Increasing concern is directed towards genetic diversity of domestic animal populations because strong selective breeding can rapidly deplete genetic diversity of socio-economically valuable animals. International conservation policy identifies minimizing genetic erosion of domesticated animals as a key biodiversity target. We used breeding records to assess potential indications of inbreeding and loss of founder allelic diversity in 12 native Swedish dog breeds, traditional to the country, ten of which have been identified by authorities as of conservation concern. The pedigrees dated back to the mid-1900, comprising 5–11 generations and 350–66,500 individuals per pedigree. We assessed rates of inbreeding and potential indications of loss of genetic variation by measuring inbreeding coefficients and remaining number of founder alleles at five points in time during 1980–2012. We found average inbreeding coefficients among breeds to double–from an average of 0.03 in 1980 to 0.07 in 2012 –in spite of the majority of breeds being numerically large with pedigrees comprising thousands of individuals indicating that such rapid increase of inbreeding should have been possible to avoid. We also found indications of extensive loss of intra-breed variation; on average 70 percent of founder alleles are lost during 1980–2012. Explicit conservation goals for these breeds were not reflected in pedigree based conservation genetic measures; breeding needs to focus more on retaining genetic variation, and supplementary genomic analyses of these breeds are highly warranted in order to find out the extent to which the trends indicated here are reflected over the genomes of these breeds.
Citation: Jansson M, Laikre L (2018) Pedigree data indicate rapid inbreeding and loss of genetic diversity within populations of native, traditional dog breeds of conservation concern. PLoS ONE 13(9): e0202849. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0202849
Editor: Axel Janke, Senckenberg am Meer Deutsches Zentrum fur Marine Biodiversitatsforschung, GERMANY
Received: May 6, 2018; Accepted: August 9, 2018; Published: September 12, 2018
Copyright: © 2018 Jansson, Laikre. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Data Availability: The data used in this study is owned by the Swedish Kennel Club (SKK; www.skk.se). SKK can make its data available for research purposes on a case by case basis after reviewing and approving the purpose of the research and the use of the data. Future researchers who would like to conduct research using pedigree data as we have done here should contact email@example.com. We have accessed data in the same manner that we expect future researchers to do. We did not receive special privileges from the Swedish Kennel Club. The exact raw data that we have obtained from the Swedish Kennel Club and have used in the present study covering a time period up until December 31, 2012 for the twelve dog breeds of focus here can also be obtained directly from us (the authors).
Funding: Funded by Swedish Research Council Formas grant numbers: dnr 215-2012-1550, FR-2016/0005.
Competing interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
Domestic animals are often bred under strong selection that focuses on a few specific traits, and this type of breeding is considered to result in loss of genetic biodiversity both in the form of entire breeds–typically old, traditional, local ones–and in variation within breeds . Increasing focus is directed towards genetic diversity of domestic animal populations both scientifically [2, 3, 4] and politically . The Strategic Plan for Biodiversity 2011–2020 adopted by the 196 parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD; http://www.cbd.int/sp) stresses that by 2020 the genetic diversity of domesticated animals and other species of socio-economic and cultural value should be maintained. Similarly, strategies for safeguarding the genetic diversity of such species should be developed and implemented over this time period (Aichi Target 13; http://www.cbd.int/sp/targets).
Food producing animals have been the main targets for conservation actions , but horses, dogs, cats, rabbits that in many countries are primarily used for other purposes are becoming increasingly recognized as of conservation value [6, 7]. Countries are reviewing their national domestic animal breeds , and in Sweden the Swedish National Board of Agriculture has identified 63 such breeds historically originating in Sweden, and has declared them of national conservation concern. These Swedish national breeds include 8 cattle, 1 pig, 11 sheep, 4 goat, 2 goose, 4 duck, 4 horse, 12 chicken, 2 rabbit, 2 cat, and 10 dog breeds .
The domestic dog renders increased socio-economic importance due to its many roles in modern society. Dogs of different breeds are used for human therapy, sports activities, herding, hunting, medical research, identifying biological material, companionship, as well as in police, customs, military, rescue, and security work, [10, 11, 12, 13].
At the same time, recent research indicates that within breed genetic diversity is rapidly depleted [14, 15, 16, 17] and this can hamper long term maintenance of separate breeds. This is a concern not the least for old, traditional breeds that represent a biological and cultural heritage that is becoming increasingly recognized [18, 19, 20, 21].
In this study, we used extensive pedigree data provided by the Swedish Kennel Club comprising the past few decades to assess rates of inbreeding and loss of intra-breed variation measured in terms of number of founder alleles [22, 23] in 12 dog breeds originating in Sweden (Fig 1). Of these breeds ten have been identified as of national conservation concern; four have been classified as endangered-maintained, and six as critical-maintained  using the FAO classification system for domestic animal populations . We were particularly interested in monitoring whether the increased conservation genetic concern is reflected in pedigree measures of diversity since pedigree data from breeding records constitutes the basis for dog breed clubs and dog breeders when planning breeding.
Materials and methods
Pedigree data for the 12 Swedish domestic dog breed populations used in this study was obtained from the Swedish Kennel Club (SKC; www.skk.se; a kennel club is a nationwide organization which works and cares for purebred dogs in a country). SKC was founded in 1889 and their computerized studbook database was created in 1975–76. The database comprises pedigrees of almost all dog breeds kept in Sweden and approximately 90 percent of pedigree dogs in Sweden are included in these records (SKC, pers. comm.).
Ten of the 12 breeds have been classified as of Swedish national conservation concern [9, 24] (Table 1). The data we used consisted of the full pedigree information from the start of the pedigrees and up until December 31, 2012. The start of the pedigrees varies between breeds (Table 1), with the birth of the first dogs included in the pedigrees varying from the 1940s (Drever, Hamilton hound, Schiller hound, Småland hound, and Swedish elkhound) to the 1990s (Swedish white elkhound). We obtained strategic breeding plans for each of the 12 breeds from the Swedish Kennel Club’s website (www.skk.se) and reviewed these plans to find out whether 1) retention of genetic variation is an explicit breeding goal for the separate breeds, 2) whether disease control programs for genetic diseases/disorders are considered for the breed. The strategic breeding plans are produced by breeding clubs associated to the SKC, and SKC has requested breeding clubs to produce and continuously revise such plans for each breed since around year 2000. We downloaded and used the plans that applied in 2012 from the SKC website (www.skk.se; the plans are in Swedish).
To monitor potential temporal trends we analyzed levels of inbreeding and loss of founder allele variation (see below) at five points in time including dogs alive on December 31 in the years of 1980, 1990, 2000, 2006, 2012, respectively. To determine the number of live dogs at the five points in time we had to make assumptions about the longevity of dogs. This is because the SKC studbooks do not include information on date of death of separate individuals. We assumed that each dog lives for 12 years after its date of birth. For example, a dog born on January 1, 1999 was assigned a date of death on January 1, 2011. Thus, our analysis of dogs alive in e.g. December 31, 2000 includes animals born between January 1, 1989 and December 31, 2000. Using this definition the number of living individuals as of December 31, 2012 ranged from 149 (Gotland hound) to 17,483 (Swedish elkhound).
The SKC pedigrees include individuals of other countries if such individuals have descendants in the Swedish populations. Thus, when a dog is imported, or when a Swedish dog is mated to a dog abroad, pedigree information a few generations back that include dogs with foreign registration numbers are included in the Swedish studbooks. We have always excluded such dogs among those classified as alive since these dogs do not exist within the Swedish populations. We only included dogs with a Swedish registration number as being alive and dogs with foreign registration numbers that should be alive according to the maximum age of 12 years criterion have been marked as dead, while they do not belong to the Swedish population. A complete date of birth is required for the applied pedigree software (see below) and we therefore assigned suitable dates of birth to individuals lacking this data (approximately 5 percent of the individuals) based on existing information (i.e. birth dates of parents and/or offspring in the studbook). We used the mPed software  to perform such modifications of birth and death dates. For 0.2 percent of the individuals lacking birth information no guiding data were available and thus no approximate birth date could be assigned.
Pedigree analysis was used to assess inbreeding and loss of genetic variation in relation to the population founders over the time period monitored. A founder is an individual unrelated to all other individuals in the pedigree except for its descendants; at any random locus, it carries two hypothetical, unique founder alleles. The coefficient of inbreeding (F) and mean kinship (MK) quantify probabilities of identity by descent (IBD) of such alleles, within and between individuals, respectively . Genetic variation is measured as the number of remaining founder alleles and the number of founder genome equivalents (fge) . fge is the number of equally contributing founders from which no random loss of alleles has occurred that represent the same amount of variation as that retained in the living population. fge should be compared to the true number of founders; difference results from loss of founder alleles and uneven genetic contribution of separate founders to presently living individuals .
We used the Population Management x software (PMx)  to obtain the quantities assessed using the default value of 1,000 iterations for gene drop simulations. The program mPed  was used to convert the studbook data obtained from the SKC to PMx input format and to “strip” pedigrees to sizes possible to handle by PMx. This software can only deal with pedigrees comprising around 20,000 individuals depending on the complexity of the pedigree. “Stripping” implies removing individuals from the pedigree which do not contribute information on individuals alive, i.e., dead individuals that do not have any living descendants. For pedigrees of some breeds at particular points in time the pedigrees were too large even after stripping. Those cases could not be analyzed and were excluded from this study; Drever (1990, 2000, and 2006), Hamilton hound (1990), and Swedish elkhound (2006 and 2012). We also used PMx to describe inbreeding rates in terms of effective population size (Ne) defined in two ways: 1) as per generation average effective population size over the analysis time span, and 2) as “current effective population size” of the living population based on the number of living males and females that have produced offspring using the equation Ne = 4NmNf/(Nm+Nf) where Nm = number of live males that have reproduced and Nf = number of living females that have reproduced .
To evaluate potential differences in the parameters assessed over time within breeds we used analyses of variance tests (ANOVAs) performed with MS Excel and R 2.12.2. The latter software was also used for Kruskal-Wallis tests. Two-factor ANOVAs were performed in MS Excel. Because of the unbalanced data sets with large differences in number of observations per breed and point in time, we used two-factor ANOVAs without replication. MS Excel was also used for t-tests and linear regression analyses.
The size, depth (number of generations), and number of founders of the full pedigrees as of December 31, 2012 varies greatly for separate breeds (Table 2). The numerically smallest breed is the Gotland hound whose full pedigree includes only 350 individuals descending from 12 founders, whereas the Drever is the largest breed with over 66,000 individuals in the full pedigree descending from 316 founders. The number of generations over the study period varies from 4.6 generations in the Swedish white elkhound to 11.4 for the Swedish vallhund. For three breeds very few individuals are defined as alive at our earliest time point of analysis in December 31, 1980; the Gotland hound (2 individuals), the Swedish white elkhound (5 individuals), and the Danish-Swedish farmdog (23 individuals). We have performed analyses both including and excluding these data. Retention of genetic variation is an explicit breeding goal for all of the 12 breeds according to the breed specific strategic breeding plans. Disease control programs for genetic diseases/disorders were in operation for five breeds in 2012 (Table 1).
The recent rates of inbreeding that we were able to monitor with the existing pedigree data is relatively extensive and the average coefficient of inbreeding (F) over the studied breeds increase over the five points in time from 0.033 in 1980 to 0.066 in 2012, exceeding the level of first cousin mating (F>0.0625) in both 2006 and 2012 (cf. Fig 2; Table 2; S1 Fig). There is no correlation between average F and population size measured either as the size of the full pedigree or as the number of living dogs (coefficients of correlation, r, range from 0.00 to 0.53 and 0.15–0.60, respectively, with 0.07<P<1.00). Similarly, there is no correlation between F and the number of founders at any of the points in time (0.03<r<0.45; 0.19<P<0.93), suggesting that, contrary to what might be expected, the number of founders or the population size does not explain inbreeding levels. For the Gotland hound, census numbers have been consistently low over the study period with the number of animals regarded as alive never exceeding 180. Similarly, the number of founders is very low for this particular breed (maximum of 15 in 1990) and average levels of inbreeding is also highest in this breed with average F = 0.10 in 2012. Breeds like the Swedish lapphund and the Swedish vallhund, however, reach almost as high average F—0.09—in spite of pedigree sizes of several thousand individuals, census sizes of well over 1000, and over 50 founders. Similarly, the Swedish elkhound and the Drever have pedigrees comprising over 50,000 dogs, with over 10,000 defined as alive in 2012 but average F is over 0.07.
Linear regression gives b = 0.001, r2 = 0.21, P<0.001 and the regression line is shown.
Mean kinship values (MK; Table 1) at particular points in time show the average relatedness among living individuals . MK is used in conservation breeding to choose animals for breeding; by prioritizing individuals with low MK inbreeding and loss of founder genetic variation is minimized. Average and range of MKs among the Swedish dog breeds show that such prioritization has typically not been carried out for these breeds. In some cases average MK at one point in time is lower than average F for the next time point. For instance, average F for the Swedish lapphund is consistently larger than the average MK for the prior time point (Table 2) indicating that increase of inbreeding is unnecessary high in this breed. In contrast, for the Gotland hound, the Swedish white elkhound, the Norrbottenspitz, and the Danish-Swedish farmdog average F is below the MK of the preceding time step indicating that dogs chosen for breeding have had lower MK than the average among living dogs.
Differences in inbreeding among breeds and over time
Inbreeding increases over time as expressed by a significant linear relationship between time and average inbreeding coefficient per breed (b = 0.001, r = 0.46, P<0.001; Fig 2). There are differences among breeds; a two-factor ANOVA without replication yields significance for both breed differences (between breeds F8,32 = 9.60, P<<0.001) and point in time (between time point F4,32 = 8.77, P<<0.001). This analysis included all five points in time and only the nine breeds for which results from all time points are available (Table 2). Removing 1980 (when the pedigrees for three of the breeds have just started; Table 1) still gives significant results for both among breeds (F8,24 = 9.40, P<<0.001) and among points in time (F3,24 = 4.33, P<0.05).
Breed differences persist also over the final part of our time series, 2000–2012 (F8,16 = 26.88, P<<0.001), but significant differences between the three time points (2000, 2006 and 2012) are lacking (F2,16 = 2.24, P = 0.14). The Hamilton hound lacks results from the full five point time series (Table 2) but has results from 2000, 2006, and 2012, and could thus be included for these time points. The two-factor ANOVA including the Hamilton hound gives equivalent results as when it is excluded (F9,18 = 26.74, P<<0.001 and F2,18 = 2.50, P = 0.11, for breeds and time points, respectively). The observation of differences in inbreeding levels between breeds and between time points is supported also when quantifying inbreeding in terms of MK or as average Ne over generations (data not shown).
When analyzing each breed separately there is a weak but consistent increase of inbreeding over time within all breeds (S1 Fig) with linear regression coefficients (b) in the range 0.001–0.004, and all P-values <<0.001. These observations are consistent for the Gotland hound, Swedish white elkhound and the Danish-Swedish farmdog both with and without the 1980 data.
Loss of founder allele variation–differences among breeds and over time
Loss of genetic variation measured as number of remaining founder alleles over the monitored time period is extensive. In 2012 the proportion of remaining founder alleles ranges from 0.13 (Hamilton hound) to 0.49 (Danish-Swedish farmdog) with an average over breeds of 0.29. This suggests that on average 70 percent of the genetic variation measured by this pedigree based parameter has been lost over a c. 5 decade period representing around 8 generations (average number of generations per breed in 2012; cf. Table 2).
Similar results are observed when retention of founder alleles is quantified as number of founder genome equivalents (fge). The range of fge among live dogs in 2012 is 3.3–11.5 with the Gotland hound representing the lowest values and the Swedish white elkhound the largest (Table 2). The interpretation of this result is that the 2012 genepools of these breeds include genetic variation of the magnitude of 3.3–11.5 unrelated founders . The averages fge = 7.1 over all breeds indicates that on average the genetic variation of separate breeds could be represented by 7 unrelated individuals.
There is a highly significant negative trend over time in the proportion of remaining founder alleles, but the variation among breeds is quite large (b = -0.012, r2 = 0.42, P<<0.001; Fig 3). Two-factor ANOVA without replication for 1980–2012 (including the nine breeds having results for all five time points) gives significance for both between points in time (F4,32 = 16.65, P<<0.001) and between breeds (F8,32 = 8.69, P<<0.001). Similar variation in proportion of remaining founder alleles exists over the last part of the period (2000–2012; F9,18 = 30.02, P<0.0001 and F2,18 = 13.01, P<0.001, for breeds and time points, respectively), and is observed also when retention of genetic variation is measured as the number of fge per founder. Two-factor ANOVAs without replication for fge over 1980–2012 gives between breeds F8,32 = 7.39 (P<0.0001) and between points in time F4,32 = 6.69 (P<0.001). The same test gives equivalent results for fge over 2000–2012 (among breeds F9,18 = 98.4 and 115.9, between time point F2,18 = 10.9 and 13.9, all P<0.001).
Effects of assumption on longevity
We had to make assumptions regarding longevity because the database of the Swedish Kennel Club does not include information on when individual animals die. We have assumed that all dogs of all breeds live for 12 years and then die. Clearly, this is not accurate and it is important to consider if and how this assumption affects the generality of our results. The pedigrees themselves will, of course, not be affected by assumptions on longevity, but assessments of inbreeding and loss of founder alleles at particular points in time might be. Similarly, generation length and number founders of living animals at various time points could also be affected and, thus, quantification of average Ne over generations.
We performed additional analyses where the assumption regarding lifespan was set to 6 years and the results are very similar as when assuming a lifespan of 12 years (Table 3). The trend of an increase in inbreeding over time persists also with a 6 year lifespan (linear regression gives b = 0.001, r2 = 0.18, P<0.001; cf Fig 2 for the relationship with when lifespan is 12 years), as does the trend of a decreasing proportion of founder alleles remaining over time (linear regression gives b = -0.010, r2 = 0.35, P<0.00001; cf Fig 3 for the relationship with when lifespan is 12 years). Similarly, average Ne over generations is very similar regardless of lifespan. However, the parameters current Ne and current Ne/N are strongly affected (Table 3).
Effects of removing individuals carrying deleterious alleles
For several of the Swedish national dog breeds, hereditary defects occur and the SKC has set up so-called disease control programs for some of these disorders (cf. Table 1). Such disease control programs generally imply that animals should have a diagnosis with respect to the defect prior to breeding. Diagnosis might imply veterinary examination (necessary for diagnosing e.g., hip dysplasia that occur in many of the breeds) and/or genotypic screening (available for e.g., the progressive retinal atrophy that is caused by a single recessive allele which occurs in the Swedish lapphund and the Norrbottenspitz).
The Swedish lapphund exhibits prcd-PRA—an eye disease that results in blindness. The defect is caused by a single autosomal, recessive allele . The SKC´s control program allows heterozygous carriers (type B), but not affected dogs (type C), to be included in breeding. SKC requires a DNA test to determine the genotype of individual dogs (http://www.skk.se).
We analyzed the effect on the conservation genetic status of the Swedish lapphund population of removing not only type C dogs but also type B dogs (heterozygous carriers) from the population. We proceeded as follows: from the population of animals classified as alive (using the assumption 12 years as the maximum age) as of December 31, 2012 we removed type B and C dogs. This resulted in removal of 34 percent of the population. We then assessed the variables studied (population average F, MK, fge). The removal did not affect average inbreeding among remaining animals (F = 0.079 versus 0.081 with and without removal, respectively), and neither was mean kinship (MK = 0.085 versus 0.084) or fge (5.95 versus 5.93) among remaining animals affected.
With respect to the Norrbottenspitz only few animals suffer from PRA; up until 2009 only 10 animals had shown the defect, and in the population of 2012 only 15 heterozygous carriers had been confirmed. We did not perform an analysis of the effects of removing these animals.
We also analyzed the Swedish lapphund pedigree in regard to an additional hereditary defect that occurs in the population—hip dysplasia. This defect is also considered hereditary , and we obtained similar results for this character as for prcd-PRA. Excluding dogs affected with hip dysplasia categories C (mild dysplasia), D (moderate dysplasia), or E (high grad of dysplasia) did not affect average level of inbreeding (F = 0.083 versus 0.082 with and without removal, respectively), mean kinship (MK = 0.089 versus 0.084), or fge (5.63 versus 5.67).
The same pattern regarding conservation genetic effects of removing dogs affected with hip dysplasia (HD) were observed in the Danish-Swedish farmdog and Swedish white elkhound populations. Excluding HD affected dogs (classified as C, D or E) for Danish-Swedish farmdogs did not affect average inbreeding among live animals in 2012 (F = 0.040 versus 0.041 with and without removal, respectively), mean kinship (MK = 0.044 in both cases) or fge (11.31 versus 11.32). For the Swedish white elkhound average inbreeding with and without removal were F = 0.018 in both cases, mean kinship was MK = 0.043 versus 0.044 with and without removal of HD affected dogs, and fge was 11.43 versus 11.49.
We have monitored inbreeding levels and retention of intra-breed variation using pedigree data from 12 traditional Swedish dog breeds, ten of which have been identified as of national conservation concern , over a 32 year period, 1980–2012, and our main observations are:
- Inbreeding (F) increases over this period and in 2012 averages for separate breeds are in the range = 0.02–0.10.
- Loss of founder alleles is extensive; the proportion of founder alleles that have been lost in different breeds ranges from c. 50–90 percent.
- Founder allelic variation of 2012 gene pools was equivalent to only 3–20 founding animals, which reflects a loss of over 80 percent of founder variation measured as founder genome equivalents.
- Effective population size (Ne) over generations is slightly above the critical level of 50  for the majority of breeds, and for two breeds (Gotland hound, Hällefors elkhound) Ne is below this level.
- Rates of inbreeding and loss of variation is unnecessarily extensive considering the census sizes of these breeds. This is indicated by the ratio between current Ne−reflecting number of males and females used in breeding corrected for uneven sex ratio–and number of live animals which is often less than 20 percent and often only around 10 percent (Table 2).
Our observations are in line with previous findings; about 90 percent loss of pedigree measured genetic variation during the past few decades has been reported in nine dog breeds in France , three scent hound breeds in central Europe , ten dog populations bred in the United Kingdom , and 26 dog populations bred in Sweden . Clearly, present day dog breeding appears to be associated with a rapid loss of genetic variation. Our present results indicate that this is true even for breeds that have been identified as of specific conservation value, and where breeding goals explicitly include maintaining genetic variation.
These observations are worrying since reduced genetic variation and inbreeding are generally associated with loss of adaptive potential and reduced options for effective selection . We note that this rapid genetic diversity loss is paralleled to increasing needs of dogs for a number of different purposes in modern society [10, 11, 12, 13]. Similarly, elevated health problems in dogs are frequently associated with their genetic background . While the importance of conserving genetic resources of domestic species are recognized in international policy; a specific biodiversity target of the CBD Strategic Plan 2011–2020—Aichi target 13 –is even directed towards such resources, implementation lags behind.
Genomic studies needed
Clearly, our present study and other studies reporting rapid increase of inbreeding and loss of pedigree-measured genetic variation need to be supplemented with genomic studies in order to find out the extent to which the trends indicated by the breeding records are reflected over the genomes of these breeds. Considerable contemporary research is focused on various aspects of genomic characterization of domestic dog breeds [32, 33, 34]. Recent studies report contrasting results with respect to correlation between pedigree inbreeding coefficients (FPed) and genomic runs of homozygosity (ROH). Some researchers find good correlations between FPed and ROH in domestic dogs  as well as in wolves , whereas others report that such correlations are poor [37, 38]. Similarly, only moderate correlations between FPed and ROH have been found in e.g. cattle [39, 40]. Thus, pedigree based estimates of inbreeding levels and amount of genetic diversity may not provide a complete picture of genomic levels of genetic diversity. Also, since the pedigree data used here only dates back to around the mid 1900s we do not have a complete picture of the history of these breeds which are typically much older , and genomic data would provide most valuable information in this respect.
Genomic marker-based measures have been suggested to outperform pedigrees [41, 42], but until such tools become widely available, including to breeders, we think that pedigree analysis provides a cost-effective opportunity for planning breeding and monitoring rates of recent inbreeding and loss of variation. Such pedigree based conservation breeding approaches focus on minimizing mean kinship (MK) and has long been applied within the context of maintaining endangered wild animal species in zoos . A recent study reported that such conservation breeding protocols also effectively retained genomic diversity .
Findings in relation to conservation breeding goals
With respect to the situation for the 12 breeds investigated in the present study current breeding goals are not well met with respect to retention of pedigree measured genetic variation. An exception is the Gotland hound which is numerically very small but where several quantities indicate that breeding has been carried out well from a conservation perspective. The ratio of remaining founder genome equivalents to the number of founders is almost 30 percent for this breed (fge/number of founders = 3.31/12 = 0.276) which is much higher than for any of the other breeds. Similarly, current Ne/N is highest (0.16) for the Gotland hound and the proportion of remaining founder alleles is around 50 percent which is the highest retention observed (also reached for the Danish Swedish Farmdog and the Swedish white elkhound).
The Swedish Kennel Club recommends that mating resulting in F>0.0625 should be avoided (SKC website assessed in April 2018: http://www.skk.se/kopahund/att-kopa-hund/hundars-halsa/inavelsgrad/ [In Swedish]). This recommendation is not met for 8 of the 12 breeds where average F of the living population exceeds 0.0625 at one or more points in time, and the upper range is practically always well above F = 0.0625 (Table 2). Similarly, the SKC recommends that increase of inbreeding should not exceed 0.5 percent per generation (SKC website assessed in April 2018: http://www.skk.se/kopahund/att-kopa-hund/hundars-halsa/inavelsgrad/[In Swedish]) implying a per generation Ne ≥100. This criterion is violated for all breeds over the full study period.
It is interesting to note that for none of the breeds, with the exception of the Gotland hound, the rates of inbreeding and the rate of loss of founder alleles seem to be due to small population size. Rather, it appears that the reason for rapid loss of variation and increasing inbreeding includes the use of only an unnecessarily small proportion of animals in breeding. This is indicated by the ratios of current Ne/N (Tables 2 and 3); in 2012 this ratio varied between 0.06–0.16 (average 0.12).
Threat classification according to FAO criteria
The FAO criteria for threat classification  have been used by the Swedish Board of Agriculture to classify all Swedish native domestic animal breeds including the ten native dog breeds identified as of conservation concern . Six of the breeds were classified as Critical-maintained and four as Endangered-maintained (Table 1). The FAO criteria for domestic breeds might not be as well known to the general biologist/geneticist as the IUCN Red List categories used for wild animal species  (www.iucnredlist.org), and we therefore describe them briefly here. The FAO categories include Extinct, Critical, Critical-maintained, Endangered, Endangered-maintained, Not at risk, and Unknown. The category Extinct is met when the breed no longer exists or when only individuals of one sex remain. Critical is met if i) the total number of breeding females is less than or equal to 100 or ii) the total number of breeding males is less than or equal to five; or iii) if the overall population size is less than or equal to 120 and decreasing and the percentage of females being bred to males of the same breed is below 80 percent.
The Endangered category implies that i) the total number of breeding females is greater than 100 and less than or equal to 1,000 or ii) the total number of breeding males is less than or equal to 20 and greater than five; or iii) if the overall population size is greater than 80 and less than 100 and increasing and the percentage of females being bred to males of the same breed is above 80 percent; or iv) if the overall population size is greater than 1,000 and less than or equal to 1200 and decreasing and the percentage of females being bred to males of the same breed is below 80 percent. The classification as Critical-maintained or Endangered-maintained implies that the category Critical or Endangered is met but that active conservation programs are in place. Category Not at risk refers to when none of the threatened criteria are met, e.g. the total number of breeding females and males are greater than 1,000 and 20, respectively, or if the population size is greater than 1,200 and the overall population size is increasing.
There are obvious shortcomings of the FAO classification system (as of any such system). For instance, no direct genetic parameters are included . However, it might still be valuable to apply this classification system to get a general picture of the status of various domestic breeds that can be monitored over time in addition to various conservation genetic parameters. The first and only classification of Swedish dog breeds was presented by the Swedish Board of Agriculture in 2007 , and there is a need to update these classifications.
Effects of selective breeding on genetic diversity retention
There is an ongoing discussion of potential conservation genetic effects of imposing selective breeding aiming at removing hereditary disorders in these breeds. Animals with a diagnosed defect can, in many cases, still be used in breeding. For example, dogs with diagnosed hip dysplasia can be used in breeding although the SKC and breed clubs often recommend that they are not. Similarly, animals that are known carriers of the allele that causes progressive retinal atrophy (PRA) can be used in breeding if they are mated to documented (through genotypic screening) non-carriers. Dogs homozygous for the PRA-allele cannot be used in breeding. One reason for allowing the use of carriers in breeding is because if those animals are selected against this would result in extensive loss of genetic variation.
Previous studies on wild animals bred in captivity for conservation purposes have shown that evaluation of effects of selective removal of animals carrying single deleterious alleles must be carried out on a case by case basis. For instance, removing high probability carriers of a single allele causing blindness in a captive wolf population did not affect retention of overall founder genetic variation. In contrast, removal of high probability carriers of an allele causing albinism in a captive brown bear population could not be done without substantial loss of genetic variation .
Our present results indicate that selective removal of affected animals can often be carried out without further loss of founder genetic variation. For the present breeds this seems to be the case for hip dysplasia in the Swedish lapphund, the Swedish white elkhound, and the Danish-Swedish farmdog and also for progressive retinal atrophy in Swedish lapphund..
In order to reduce the rate of loss of genetic variation and increase of inbreeding that has been documented in many dog breeds we recommend that conservation genetic criteria such as MK rankings are included when selecting animals for breeding. Further, a larger portion of existing dogs should be used in breeding. For the breeds of the present study current census sizes imply that future increase of inbreeding and loss of genetic variation has the potential to be miniscule if more dogs are used in breeding and extreme variation in offspring production between separate dogs are avoided. We note that both software applied here (PMx and mPed) are freely available and genetic monitoring using pedigree data is a cost effective method to improve breeding from a conservation perspective. It is important, however, that supplementary genomic studies are conducted for these and other dog breeds in order to find out, e.g., how well the pedigree measurements reflect genomic inbreeding and levels of genetic variation.
Our present analysis does not cover much of the period 2010–2020 during which the Strategic Plan of the Convention of Biological Diversity applies and where a specific Target referring to genetic diversity of domestic species applies (Aichi Target 13; http://www.cbd.int/sp/). Thus, we urge for continued monitoring of these populations including the use of genomic tools. We also stress the importance of documenting dates of death of separate dogs in the SKC database to provide an opportunity of obtaining as correct a picture as possible with respect to the conservation genetic situation.
We thank Swedish Kennel Club for providing the studbook data. We are grateful to Thomas Wink at the Swedish Kennel Club for extensive help with pedigree information, Nils Ryman for valuable discussions and suggestions, Ingvar Ståhl for help with programming and running software, Mari Edman for reviewing breeding plans and proof readings, Helena Falk for proof readings, the Academic Editor and two anonymous reviewers for valuable suggestions on a previous version of the manuscript.
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