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A twin-driven analysis on early aging biomarkers and associations with sitting-time and physical activity

  • Ryan Bruellman ,

    Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

    ryan.bruellman@email.ucr.edu

    Affiliation Department of Genetics, Genomics and Bioinformatics, University of California Riverside, Riverside, California, United States of America

  • Shandell Pahlen,

    Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

    Affiliations Department of Psychology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, California, United States of America, Institute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, United States of America

  • Jarrod M. Ellingson,

    Roles Writing – review & editing

    Affiliations Institute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, United States of America, Department of Psychiatry, Anschutz Medical Campus, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado, United States of America

  • Robin P. Corley,

    Roles Data curation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

    Affiliation Institute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, United States of America

  • Sally J. Wadsworth,

    Roles Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Project administration, Writing – review & editing

    Affiliation Institute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, United States of America

  • Chandra A. Reynolds

    Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

    Affiliations Department of Genetics, Genomics and Bioinformatics, University of California Riverside, Riverside, California, United States of America, Department of Psychology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, California, United States of America, Institute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, United States of America, Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, United States of America

Abstract

Background

Current physical activity guidelines may be insufficient to address health consequences in a world increasing in sedentary behavior. Physical activity is a key lifestyle factor to promote healthy aging, but few studies examine activity in conjunction with sitting. We examine how activity intensity and sitting behavior influence health and the extent to which physical activity might counter sitting.

Methods

We analyzed data from the Colorado Adoption/Twin Study of Lifespan behavioral development and cognitive aging (CATSLife) in adults aged 28–49 years (M = 33.16, SD = 4.93). We fit a linear mixed-effect model for body mass index (BMI) and total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein ratio (TC/HDL). Leveraging the co-twin control approach, we explore the trade-off between sitting and physical activity.

Results

Across established adulthood, TC/HDL and BMI demonstrated increasing age trends with prolonged sitting and vigorous activity inversely associated. Moreover, after considering sitting time, we found an age-equivalent benefit of vigorous exercise where those performing 30 minutes daily had expected TC/HDL and BMI estimates that mirrored sedentary individuals 5 and 10 years younger, respectively. Co-twin control analysis suggests partial exposure effects for TC/HDL, indicating greater vigorous activity may counter sitting-health effects but with diminishing returns.

Conclusions

Our findings support the counteracting influence of prolonged sitting and physical activity on indicators of cardiovascular and metabolic health. A compensating role of vigorous activity on sitting health links is indicated while reducing sitting time appears paramount. Public health initiatives should consider sitting and vigorous activity in tandem in guidelines to promote health maintenance and combat accelerated aging.

Introduction

Sitting for most of one’s waking hours is a commonality of life in developed countries, owing in part to transformed workplaces and the expansion of technology in our daily lives. Recent events such as the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated sedentary behavior, with many US adults being classified as sedentary sitting over 8 hours per day [1, 2]. A sedentary lifestyle has been linked to negative health effects, particularly cardiovascular and metabolic health, and may increase mortality risk to a similar degree as obesity and smoking [35]. However, the comparison of the severity between sitting and smoking has been contested [6]. Positive correlations of sedentary behavior through prolonged sitting with indicators of obesity and dyslipidemia (i.e. high cholesterol) illustrate the importance of understanding prolonged sitting behavior; particularly how it may relate to aging via cardiovascular and metabolic disease susceptibility and progression [7]. This study offers a unique approach including the use of a co-twin control to better understand and manage confounds, allowing a better understanding of the impacts of sedentary behavior and how physical activity can potentially offset these impacts for premature aging.

Optimal cardiovascular and metabolic health are important components of healthy aging and offer significant public health implications. Aging-related cardiovascular diseases such as heart disease, stroke, and high blood pressure consistently remain among the top causes of age-adjusted death in the United States [8]. Total cholesterol (TC) levels and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) can offer insight into one’s cardiovascular health and the risks of various cardiovascular diseases. TC is comprised of HDL, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) levels, and triglyceride (TG); [9]. HDL is distinct from TG and LDL, in that it may prevent cardiovascular disease by promoting the reverse cholesterol transport process, preventing plaque buildup throughout the body which is commonly seen in those with high cholesterol at risk of negative cardiovascular events [10]. Thus, a full picture of the lipid profile should consider both HDL and TC.

Previous literature has indicated trends with higher sitting time positively correlating with LDL and TG levels (therefore positively associated with TC) [4]. While both TC and HDL are indicators used for determining risk for adverse cardiovascular events, taking the TC to HDL ratio (TC/HDL), also known as the Cardiac Risk Ratio offers a stronger indicator of various cardiovascular disease onset risks compared to considering TC and HDL levels separately [9, 11]. TC/HDL is classified by disease onset risk as either high (>5.0 for males, >4.4 for females), moderate (3.5–5.0 for males, 3.0–4.4 for females), or optimal (<3.5 for males, <3.0 for females) and the classifications do not change with age [12]. Previous studies have linked high TC/HDL to higher risk and incidence of aging-related adverse events such as stroke, metabolic syndrome, and heart disease in middle-aged and older adults [11, 13]. While TC/HDL changes do occur, outside of taking medications, improving one’s ratio often takes long-term lifestyle changes that can take several years to fully manifest [14]. Biomarkers such as TC/HDL highlight an important health indicator, that if maintained within recommended levels across early adulthood, may help to minimize later risk for disease susceptibility [12]. Understanding the links between sitting and physical activity behavior with TC/HDL is a crucial component of this study to highlight the risks of premature aging.

Body mass index (BMI) is a widely used metric in determining body adiposity levels and has served as an indicator for various health issues [7]. Numerous studies have shown BMI levels associated with obesity are correlated to increased risk and the likelihood of acquired cardiovascular disease and metabolic disorders throughout the aging process [7, 15]. High BMIs are associated with sedentary behavior through higher sitting times, less exercise, and altered lipid profiles [3, 16]. Despite the reported associations of BMI with aging-related issues, previous work has shown the importance of considering other metrics beyond BMI for a complete picture of one’s cardiovascular and metabolic health [17]. Our study considers this through including both BMI and TC/HDL as early health indicators for those in established adulthood.

The consensus on preventing or countering a high BMI and suboptimal TC/HDL (BMI >25 kg/m2 and TC/HDL >3.5 for males, >3.0 for females) is to engage in aerobic exercise each week [18, 19]. The United States Department of Health and Human Services recommends 150 minutes of moderate aerobic physical activity or 75 minutes of vigorous aerobic physical activity each week [20]. Different types of physical activity have a metabolic equivalent of task (MET) score to indicate the overall level of energy expenditure and classify the activity as low, moderate, or vigorous intensity [21]. Moderate and vigorous activities are associated with beneficial energy expenditure and can offer improvement to an individual’s health [19].

While the physical activity recommendations make it clear that any physical activity in the form of moderate or vigorous intensity is better than none, some studies have noted differences in the benefits between moderate and vigorous activity. Such studies have found that vigorous activity offers enhanced benefits in decreasing the incidence of metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular risk [19, 22, 23]. Specifically, long-term (e.g., three months or more) increases in time spent performing physical activity with healthy eating may reduce LDL and improve HDL levels [18]. Whether the negative health impacts of prolonged sitting can be significantly countered by moderate or vigorous activity is unclear. This study offers a better understanding of physical activity intensity counters on prolonged sitting as well as brings novel insight using co-twin control analysis to control confounds and understand the effects of sedentary activity and different intensities of physical activity.

In this study, we address the impacts of prolonged sitting time on cardiovascular and metabolic health indices as they relate to cardiovascular- and metabolic-related health indicators in the critical period of young adulthood that is salient to predicting later life cardiovascular and metabolic disease risk [7, 24]. Specifically, we aim to understand whether adhering to current physical activity recommendations buffers the effects of prolonged sitting on biomarkers, namely TC/HDL and BMI. Previous work has not addressed the sufficiency of current physical activity recommendations, whether it is moderate or vigorous intensity in contexts of prolonged sitting activity. This study offers a unique large sample set including twins which can be instrumental in understanding whether the effects of sitting and physical activity are better explained by familial confounds. Identical or monozygotic (MZ) twins who vary in physical activity and prolonged sitting may serve as a lens to examine activity replacement or compensation on health biomarkers, including TC/HDL which may be an early indicator or may potentiate unhealthy aging. We expect that prolonged sitting totaling most of one’s waking hours will be associated with higher TC/HDL and BMI illustrating emerging negative health impacts during early adulthood. Physical activity is expected to offer a counter to these prolonged sitting impacts, illustrated through MET minutes for moderate or vigorous activity, but not enough given the current physical activity recommendations.

Methods

Participants

This study included participants from the Colorado Adoption/Twin Study of Lifespan Behavioral Development and Cognitive Aging (CATSLife) recruited between July 1, 2015 and March 31, 2021 [25] (n = 1327, female = 53%, M age = 33.2 (SD = 4.9)). All research was approved by the Institutional Review Boards at the Institute for Behavioral Genetics–University of Colorado, Boulder, and the University of California, Riverside, respectively, and was conducted according to the APA’s ethical standards. Participants’ informed consent to participate was attained through written consent. Further, CATSLife is comprised of two separate samples. The Colorado Adoption Project (CAP) includes adopted and non-adopted siblings from adoptive and non-adoptive (“control”) families (N = 597). The Longitudinal Twin Study (LTS) is composed of individuals from same-sex monozygotic (MZ) or dizygotic (DZ) twin pairs (N = 730). Both studies recruited participants while in childhood in the state of Colorado, though 41% now live in other parts of the US. Participants in the current study were 28–49 years old at the time of blood collection. Most participants identified as non-Hispanic European American (90.1%) with a small proportion comprising Hispanic (7.2) and 2.7% representing other races/ethnicities.

To reduce the presence of confounding factors, exclusion criteria included in all analyses: current pregnancy (n = 19), more than 90 days between answering the questionnaire and completing the blood draw (n = 10), non-fasting individuals during the blood draw (n = 56), taking recognized medications that interfere with measured biomarkers [26] (n = 143, for list of contraindicating medications see S1 Table. Not participating in the blood draw and/or body measurements (n = 178 for TC/HDL and n = 162 for BMI) was also considered. The remaining participants met all inclusion criteria and were included in the analysis (n = 921 for the TC/HDL model, 937 for the BMI model).

Measures

Sedentary behavior.

Participants self-reported sitting behavior as part of the PhenX Toolkit protocol [27, 28]. Specifically, participants estimated, to the nearest half hour, the amount of time they spend sitting each day, including time traveling, at work, watching television, using a computer at home, and during non-television leisure time (see S1 Appendix for more information on how sitting time was calculated).

Physical activity.

Participants were asked how much time they spent performing different types of physical activity each week, based on leisure activity screening questionnaires [2931]. Participants were also asked to provide short, open-ended responses about the type of physical activity performed, which were assigned a MET score using double-entry coding by raters based on the 2011 Compendium of Physical Activities [21, 32]. MET scores range from 1.0 to 17.5, and scores between 3 and 6 were classified as moderate MET activities (mMETs), whereas values 6 or greater were classified as vigorous (vMETs) coinciding with previous literature [33]. These MET scores were used to calculate MET minutes per week of both moderate and vigorous physical activity. In addition, occupational physical activity was also incorporated into the calculations for moderate and vigorous MET minutes. mMETs and vMETs were both scaled by 500 MET minute increments (range for moderate MET minutes = 0–8.76, range for vigorous MET minutes = 0–11.40). The reasoning for scaling mMETs and vMETs by these increments was to better analyze the results in a meaningful and consistent way in terms of time spent performing a moderate or vigorous activity. More information regarding coding and calculations can be found in the supplementary methods (S1 Appendix) and in S1 Fig.

Health biomarkers.

Outcomes of interest were measures of cardiovascular and metabolic health, including BMI, TC, and HDL. Most in-person testing was done prior to March 2020. BMI was calculated by taking a participant’s weight (in kilograms) divided by height squared (in meters). Weight was recorded via an analog scale and height was measured by a tape measure by a tester during an in-person visit. Fasting-state blood draws were completed during the in-person visit and a lipid panel was completed. TC was calculated by adding LDL to HDL and 20% of the TG level [9]. The TC/HDL ratio was then calculated by dividing TC by HDL (TC/HDL).

Covariates.

Covariates included sex, age, and daily fruit and vegetable intake (FruitVegs) based on prior work supporting sex differences [3436]. To account for nonlinear age effects on TC/HDL and BMI [37, 38], we included age squared (age2). Sex was dichotomized with females set as the reference. All other covariates were mean-centered. FruitVegs was indexed based on the National Cancer Institute five-factor screener from the PhenX repository [39, 40] and participants self-reported their intake frequency on several foods: (1) 100% fruit juice, (2) fruit, (3) green leafy or lettuce salad, (4) white potatoes (not including French fries), (5) cooked dried beans, (6) other vegetables, (7) tomato sauces, and (8) salsa. Responses were scaled according to daily consumption rates: never = 0; 1–3 times last month = 0.067; 1–2 times/week = 0.214; 3–4 times/week = 0.5; 5–6 times/week = 0.786; 1 time/day = 1; 2 times/day = 2; 3 times/day = 3; 4 times/day = 4; 5 or more times/day = 5.

Analytical strategy.

The nlme package version 3.1–159 in R was used [41] to fit linear mixed-effects models (LME) for both TC/HDL and BMI. This package was used to account for possible dependency among sibling types within our sample data. Co-twin control analysis was conducted in SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). Tests of significance for the co-twin control analysis were confirmed via goodness of fit tests (see S2 Table).

Linear mixed-effects models.

The initial sociodemographic base models tested for age and sex effects with TC/HDL or BMI as outcomes, adjusting for race and ethnicity: [1] [2]

The subsequent models added modifiable lifestyle factors of mMETs, vMETs, Sitting, and FruitVegs adjusting for age, sex, race and ethnicity with TC/HDL or BMI as outcomes: [3]

Finally, interactions between Age, Sitting, and vMETs were tested in the final equation for TC/HDL or BMI as outcomes: [4]

For each equation, (Yij) is the respective outcome (i.e. TC/HDL or BMI), i is the ith individual in jth family, and and eij reflect the intercept and the residual, respectively. The LME models included race (White) and ethnicity (NonHispanic) adjustments. The LME models further adjusted for differential sibling dependencies by estimating between- and within-family random effects for each of the four sibling/family types (adoptive, control, DZ, MZ) [42]. Finally, a Cohen’s d effect size of the LME was calculated for both the TC/HDL and BMI by multiplying the unstandardized beta of vigorous MET minutes by two (representing 1000 vigorous MET minutes, a value close to the vigorous MET minutes standard deviation) and then dividing by the outcome standard deviation, resulting in an approximation of a standardized regression coefficients.

Co-twin control analysis.

Co-twin control analyses were conducted using twin pairs from the LTS subsample to evaluate confounding genetic/familial versus environmental impacts [43]. Using available complete pairs (MZ twin pairs n = 98, DZ twin pairs n = 91), a co-twin control analysis was completed using maximum likelihood estimation. Both TC/HDL and BMI were tested as outcomes. The twin pair mean was calculated for Sitting, mMETs, vMETs, FruitVegs representing the familial risk. Each twin difference was calculated by taking the twin’s unique value subtracted from the respective twin pair mean to indicate the risk difference after accounting for familial risk. Fixed effects included the twin pair mean for Sitting, mMETs, vMETs, or FruitVegs, the respective twin difference from the twin pair mean, and the zygosity interactions (DZs coded as 0, MZs coded as 1) with both the pair mean and difference. Models were also adjusted for age and sex. Expected patterns of findings consistent with environmental/exposure association are as significant differences noted in the within effects of the analysis with consistent results across zygosity where little to no difference exists between MZs and DZs. Expected patterns of findings consistent with genetic or familial confounding include significances of between effects or significant findings by zygosity interactions where MZ twins pairs show significant or strong trends in an outcome compared to DZ twins.

Discordant monozygotic twin pairs.

An available extension of the co-twin control design is a sensitivity analysis on the discordant MZ twin pairs. By examining MZ pairs where siblings differed on activity engagement, we can elucidate whether exercise mitigates the effects of prolonged sitting time. We conducted a subtest of MZ pairs with a small sample (N = 40 MZ pairs) that differed (i.e. discordant) on vigorous exercise and sitting time. The difference in sitting hours per week, hours per week of vigorous physical activity, and the TC/HDL were calculated between pairs. Blood draws for each MZ twin in the sample were completed during the same age as their co-twin (Mean difference = 22.4 days, median = 0 days). For MZ pairs to be considered discordant there had to exist a difference of at least 3.5 hours of sitting per week (i.e. 30 minutes per day) and a difference of over 15 minutes of vigorous exercise per week. Based on the sitting and vigorous exercise times, MZ pairs were placed into two groups. One group included pairs where the twin that sat less and completed more vigorous exercise compared to their co-twin were placed into this group, known as the “Active Replacer” group. The Active Replacer group (n = 20) represents a MZ pair where one twin essentially replaces the unhealthy behavior of sitting with some amount of vigorous exercise. The other group, known as the “Active Compensator” group (n = 20), included pairs where the twin that sat more also completed more vigorous exercise compared to their co-twin. This group represents a MZ pair where one twin is compensating high levels of sitting time with vigorous exercise compared to their co-twin, potentially offering some level of counter on their overall health to their higher levels of sitting. The tradeoff between sitting time and vigorous exercise was calculated for either group by taking the pair difference in hours per week of vigorous exercise divided by the difference in hours per week of sitting. For example, if a twin in the Active Replacer group sat 20 hours less a week and completed 2 hours more vigorous exercise a week, the tradeoff value would be calculated as 0.1 (2 / 20). These values were then multiplied by 60 to rescale from hours to minutes. This would mean for the example case that for each hour less of sitting per week, the twin completed 6 minutes of vigorous exercise in its place (0.1 * 60 = 6). For the Active Compensator group, this example would translate to each additional hour of sitting, the twin completes 6 minutes of vigorous exercise. To minimize outliers, MZ pairs with vigorous physical activity ≥2.5 minutes of vigorous activity for each hour of sitting were considered and values were winsorized to 60 minutes.

Results

Descriptive statistics

Descriptive statistics for key measures are reported in Table 1. On average, participants reported sitting 60.07 hours per week, or 8.58 hours per day. Sitting hours were approximately normally distributed with no mean-level sex differences. vMETs, FruitVegs, BMI, and TC/HDL were significantly higher in males compared to females (p .005). No other sex differences were found. Within the sample, the correlation of BMI and TC/HDL values was found to be moderate with a Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient of 0.41.

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Table 1. Descriptive statistics for primary variables and covariates.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.t001

Linear mixed-effect (LME) models

Results from the sociodemographic base models for both TC/HDL and BMI outcomes included significant age (B = 0.029, p = < .001 for TC/HDL and B = 0.087, p = .004 for BMI) and sex effects (B = 0.660, p = < .001 for TC/HDL and B = 1.121, p = .006) (S3 Table). Race and ethnicity were non-significant but retained in subsequent models (p≥ 0.232). Entering age-squared effects showed potential non-linear trends but were not significant and were not retained in subsequent models (B = -0.002, p = .211 for TC/HDL and B = 0.008, p = .383 for BMI; see S3 Table). The unstandardized regression parameters for the model that are shown in Table 2. TC/HDL was associated with age, sex, vMETs, and sitting hours per week. Model results indicate higher TC/HDL and BMI with older ages across established adulthood as indicated in Figs 1A and 2A. The age effects for TC/HDL and BMI showed little attenuation (-0.001 for both outcomes) after adding in the modifiable risk factors of sitting, physical activity, and healthy diet. Results suggested individuals with greater vMETs had a lower TC/HDL ratio. In contrast, being older, male, and reporting longer sitting times were associated with worse TC/HDL. Although healthy eating (FruitVegs) and greater mMETs were associated with a lower TC/HDL ratio, the effects were nonsignificant. TC/HDL model results are illustrated in Fig 1B where estimates show age trends of higher TC/HDL values with older ages. Notably, within males and within females, patterns suggested a 30-year-old individual sitting for 4 hours on average a day would have comparable TC/HDL to that of a 35-year-old individual sitting the same amount per day but performing at least 30 minutes of vigorous exercise each day. Alternatively stated, in terms of the age-equivalent benefit of 30-minutes vigorous exercise at equivalent sitting times of 4 hours: those performing 30 minutes of vigorous exercise daily at age 35 years had lower TC/HDL values equivalent to sedentary individuals 5 years younger.

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Fig 1. Linear mixed effect model results for TC/HDL ratio by age, sex, and modifiable behaviors.

(A) Visual representation of linear mixed effects model results for TC/HDL Ratio by age and sex (n = 921). TC/HDL Ratio <3.5 for males and <3.0 for females is classified as optimal level. Moderate TC/HDL Ratio levels are between 3.5–5.0 for males indicated by a solid yellow line and 3.0–4.4 for females indicated by a dashed yellow line. High TC/HDL ratio values are >5.0 for males and >4.4 for females. Trend lines by age are also shown across early and mid-adulthood with the blue line representing females and the green line representing males. (B) Results of linear mixed effects model for TC/HDL Ratio including modifiable risk factors of sitting time and vigorous physical activity (VA) (n = 921). Moderate TC/HDL for males is indicated by the solid yellow line. Moderate TC/HDL for females is indicated by the dashed yellow line.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.g001

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Fig 2. Linear mixed effect model results for BMI by age, sex, and modifiable behaviors.

(A) Visual representation of linear mixed effects model results for BMI by age and sex (n = 937). BMI levels for normal BMI are between 18.5–24.9 kg/m2. Overweight BMI is between 25–29.9 kg/m2 and is illustrated by the solid yellow line. Obese BMI is between 30–34.9 kg/m2 and is indicated by the solid red line. Trend lines by age are also with the blue line representing females and the green line representing males. (B) Results of linear mixed effects model for BMI including modifiable risk factors of sitting time and vigorous physical activity (VA) (n = 937). Overweight BMI is indicated by the solid yellow line and obese BMI is indicated by the solid orange line.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.g002

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Table 2. Linear mixed-effects parameters for TC/HDL and BMI.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.t002

Similar patterns were seen for BMI with healthy eating and physical activity showing negative relationships with BMI, but significant associations were different from the TC/HDL model. In addition to vMETs, FruitVegs was also a significant predictor of BMI. Other predictors for BMI all had positive associations with BMI in the model, with Sitting as the only positive association that was also statistically significant. BMI model results are illustrated in Fig 2B where estimates show age trends of higher BMI values at older ages. Notably, within males and within females, patterns suggested that a 30-year-old individual sitting 4 hours on average a day would have a comparable BMI to that of a 40-year-old individual sitting the same amount per day but performing at least 30 minutes of vigorous activity (Fig 2B). Alternatively stated, in terms of the age-equivalent benefit of 30-minutes vigorous exercise at equivalent sitting times of 4 hours: those performing 30 minutes of vigorous exercise daily at age 30 years had lower BMI values equivalent to sedentary individuals 10 years younger. Our results indicate an individual sitting on average 8.5 hours per day performing at or below the current exercise recommendations could enter a moderate TC/HDL risk category in early adulthood.

S4 Table shows the results of the model with age, sitting, and vMETs interactions where none of the interactions were found to have statistical significance. Vigorous activity was a more effective counter in both tested biomarkers with an effect size of -0.08 for TC/HDL (for 1000 vigorous MET minutes per week more, which is equivalent to jogging 20 minutes a day) and -0.11 for BMI (for 1000 vigorous MET minutes per week more).

Co-twin control analysis

For TC/HDL, only the within-pair effect was significant for sitting and vigorous physical activity (see Table 3). The within-pair effect did not significantly differ by zygosity, consistent with an exposure effect. However, the MZ within-pair effect for vigorous activity was smaller relative to the general within-pair effect suggesting partial confounding in TC/HDL. Although the between-pair effects were not significant; the effects were in the same direction. Parameters are reported in Table 3 for vigorous exercise and BMI. We only found significant between-pair effects for vigorous exercise which did not differ by zygosity. The within-pair effects while in the same direction were attenuated and non-significant for both DZ and MZ pairs, consistent with familial confounding rather than an exposure effect.

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Table 3. Co-twin control analysis–between-within results.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.t003

Discordant MZ twin pairs

Trendlines for MZ pair groups are shown in Fig 3. Trendlines for both discordant groups share a similar downward trend, however, the Active Replacer group has a noticeably lower starting point close to a 0.0 TC/HDL change compared to the Active Compensator group which started with a positive TC/HDL change. For the Active Replacer group trend, the twin sitting less and engaging in more vigorous physical activity had lower TC/HDL, particularly when at least 10 minutes of vigorous activity were replaced for each hour of sitting. For the Active Compensator group similar trends were noted; however, to reach similar TC/HDL levels as the substitution group, individuals would need to engage in well over 10 minutes of vigorous activity.

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Fig 3. TC/HDL change within discordant monozygotic twin pairs.

A) Change in TC/HDL Ratio observed between monozygotic twin pairs where the twin with a lower sitting time also completes a higher level of vigorous physical activity (n = 20 twin pairs). The x-axis represents minutes of vigorous physical activity that replace each hour less of sitting between the twin pairs. B) Change in TC/HDL Ratio observed between monozygotic twin pairs where the twin with a higher sitting time also completes a higher level of vigorous physical activity (n = 20 twin pairs). The x-axis represents additional minutes spent completing vigorous physical activity for each additional hour of sitting between the twin pairs.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.g003

Discussion

We examined whether physical activity buffers high levels of sitting time on cardiovascular and metabolic health indices of TC/HDL and BMI in a sample of young adults. The expected negative associations of sitting on health indices were apparent in this relatively healthy period of adulthood. However, meeting the current physical activity recommendations did not buffer the impacts of sitting on BMI or TC/HDL fully, although engagement in vigorous physical activity is associated with lower, healthier levels. For females in their early 30s and males in their late 20s, the TC/HDL is shown to cross into the moderate cardiac risk territory when sitting 8.5 hours per day even after meeting current physical activity recommendations. Performing vigorous physical activity reveals a notable age-equivalent benefit with any level of sitting where an individual exercising 30 minutes of day of vigorous intensity exercise has comparable TC/HDL and BMI values to someone 5 or 10 years younger respectively sitting the same amount of time without any vigorous physical activity. Our findings suggest maintaining sedentary behavior throughout young adulthood may contribute to later cardiovascular and metabolic disease susceptibility [7, 15]. The co-twin control analysis sensitivity analyses with the MZ pairs further illustrates the importance of additional vigorous physical activity in place of sitting time or in addition to prolonged sitting time to improve one’s TC/HDL. Failing to disrupt sedentary behavior could set a course towards poorer health and functioning across the lifespan, particularly since once disease onset occurs for many chronic conditions, disease maintenance will be the primary focus of health intervention instead of recovery. This has been illustrated in previous work implicating elevated BMI and dyslipidemia measurements in early adulthood linked to adverse impacts occurring later in life as they relate to issues such as coronary heart disease, stroke, and other major health issues [4446]. Given these links, early intervention of suboptimal BMI and TC/HDL values is critical to prevent a multitude of health-related issues past early adulthood.

While TC/HDL and BMI were found to have a positive correlation (Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient = 0.41 in our sample indicate a moderate correlation), it is important to consider both within the analysis due to over 33% of the overall sample exhibiting either a healthy BMI and unhealthy TC/HDL or an unhealthy BMI and healthy TC/HDL. By including early-risk biomarkers highly relevant to metabolic (BMI) and cardiovascular (TC/HDL) health, a more comprehensive view of behavioral associations can be attained. The TC/HDL and BMI showed positive associations with greater sitting, consistent with the literature [16]. Specifically, vigorous activity and sitting time were significantly associated with TC/HDL and BMI, after accounting for sociodemographic and dietary covariates. Vigorous activity partially countered increased TC/HDL and BMI levels but could not fully buffer the negative impacts of prolonged sitting. While moderate activity showed similar patterns, it was not significant. The benefit of engaging in vigorous over moderate activity is in line with previous studies [19, 22, 23], however, our findings are among the first to show this for sitting behavior as well as offer a clear picture of the amount of physical activity as they relate to the current exercise recommendations. More sitting time was significantly associated with an increase in TC/HDL and BMI. Our observations are supportive of the negative impacts of prolonged sitting totaling over half of one’s waking hours given the significant associations with major risk factors for unhealthy aging. Males are more apt to have a higher cardiovascular risk compared to females, particularly in young adulthood [47] and our findings showed significant sex effects as well as age effects for the TC/HDL. Our results uniquely show that the early warning signs accompanying prolonged sitting can put one in elevated risk categories for cardiovascular and metabolic issues even at young, typically healthy ages. Our results suggest that males in their early 30’s would need to surpass the current exercise recommendations, particularly if sitting for more than 8 hours per day in order to avoid falling into the moderate risk category for TC/HDL. Our results also suggest females in their mid 30’s would also need to surpass current exercise recommendations to remain in the optimal TC/HDL range. BMI model results for both males and females show that across early adulthood along with a healthy diet intake, exercise past the current guidelines would be beneficial to maintaining optimal metabolic health. Entering the moderate TC/HDL risk range as well as having a BMI outside of normal range throughout established adulthood has been shown across previous work to be associated with aging-related cardiac and metabolic events and illnesses [4850]. This emphasizes previous work on the importance of understanding how behaviors and measures in early adulthood can impact aging and health later on in life [51]. Sitting less throughout the day, getting much more vigorous exercise, or a combination of both may be necessary to reduce the risk of premature aging in early adulthood.

Our sample allows for a unique analysis to examine the differences between siblings in a twin pair on health. The co-twin control approach is considered a quasi-experimental design that offers unique insights into behavioral or environmental exposures while controlling for shared genetic and common environment between siblings [25]. Less sitting and more vigorous physical activity were associated with better TC/HDL. This is in line with prior work [19], however, most studies rely on correlational evidence or cannot control for selection factors in physical activity engagement [19, 22, 23]. Our analysis revealed causal evidence of vigorous activity impact on TC/HDL, with partial confounding for sitting due to differences noted between MZ and DZ twins. We did not find causal evidence between vigorous activity and BMI. Rather, between-pair and within-pair patterns suggest genetic liability and shared environmental factors are responsible for these associations which is similar to other related work [52, 53]. Our results call for further work, particularly in understanding the exposure effects in one’s unique environment on the TC/HDL.

As an extension of the co-twin control analysis, we conducted a discordant MZ twin subtest to see if physical activity can ameliorate the deleterious effects of prolonged sitting. While our study did not allow for intervention as a case-control study would, the MZ twins is a powerful exploratory method and can offer insights most studies cannot test. Vigorous activity of more than 10 minutes for each additional hour of sitting per week or in place of each hour of sitting improves the cardiovascular biomarker TC/HDL, with our results predicting that individuals sitting upwards of 8 hours per day, over 80 minutes of vigorous activity would be needed each week to stay within an optimal TC/HDL range. Hence increasing vigorous activity or reducing sitting times may be factors to consider in policy guidelines, with emphasis given to young adults to boost vigorous activity for those who do not have the ability to reduce the time spent sitting throughout the day. Further work is warranted to link both the vigorous activity replacement as well as compensating vigorous activity with lowering these and other early aging biomarkers.

Our study primarily focused on physical engagement or the lack thereof, on health yet another important consideration was diet. Fruit and vegetable consumption was significant for BMI, but not for TC/HDL. Both health indicators are well-documented to be negatively correlated with fruit and vegetable consumption [18]. While fruit and vegetable intake is a known predictor of healthy weight and BMI, why we did not find a significant link with TC/HDL is unclear. Our consumption measure may not be an ideal method to capture diet. Consumption being isolated to those specific food groups, while not weighing intake of meat and dairy animal products could contribute to our patterns. Our work does not critique current diet recommendations in the same vein as physical activity. More comprehensive diet measures would be required to properly evaluate if diet can offset consequences from prolonged sitting or the extent consumption may differ due to sitting behavior. Healthy eating remains an important lifestyle factor in conjunction with exercise, as decades of health science have shown [18], how diet may interact and influence sitting behaviors will require future investigation.

While our study showed significant impacts of prolonged sitting during young adulthood on key health indicators, limitations should be noted. Our data was calculated using self-reported data from CATSLife participants which may not be consistent with actual time spent doing such behaviors as sitting, physical activity, or dietary intake. Future studies using accelerometer or fitness tracker devices can elaborate on these findings to further elaborate the accuracy of self-reported data. Our sample included young to middle-aged adults with no selection on activity engagement, and 52.8% reported performing vigorous activity. We cannot give any inference to individuals who may have been medically advised against performing vigorous or certain types of physical activity. Also, we cannot make inferences based on these results for persons using a mobility aid or device. Finally, while our sensitivity analyses of race and ethnicity were non-significant, our sample has limited diversity to make conclusions, but important differences may still exist in sitting time, health status, and exercise interventions.

Our study shows the importance of incorporating vigorous physical activity into our daily routines to minimize or offset the health consequences of prolonged sitting. Particularly, adopting these health regimes by the end of early adulthood to prevent reaching cardiovascular and metabolic disease risk levels that promote unhealthy aging. Future work further detailing the contribution of genetic and environmental effects on the role of sedentariness is warranted. With increased sitting time illustrating sedentary behavior being a new norm across much of society, the focus must be shifted to ways of countering these long-term negative impacts. Sitting is unavoidable for many people, however, health consequences from such behavior are not inescapable. Exercise can counteract these effects and incorporating more vigorous activity would be needed as sitting time increases. Our results challenge recommended physical activity and we suggest guidelines need to be adjusted to account for sitting time throughout the day. Sitting less, healthier eating, and focusing on increasing the amount of vigorous activity need to be clear messaging points to the public to provide a succinct and impactful change to sedentary habits.

Supporting information

S1 Appendix. Calculation and adjustments for modifiable behaviors of sitting and exercise.

Methodology and process of calculating sitting time and exercise based on CATSLife participant self-report responses.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.s001

(PDF)

S1 Table. Contraindicating medications used for exclusion criteria.

Table of medication families and specific medications that, if a participant reported taking, they were excluded from the biomarker analysis due to contraindications supported by the literature.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.s002

(PDF)

S2 Table. Fit statistics for co-twin control analysis.

Co-twin control change in -2 log likelihood fit statistics based on removal of specific effects or interactions.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.s003

(PDF)

S3 Table. LME parameters for TC/HDL and BMI–age, age2 and sex.

Results of LME models including the variable of Age2. Results indicate no significances for Age2.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.s004

(PDF)

S4 Table. LME parameters for TC/HDL and BMI–sitting and vigorous physical activity interactions.

Results of LME models including behavioral interactions and interactions with age. Results indicate no significances for these interactions.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.s005

(PDF)

S1 Fig. MET minutes adjustment process.

Visual representation of the adjustment process for calculating moderate and vigorous MET minutes per week for participants.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308660.s006

(PDF)

Acknowledgments

The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health. We thank the CATSLife staff and participants who have graciously participated.

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