Weather, Not Climate, Defines Distributions of Vagile Bird Species

April E. Reside; Jeremy J. VanDerWal; Alex S. Kutt; Genevieve C. Perkins

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0013569

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Research Article

Weather, Not Climate, Defines Distributions of Vagile Bird Species

April E. Reside ,

* E-mail: april.reside@gmail.com

Affiliations Climate Adaptation Flagship and Ecosystem Sciences, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Townsville, Queensland, Australia, Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia
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Jeremy J. VanDerWal,

Affiliation Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia
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Alex S. Kutt,

Affiliation Climate Adaptation Flagship and Ecosystem Sciences, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Townsville, Queensland, Australia
⨯
Genevieve C. Perkins

Affiliation Climate Adaptation Flagship and Ecosystem Sciences, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Townsville, Queensland, Australia
⨯

Weather, Not Climate, Defines Distributions of Vagile Bird Species

April E. Reside,
Jeremy J. VanDerWal,
Alex S. Kutt,
Genevieve C. Perkins

Published: October 22, 2010
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0013569

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Hypothesis vs Prediction

Posted by pkstrode on 24 Oct 2010 at 13:58 GMT

We hypothesized that short-term weather associated with the time a species was recorded should be superior to long-term climate measures for predicting distributions of mobile species.
http://plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0013569#article1.front1.article-meta1.abstract1.sec1.p1

This statement is misrepresented as a hypothesis. The statement is a prophecy and predicts what SHOULD happen if the hypothesis is valid. The hypothesis of this study is that weather is better at describing bird species distribution than climate. If this is valid, then the prediction should follow.

No competing interests declared.

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Weather, Not Climate, Defines Distributions of Vagile Bird Species

Weather, Not Climate, Defines Distributions of Vagile Bird Species

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Hypothesis vs Prediction

Posted by pkstrode on 24 Oct 2010 at 13:58 GMT