Peer Review History

Original SubmissionJuly 6, 2022
Decision Letter - Petri Böckerman, Editor

PONE-D-22-19138Projections of adult skills and the effect of COVID-19PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Özdemir,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

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We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Petri Böckerman

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Additional Editor Comments:

The revised version should address all comments.

[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

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2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

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3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

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4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

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5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: The paper is timely, well written and addresses an issue that needs to be dealt with as the world goes into its post COVID19 pandemic phase. The methodology and the results obtained are clear and consistent. In my view the discussion of the results is somewhat deficient. In many cases the questions of "Why" and "What does this mean" are lacking. Oftentimes the discussion mirrors the way in which the results are written. I noted also that in spite of the fact that the paper has 53 references, the discussion is void of references except for lines 299 and 302 where reference 2 is used. Discussion section therefore needs to enhanced through a comparison with previous studies. While this is the first time we have had education affected in this by a COVID pandemic, it is not the first time that children have been denied an education due to factors such as disease (West Africa Ebola outbreak of 2013–2016), wars (world war 2) and natural disasters (Nearly 40 million children a year have their education interrupted by natural disasters). Publications in these scenarios can be used to enhance the discussion.

Reviewer #2: The manuscript is technically sound and well prepared. There is novelty in the topic and well supported with the literature review. Results are well presented though complex to understand. In the data and methods there is mention of three major scenarios for which the explanation is given. whereas in the results, there is a sentence "according to four scenarios" (line 268) which is not clear to the reader.

Reviewer #3: Well presented analysis on impact of school closure during COVID 19 on adult skills in due to impact of school closure,

The paper doesn't talk about any impact on how it may affect health or its correlation.

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Reviewer #1: Yes: Devon Ronald Dublin

Reviewer #2: No

Reviewer #3: No

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Revision 1

Dear Editor and Reviewers,

We are pleased to submit the revised version of our original research article entitled “Projections of adult skills and the effect of COVID-19” to be considered for publication in PlosOne.

In this submission, we address the suggestions from the reviewers. First of all, we would like to thank for the constructive comments and suggestions. As per the editorial comment about Figure 2: The map used in the figure was constructed by the authors using R software. The base map is constructed using Natural Earth public domain maps, we added information about the R packages, cited Natural Earth web site and data used in drawing the map in the figure notes.

To meet the points raised by Reviewer #1, the Discussion & Conclusion section has been extended. A discussion about the increasing global skills gap is added in the second paragraph and relevant references were cited. Another discussion about previous evidence of learning loss was added in the third paragraph with the relevant citations.

Reviewer #2 pointed out the uncertainty about the number of projection scenarios used. It had been mentioned in the first paragraph of the Results section. Now, it is clearly stated once again in the first paragraph of the Discussion & Conclusion section.

In answer to the point of Reviewer #3 about the link to health, we have added a line in the Discussion & Conclusion section, reflecting on the potential long-term consequences of the pandemic on mental health. A detailed discussion would go, however, beyond the scope of this paper.

Thank you for your consideration,

The Authors

Attachments
Attachment
Submitted filename: response_to_reviewers.docx
Decision Letter - Petri Böckerman, Editor

Projections of adult skills and the effect of COVID-19

PONE-D-22-19138R1

Dear Dr. Özdemir,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.

Kind regards,

Petri Böckerman

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

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2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: (No Response)

Reviewer #2: Authors have addressed the reviewers' comments and done the modifications in the manuscript. Hence it can be accepted.

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7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: Yes: Devon Dublin

Reviewer #2: Yes: Prima Jenevive Jyothi D'Souza

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Formally Accepted
Acceptance Letter - Petri Böckerman, Editor

PONE-D-22-19138R1

Projections of adult skills and the effect of COVID-19

Dear Dr. Özdemir:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Professor Petri Böckerman

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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