About the Authors

Ross Corkrey

scorkrey@utas.edu.au

Affiliation Tasmanian Institute of Agriculture/School of Agricultural Science, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

June Olley

Affiliation Tasmanian Institute of Agriculture/School of Agricultural Science, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

David Ratkowsky

Affiliation Tasmanian Institute of Agriculture/School of Agricultural Science, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

Tom McMeekin

Affiliation Tasmanian Institute of Agriculture/School of Agricultural Science, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

Tom Ross

Affiliation Tasmanian Institute of Agriculture/School of Agricultural Science, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Author Contributions

Analyzed the data: RC. Designed the Bayesian model: RC. Wrote the first and final drafts: RC. Contributed thermodynamic knowledge: JO TR DR. Developed the previous thermodynamic model: JO TR DR. Proposed a Bayesian approach: JO. Contributed tables: DR. Critical input, interpretation and literature: TM. Provided priors: TR.