A Simple Stochastic Model with Environmental Transmission Explains Multi-Year Periodicity in Outbreaks of Avian Flu

• Rong-Hua Wang,

  Affiliations Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shan'xi, People's Republic of China, Spatial Ecology Department, the Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Yerseke, The Netherlands

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• Zhen Jin,

  Affiliation Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shan'xi, People's Republic of China

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• Quan-Xing Liu,

  Affiliation Spatial Ecology Department, the Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Yerseke, The Netherlands

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• Johan van de Koppel,

  Affiliation Spatial Ecology Department, the Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Yerseke, The Netherlands

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• David Alonso

  * E-mail: dalonso@ceab.csic.es

  Affiliations Community and Conservation Ecology Group, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands, Center for Advanced Studies, Spanish Council for Scientific Research, Blanes, Catalunya, Spain

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