomedicine, Guangxi Medical Research Center, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Yanyan Liao,

Affiliations Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China, Guangxi Collaborative Innovation Center for Biomedicine, Guangxi Medical Research Center, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Jun Yu,

Affiliation Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Jingzhen Lai,

Affiliation Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Fengxiang Qin,

Affiliation Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Jinming Su,

Affiliation Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Li Ye ,

* E-mail: chenhui680804@163.com (HC); yeli@gxmu.edu.cn (LY)

Affiliations Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment & Guangxi Universities Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Highly Prevalent Disease, School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China, Guangxi Collaborative Innovation Center for Biomedicine, Guangxi Medical Research Center, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯
Hui Chen

* E-mail: chenhui680804@163.com (HC); yeli@gxmu.edu.cn (LY)

Affiliation Geriatrics Digestion Department of Internal Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi, China
⨯

Application of a Combined Model with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN) in Forecasting Hepatitis Incidence in Heng County, China

Wudi Wei,
Junjun Jiang,
Hao Liang,
Lian Gao,
Bingyu Liang,
Jiegang Huang,
Ning Zang,
Yanyan Liao,
Jun Yu,
Jingzhen Lai

Published: June 3, 2016
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0156768

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