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Table 1.

Established explanations for public support and political mobilization.

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Table 1 Expand

Table 2.

Dependent variable question wording and answer categories.

The survey data and question wording was translated from a conjoint survey experiment in Switzerland [95].

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Table 2 Expand

Table 3.

Conjoint attributes and randomized attribute levels and their relation to the proposed CO2 act on which the public voted.

The survey data and question wording were translated from a conjoint survey experiment in Switzerland [95].

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Table 3 Expand

Fig 1.

Model performance using ROC area under the curve for public support and political mobilization using experimental and non-experimental data in forest and XGBoost machine-learning models with and without PCA dimensionality reduction.

Dots with error bars represent out-of-fold performance on the training data, and triangles represent out-of-sample performance.

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Fig 1 Expand

Fig 2.

Permutation-based variable importance scores using the tuned random forest model with PCA.

The box and violin plots display the distribution of cross-entropy loss for a given variable for 50 permuted samples from the observed data to account for uncertainty associated with predictions.

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Fig 2 Expand

Fig 3.

Permutation-based variable importance scores using the tuned random forest model with all individual predictors.

Dots represent the mean cross-entropy loss for a given variable for 50 permuted samples for the observed data to account for the uncertainty associated with the importance of predictions.

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Fig 3 Expand