Application of ARIMA, and hybrid ARIMA Models in predicting and forecasting tuberculosis incidences among children in Homa Bay and Turkana Counties, Kenya

Stephen Siamba; Argwings Otieno; Julius Koech

doi:10.1371/journal.pdig.0000084

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Open Access

Peer-reviewed

Research Article

Application of ARIMA, and hybrid ARIMA Models in predicting and forecasting tuberculosis incidences among children in Homa Bay and Turkana Counties, Kenya

Stephen Siamba ,

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft

* E-mail: stephen.siamba@gmail.com

Affiliation University of Eldoret, School of Science, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eldoret, Kenya

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5011-8072

⨯
Argwings Otieno,

Roles Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Eldoret, School of Science, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eldoret, Kenya
⨯
Julius Koech

Roles Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Eldoret, School of Science, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eldoret, Kenya
⨯

Application of ARIMA, and hybrid ARIMA Models in predicting and forecasting tuberculosis incidences among children in Homa Bay and Turkana Counties, Kenya

Stephen Siamba,
Argwings Otieno,
Julius Koech

Published: February 1, 2023
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000084

About the Authors

Stephen Siamba

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft

* E-mail: stephen.siamba@gmail.com

Affiliation University of Eldoret, School of Science, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eldoret, Kenya

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5011-8072

Argwings Otieno

Roles Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Eldoret, School of Science, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eldoret, Kenya

Julius Koech

Roles Supervision, Validation, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation University of Eldoret, School of Science, Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eldoret, Kenya

Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

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Tuberculosis
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Kenya
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Epidemiology
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Pediatric infections
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Forecasting
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Respiratory infections
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Seasons
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Tuberculosis diagnosis and management
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