About the Authors

Adam J. Kucharski

Affiliations Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom, MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

Kin O. Kwok

Affiliation School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong

Vivian W. I. Wei

Affiliation School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong

Benjamin J. Cowling

Affiliation School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong

Jonathan M. Read

Affiliation Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Institute of Infection and Global Health, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom

Justin Lessler

Affiliation Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Derek A. Cummings

Affiliation Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America

Steven Riley

s.riley@imperial.ac.uk

Affiliation MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

BJC has received research funding from MedImmune Inc., and consult for Crucell NV. DAC has acted as a consultant to Medimmune. These do not alter our adherence to all PLOS policies on sharing data and materials.

Author Contributions

Conceived and designed the experiments: AJK SR BJC JMR JL DAC. Performed the experiments: AJK KOK VWIW. Analyzed the data: AJK SR KOK. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: AJK SR KOK BJC JMR JL DAC. Wrote the paper: AJK.