Estimating the Probability of a Major Outbreak from the Timing of Early Cases: An Indeterminate Problem?

Open Access

Peer-reviewed

Research Article

Meggan E. Craft ,

* E-mail: craft@umn.edu

Affiliations Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom, Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, Minnesota, United States of America
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Hawthorne L. Beyer,

Affiliations Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom, ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
⨯
Daniel T. Haydon

Affiliation Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
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