About the Authors

Christopher Jackson

Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

‡ These authors are joint senior authors on this work

Affiliation MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Alexandra L. J. Freeman

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Alex.freeman@maths.cam.ac.uk

‡ These authors are joint senior authors on this work

Affiliation Department of Pure Mathematics & Mathematical Statistics, Winton Centre for Risk & Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Zśofia Szlamka

Roles Data curation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Department of Pure Mathematics & Mathematical Statistics, Winton Centre for Risk & Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

David J. Spiegelhalter

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Department of Pure Mathematics & Mathematical Statistics, Winton Centre for Risk & Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.