Less negative impacts of climate change on crop yields in West Africa in the new CMIP6 climate simulations ensemble
Fig 5
Relative change in the number of years of crop failure for the varieties of 90 days with and without [CO2] in West Africa under RCP45/SSP2-4.5 scenario for a near term (2035–2064) as compared with the reference period (1975–2004) in CMIP5, CMIP6 and the difference between CMIP6 and CMIP5 models.
A crop failure is defined as a year with a simulated yield below the 10% quantile of historical yields. Areas with significant changes with 95% confidence level are represented (bootstrap method).