Prediction of Post-Weaning Fibrinogen Status during Cardiopulmonary Bypass: An Observational Study in 110 Patients

Background After cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), acquired coagulopathy often leads to post-CPB bleeding. Though multifactorial in origin, this coagulopathy is often aggravated by deficient fibrinogen levels. Objective To assess whether laboratory and thrombelastometric testing on CPB can predict plasma fibrinogen immediately after CPB weaning. Patients / Methods This prospective study in 110 patients undergoing major cardiovascular surgery at risk of post-CPB bleeding compares fibrinogen level (Clauss method) and function (fibrin-specific thrombelastometry) in order to study the predictability of their course early after termination of CPB. Linear regression analysis and receiver operating characteristics were used to determine correlations and predictive accuracy. Results Quantitative estimation of post-CPB Clauss fibrinogen from on-CPB fibrinogen was feasible with small bias (+0.19 g/l), but with poor precision and a percentage of error >30%. A clinically useful alternative approach was developed by using on-CPB A10 to predict a Clauss fibrinogen range of interest instead of a discrete level. An on-CPB A10 ≤10 mm identified patients with a post-CPB Clauss fibrinogen of ≤1.5 g/l with a sensitivity of 0.99 and a positive predictive value of 0.60; it also identified those without a post-CPB Clauss fibrinogen <2.0 g/l with a specificity of 0.83. Conclusions When measured on CPB prior to weaning, a FIBTEM A10 ≤10 mm is an early alert for post-CPB fibrinogen levels below or within the substitution range (1.5–2.0 g/l) recommended in case of post-CPB coagulopathic bleeding. This helps to minimize the delay to data-based hemostatic management after weaning from CPB.


Introduction
Platelet aggregation and hemostatic clot formation are strongly associated with the presence of fibrinogen, a soluble glycoprotein upregulated in a variety of inflammatory conditions. [1][2][3] Recently, fibrinogen gained renewed clinical interest after a number of studies demonstrated the inverse relationship between fibrinogen levels, perioperative blood loss and exposure to allogeneic blood transfusion. [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9] In cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), major post-CPB bleeding is not infrequent since CPB-associated conditions (e.g., hemodilution, hypothermia, platelet dysfunction and fibrinolysis) impair fibrinogen levels, function and hence, clot stability. This multifactorial acquired coagulopathy increases bleeding, allogeneic blood product exposure, morbidity and mortality. [5,[10][11][12][13][14][15] Current European guidelines recommend fibrinogen substitution as a first-line therapy in case of significant bleeding accompanied by low levels of plasma fibrinogen. [16,17] Plasma fibrinogen level is traditionally determined by time-consuming direct measurement (clottable fibrinogen according to the technique by Clauss). More recently, in a point-of-care setting and much faster, thrombelastometry (ROTEM) is used to quantify fibrin-dependent clot firmness (FIBTEM assay). It has been advocated that point-of-care thrombelastometry can be used to replace the Clauss method under perioperative conditions, not only due to its more comprehensive representation of functional fibrinogen potential, but also for its much shorter turnaround time. [18][19][20] Current guidelines recommend fibrinogen substitution if substantial bleeding is accompanied by a plasma fibrinogen of less than 1.5 to 2.0 g/l. [21][22][23][24] Selection of a clinically appropriate substitution threshold and target range, and accurate as well as rapid determination of fibrinogen status around these points are needed for efficacious and safe hemostatic management. Undersubstitution, treatment delays or oversubstitution are all likely to increase complication rate. Undersubstitution will fail to normalize clinical coagulation in due time, resulting in continued blood loss, prolonged hemodynamic instability, difficult surgical hemostasis and exposure to repetitive transfusion rounds. Abnormally high fibrinogen levels, e.g. in the range commonly observed beyond the second postoperative day, are an independent risk factor for thrombosis, stroke and myocardial infarction. [9,[25][26][27] We hypothesized that analysis of fibrinogen level and function during CPB prior to weaning provides early and reliable information for the immediate post-weaning diagnosis and treatment of hypofibrinemic bleeding. The aim of our study was to compare Clauss fibrinogen levels and simultaneously sampled FIBTEM assays during rewarming prior to CPB weaning as well as after weaning and heparin reversal, and to assess discriminatory power of FIBTEM parameters for post-CPB fibrinogen substitution thresholds recommended by current guidelines [24,28].

Study Design and Patient Cohort
This is a prospective observational study of sequential coagulation analysis during cardiovascular surgery on CPB. Consecutive patients undergoing a prospectively defined variety of cardiovascular procedures with moderate to high bleeding risk, according to the study of Karkouti et al., [29] were included, with the aim to provide external validity for a patient population of an academic cardiac center: combined coronary and valve surgery, re-do cardiac surgery, cardiac transplantation, left ventricular assist device implantation, use of hypothermic circulatory arrest, thoracic or thoracoabdominal aortic repair, or with other predictors of increased post-CPB bleeding risk (active dual antiplatelet therapy, liver insufficiency, prolonged CPB runs >120 min). All procedures were performed at the University Hospital Bern, Switzerland, between June 2009 and July 2011.
Since acquisition of ROTEM analysis by our hospital in 2009, institutional policy of the Department of Hematology and Central Hematology Laboratory stipulated availability of sequential, and simultaneously sampled, conventional and thrombelastometric coagulation test results prior to the release of factor concentrates to operating room teams. In order to reduce laboratory expense in the future, these datasets were analyzed for clinically useful correlations and predictive power. All patients undergoing cardiovascular procedures on CPB as mentioned above were screened for the study. Exclusion criteria were unpaired conventional and FIBTEM samples, or exogenous substitution with fibrinogen concentrate during the study period, i.e., pre-, on, and post-CPB until transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU).
Ethical approval for the study (registration number 197/08) was provided by the Cantonal Ethics Committee (Kantonale Ethikkommission Bern, Postfach 56, 3010 Bern. Contact: Dr. sc. nat. Dorothy Pfiffner). All patients gave written informed consent for pertinent laboratory analysis and blood product substitution, and for use of their anonymized data for research purposes. The STROBE checklist for observational studies was used to guide the methods and to structure this manuscript. [30] Anesthesia, CPB and Management of Hemostasis All patients received general anesthesia and cardiovascular surgery according to institutional standards. Anesthetic monitoring included American Society of Anesthesiologists standard monitoring, invasive blood pressure, central venous pressure, urine output and nasopharyngeal temperature monitoring. Depending on the procedure, cardiac surgery was performed using either conventional extracorporeal circulation (CECC; Maquet Holding, Germany; 88% of the patients) primed with 500 ml hydroxyethyl starch (130/0.4), 1000 ml Ringer´s solution, 100 ml of 20% mannitol and 10.000 IU heparin, or a minimized extracorporeal circuit (MECC; Medtronic, Minneapolis, USA; 12% of the patients) primed with 600 ml Ringer´s solution and 5000 IU heparin. No heparin-coated components were used. Routine antifibrinolytic treatment consisted of tranexamic acid (loading dose, 30 mg/kg over 30 min after heparin administration followed by 15 mg/kg/h until skin closure). Myocardial protection was provided with a single dose of 100 ml antegrade crystalloid cardioplegia (Cardioplex, Bichsel AG, Interlaken, Switzerland), and in the case of prolonged bypass time, with additional high-potassium cold blood cardioplegia (Buckberg Solution, Bichsel AG., Interlaken, Switzerland) repeated every 20-30 minutes. A bolus of heparin was given (CECC: 500 IU kg -1 ; MECC: 400 IU kg -1 ) prior to aortic cannulation to achieve a target kaolin-activated clotting time (high-range ACT) of >480 seconds (Activated Coagulation Timer ACT II, Medtronic, Minneapolis, USA) before starting cardiopulmonary bypass. On CECC during full anticoagulation, shed blood was filtered and reinfused via the cardiotomy reservoir into the CPB circuit, or underwent autologous cell salvage, red blood cell separation, processing and reinfusion pre-and post-heparinization. With MECC, shed blood was entirely salvaged using an optoelectrical sensor suction device (SMART, Fumedica AG., Muri, Switzerland), which is activated only when in direct contact with liquid; here, all suctioned blood was first processed using a cell-saving device and then reinfused. After weaning from CPB, heparin was reversed with protamine in a ratio of 1:1 with regard to the initial heparin bolus. A post-reversal ACT of <130 seconds was targeted.
Intraoperative coagulation testing was performed from venous blood sampled from a central venous line or from the extracorporeal circuit and sent by pneumatic tube transport to the central hematology laboratory for complete blood count, international normalized ratio, fibrinogen concentration (Clauss method) and simultaneous thrombelastometry (ROTEM delta, Axon Lab, Switzerland). To account for our laboratory´s turnover time of 45 min for conventional coagulation testing, samples were obtained 30-40 min prior to the projected termination of CPB (on-CPB), and again after full heparin reversal with protamine (post-CPB). Choice and amount of transfused allogeneic blood products were left to the discretion of the attending anesthesiologist and intensivist, respectively, within the limits of our institutional transfusion guidelines. Fresh frozen plasma, which contains fibrinogen, was only given after obtaining blood for the post-CPB measurement time point.

Measurement of Plasma Fibrinogen
Plasma levels of fibrinogen were measured using the Clauss technique on a commercially available coagulation analyzer (BCS, Dade Behring Inc., Germany) using the Multifibren U-Reagent according to manufacturer`s specifications and pertinent publications. [31] Briefly, excess thrombin added to diluted and recalcified citrated plasma converts fibrinogen into fibrin monomers, which spontaneously polymerize into a clot. The time needed for clot formation is inversely correlated with the plasma fibrinogen, which is calculated using a calibration curve.
Sequential analysis using thrombelastometry included assays for INTEM, EXTEM, FIBTEM and HEPTEM. Briefly, native or-as in our study-recalcified citrated whole blood (300 μl) is immersed into a heated cuvette with an oscillating pin suspended in the blood sample. Rotation of the pin back and forth through an angle of 4°75`in the center of the cuvette initiates platelet activation and fibrin polymerization, which in turn increases torque and progressively restricts pin movement. The viscoelastic change is transmitted for signal processing and graphical display via an optical detector system composed of a light source with a mirror mounted on axis. [32,33] In FIBTEM, tissue factor is used as activator with cytochalasin D added for platelet inhibition, which provides a measure of net fibrinogen polymerization. Although all ROTEM variables were recorded, comparative analysis in this study focuses on clot formation amplitude at 10 min (A10) and maximum clot firmness (MCF). Reference range was 9-24 mm for A10 and 8-25 mm for MCF. [34] In order to ensure quality control and to minimize user-dependent variability, all coagulation and thrombelastometry analyses were performed in our central hematology lab at an analysis temperature of 37°C by certified bioanalytical technicians. Pre-analytical workup, parameters and real-time display of results in the operating room have been described previously. [19,32,[35][36][37]

Data Collection and Statistical Analyses
Demographic data and intraoperative variables were collected in a prospective observational fashion. Clauss fibrinogen and ROTEM results were stored in and retrieved from the laborato-ry´s data base system. Analysis time stamps were linked to CPB time stamps, comparing simultaneously acquired Clauss fibrinogen and FIBTEM results sampled prior to (pre-CPB), during (on-CPB) and after CPB (post-CPB).
Linear regression analysis was used to assess the relationship between Clauss fibrinogen and FIBTEM variables, or between different times of measurement using the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (Pearson´s r). Methods were compared using mean difference (bias), the standard deviation of the difference and the limits of agreement (bias ± 1.96 x standard deviations), also expressed as the percentage of error (= 100 x 1.96 x standard deviation of the difference between the post-CPB and the on-CPB value / mean of on-CPB and post-CPB value). Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis was used to assess diagnostic or predictive power of FIBTEM and fibrinogen data.
Data are presented as counts (percentage), mean ± standard deviation, median with interquartile ranges [25q;75q], regression coefficient (r) and area under the curve for ROC (AUC) as appropriate. A p-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant. For statistical analysis we used SigmaPlot for Windows, Version 10.0 and SigmaStat for Windows, Version 3.0 (Systat Software, Inc., Germany).

Procedural and Outcome Data
Of 2232 CPB procedures in the observation period, 110 patients had paired conventional and FIBTEM samples, and did not receive exogenous substitution with fibrinogen concentrate during the study period, i.e., pre-, on, and post-CPB until transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU). Demographics and preoperative anticoagulant medication are given in Table 1. Table 2 lists procedural data pertinent to perioperative fibrinogen kinetics, and basic outcomes. In this cohort with moderate to high bleeding risk and prolonged duration of CPB, Clauss fibrinogen levels below the institutional lower reference limit (1.75 g/l) were observed in 29% of included patients during CPB, and in 19% after CPB weaning. Allogeneic product transfusion in exposed patients after weaning from CPB until transfer to the ICU were 4 [2;6] units of red blood cells and 4 [2;6] units of fresh frozen plasma ( Table 2). Overall perioperative exposure to any allogeneic blood product transfusion was 86% (95 / 110).

Correlation and Discriminatory Power of Fibrinogen and FIBTEM
Clauss fibrinogen and A10 were significantly correlated (all data points, r = 0.81; p<0.05).
Their correlation was closer on-CPB at a mean Hb of 83 g/l (r = 0.87) and post-CPB (mean Hb 88 g/l; r = 0.74) than pre-CPB (mean Hb 105 g/l; r = 0.66) (Fig 2). The discriminatory power of A10 and MCF for various assumed fibrinogen substitution thresholds was determined for fibrinogen cutoffs between 1.0 and 2.2 g/l. ROC analysis showed that FIBTEM discrimination of fibrinogen cutoffs in this range was generally good with some variability (A10, ROC-AUC 0.91 to 0.95; MCF, 0.90 to 0.95 (Fig 3)). For cutoffs between 1.5 g/l and 2.0 g/l, which reflect current recommendations for perioperative fibrinogen substitution [9,16,22,38], the discriminatory power of the more rapid A10 result was not inferior to MCF. Sensitivity and specificity of A10 were balanced best at 7.5 mm, offering an even better maximum sensitivity (0.89) and specificity (0.88) for a fibrinogen cutoff at 1.6 g/l than MCF (Fig 3).

Within-Test Correlation between On-CPB and Post-CPB Fibrinogen and FIBTEM
The difference between on-CPB and post-CPB results for Clauss fibrinogen, A10, or MCF was not significant (Fig 1). Although comparison of measurements also demonstrated close withintest correlation (r > 0.87) and small bias, precision was low and percentage of error was >30% for Clauss fibrinogen, A10 and MCF (Table 3, Fig 4). fibrinogen >2.0 g/l is likely when on-CPB A10 amplitude is above 9.0 mm (both sensitivity and specificity = 0.88) (black circles, Fig 5).
This diagnostic accuracy, however, is still less than satisfactory. For clinical purposes, it is more helpful to rapidly pre-identify all patients with low fibrinogen post-CPB (i.e., aiming for high sensitivity of A10 on-CPB for post-CPB fibrinogen 1.5 g/l). On the other hand, exogenous fibrinogen administration appears unreasonable at post-CPB fibrinogen levels 2.0 g/l. Thus, on-CPB prediction using A10 should aim for high specificity for post-CPB fibrinogen <2.0 g/l. These two clinically relevant conditions were fulfilled best at an on-CPB A10 of 10 mm, with sensitivity (lower border of substitution range) at 0.99, and specificity (upper border) at 0.83, respectively (Fig 5). This on-CPB A10 amplitude had a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.60 for post-CPB fibrinogen 1.5 g/l and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.92 for post-CPB fibrinogen <2.0 g/l.

Intraoperative Allogeneic Blood Product Use and Postoperative Drainage Loss
Post-CPB fibrinogen assessment was followed by significant use of fresh frozen plasma, platelets and an overall high exposure to allogeneic transfusion in our study population ( Table 2). Subsets of patients with on-CPB A10 10 mm and A10 >10 mm in the post-CPB period did not show statistically significant difference for transfusion of any blood product (p values for red blood cells = 0.35; fresh frozen plasma = 0.07; platelet concentrate = 0.19) or for chest tube loss (after 24 hours: p = 0.34).

Discussion
This observational study tracked conventional and thrombelastometric fibrinogen status on weaning from CPB in a representative cohort undergoing major cardiovascular surgery. Its main findings were as follows: In accordance with the current rationale for thrombelastometry in suspected hypofibrinogenemic post-CPB bleeding, FIBTEM A10 and MCF correlate with plasma fibrinogen (Clauss). This is more marked with hemodilution, as has been described before [39]. FIBTEM A10 is more rapidly available, and discriminates equally well or better than MCF in the range of clinical interest between 1.5 g/l and 2.0 g/l plasma fibrinogen. Also, pre-weaning and post-CPB  results of both techniques are closely correlated, which can be used for planning of post-CPB hemostatic management. Despite such significant correlations, however, there is considerable imprecision both in FIBTEM-based fibrinogen estimates and in prediction of post-CPB values from pre-weaning data. By choosing a categorical approach instead, we found that FIBTEM A10, when sampled on CPB prior to weaning, allows accurate and clinically useful identification of patients who will be in-or outside a target zone of 1.5-2.0 g/l plasma fibrinogen after weaning and heparin reversal. Our findings of correlations between conventional and point-of-care fibrinogen test methods are confirmative of current literature for a large and clinically representative variety of major cardiovascular surgery. [32,40,41] However, even if Clauss fibrinogen and FIBTEM correlate with each other, and also show close within-test correlation and small bias, the limits of agreement between on-CPB and post-CPB samples are wide. An exact prediction of the latter, e.g., by using linear regression equations of Fig 4, is thus not possible. Therefore we chose a categorical approach [42], classifying predicted post-CPB fibrinogen into three clinically relevant zones of a) hypofibrinogenemia 1.5 g/l, b) a target range of 1.6-2.0 g/l, and c) fibrinogen >2.0 g/l. We identified an optimal operating point at an A10 of 10 mm, measured on-CPB prior to weaning. This decision threshold provides a sensitivity of 0.99 for ruling in a post-CPB fibrinogen 1.5 g/l (Clauss method). Thus, in case of non-surgical bleeding after heparin Prediction of Post-Weaning Fibrinogen Status during CPB reversal, such information is already at hand for triggering fibrinogen substitution towards the target range of 1.5-2.0 g/l. [9,16,22,38] The same threshold allows on CPB to rule out a post-CPB fibrinogen >2.0 g/l with a specificity of 0.83, in order to minimize oversubstitution in conjunction with clinical assessment of bleeding. A lower diagnostic resolution of on-CPB A10 for fibrinogen cutoff at 1.5 g/l (positive predictive value 0.60) appears clinically acceptable in view of the lack of safety signals for fibrinogen replacement (with FFP or factor concentrate) at levels below 2.0 g/l. [43] With this approach, and regardless of whether conventional or point-of-care testing is the preferred institutional routine, on-CPB sampling during rewarming enables the clinician to plan post-CPB fibrinogen management in a timely and simple fashion. Thus early diagnosis and immediate, data-driven treatment of hypofibrinogenemic bleeding after termination of CPB is feasible.
Our study, although observational and from a single institution, has external validity since it analyses a mixed cohort of patients undergoing major cardiovascular surgery at risk of post-CPB bleeding, transfusion and mortality, and without exogenously administered fibrinogen concentrate. Sensitivity and specificity of A10 for Clauss fibrinogen limits of 1.5 and 2.0 g/l, respectively, with optimal operating point at 10 mm (A10). Two-graph fitted ROC curves with 95% confidence interval showing sensitivity and specificity for each limit. Sensitivity (blue curve) and specificity (gray dashdot curve) for post-CPB Clauss fibrinogen 1.5 g/l and sensitivity (gray dash-dot-dot curve) and specificity (green curve) for post-CPB Clauss fibrinogen >2.0 g/l. Black circles: best sensitivity and specificity for Clauss fibrinogen 1.5 g/l (left circle, corresponds to A10 of 6.9 mm) and for Clauss fibrinogen >2.0 g/l (right circle, corresponds to A10 of 9.0). Red cross corresponds to optimal operating point with an on-CPB A10 sensitivity for post-CPB Clauss fibrinogen 1.5 g/l of 0.99 and a specificity for post-CPB Clauss fibrinogen >2.0 g/l of 0.83. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0126692.g005 Prediction of Post-Weaning Fibrinogen Status during CPB At the time of the study, fibrinogen concentrate was released by our Department of Hematology for perioperative replacement exclusively after documentation of post-CPB fibrinogen levels (Clauss) of 1.0 g/l or less, in accordance with 2006 ASA guidelines. [38] Applying the decision rule derived from this study, 40% of our patients would have received exogenous fibrinogen substitution based on an A10 10 mm on-CPB. Instead, in our cohort, post-CPB fibrinogen assessment was followed by significant use of fresh frozen plasma, platelets and an overall high exposure to allogeneic transfusion in our study population. This is a likely explanation why postoperative chest tube drainage did not differ between subsets of patients with on-CPB A10 10 mm and A10 >10 mm (p = 0.34 for chest tube drainage loss after 24 hours). Whether early FIBTEM-guided administration of fibrinogen concentrate in above 40% of patients at risk would have resulted in a reduction of blood loss and allogeneic transfusion exposure, is to be clarified by further studies.
Low levels of plasma fibrinogen appear associated with excessive blood loss and poor patient outcome after cardiac surgery. [4,[7][8][9]14,21,44,45] It has been also demonstrated that after termination of CPB, plasma fibrinogen levels reach an individual nadir and tend to recover until 24 hours postoperatively. [8,13,46,47] Taken together, hemostasis in the early post-CPB period may be compromised substantially by abnormally low plasma fibrinogen, with consequences like excessive or protracted blood loss, impaired exposure during surgical hemostasis, prolonged systemic hypoperfusion, hemodilution, ionized hypocalcaemia, hypothermia and lactic acidosis. Compensatory use of vasopressors, inotropes and allogeneic blood products are associated with, or may be even causative for increased perioperative morbidity and mortality. Despite the well-documented importance of sufficient plasma fibrinogen levels in the immediate post-CPB period, there are still conflicting recommendations about suitable trigger levels for fibrinogen substitution. [21][22][23]. A plasma level of 0.8-1 g/l is nowadays regarded as a too low a trigger for exogenous fibrinogen replacement. [9,10] On the other end of the spectrum, a fibrinogen target of >3.0 g/l, as suggested by some authors, [16] does not produce supranormal ROTEM parameters in vitro. [22] It may even cause harm in vivo by promoting thromboembolic cardiovascular events and increasing medical cost. [16,27,48] At present, a target range of 1.5-2.0 g/l for fibrinogen substitution during coagulopathic bleeding is recommended. [8,17,23,38,[49][50][51] Cardiac surgery is characterized by acute, but usually foreseeable and often iatrogenic perturbations of the coagulation system by anticoagulants, hemodilution, surface activation and hypothermia. Thus, early prediction of post-CPB fibrinogen status is an appealing idea. So far, this approach has been neglected in favor of prophylactic indiscriminate use of antifibrinolytics, and of labor-intensive point-of-care testing. [52] Only recently, Engberink et al. prospectively investigated the diagnostic value of early ROTEM amplitudes for thrombocytopenia and hypofibrinogenemia in cardiac surgery. [53] They found that FIBTEM-A5, providing results after 5 min of initialization, closely correlates to A10 (r = 1.00), MCF (r = 0.99) and Clauss fibrinogen (r = 0.87). Correlation between simultaneously sampled FIBTEM and fibrinogen data in this study is very similar to our results. By replacing A10 with A5, the authors were able to estimate concomitant fibrinogen levels 5 minutes earlier with similar diagnostic accuracy. Görlinger et al. confirmed the good correlation of early FIBTEM variables (A5, A10, A15) with MCF in non-cardiac procedures. [18] When comparing Clauss fibrinogen test performance between different laboratories, Solomon et al. found no change in plasma fibrinogen when measured before and after CPB weaning (varying from -0.17 to 0.13, depending on center) and hypothesized that Clauss measurements on CPB could allow early estimation of fibrinogen deficit after weaning. [54] Our study confirms this hypothesis in a representative cardiac surgical population with a variable degree of acquired hypofibrinogenemia. However, even if performed by certified lab technicians, pre-weaning estimation of post-protamine fibrinogen parameters lacks precision, according to Bland-Altman analysis of our data. We therefore propose to omit the idea of pointto-point prediction in favor of a categorical approach. Our results show that Clauss fibrinogen, FIBTEM parameters, or the combination of both, when sampled on CPB, allow accurate and clinically useful identification of patients who will be below or within a target zone of 1.5-2.0 g/l plasma fibrinogen after weaning and heparin reversal. In our study, an A10 10 mm on CPB classified a patient either as hypofibrinogenemic (99% sensitivity for 1.5 g/l) or within the substitution range (83% specificity for <2.0 g/l) following heparin reversal. This allows timely preparation of fibrinogen replacement for patients bleeding non-surgically after CPB, but avoids overtreatment with fibrinogen concentrate, particularly so when bleeding can be stopped surgically.
Our observational study has several limitations. Data come from a single center and from a heterogeneous group of patients. This heterogeneity of the cohort with only few patients in some of the subgroups (e.g. isolated CABG, thoracoabdominal aorta repair) may be seen as disadvantage. However, this composition of surgical therapies reflects a realistic clinical spectrum for university-based cardiac surgical services. Thus, we believe that the heterogeneity of our study cohort adds to external validity of our decision strategy for fibrinogen substitution. Still, prediction accuracy and decision thresholds may vary depending on center, laboratory, Clauss assay, ROTEM operator, but also for different patient populations, surgical and perfusion techniques. [54] For instance, the Multifibren U reagent used in our Clauss analysis is known to be potentially sensitive to the high heparin levels (>2 IU/ml) routinely used on CPB. [54,55] This, or alternatively hemoconcentration at the end of the CPB run, might explain the numerical, though insignificant, increase in post-CPB fibrinogen observed by us and others. [54,55] Also, the exact time point of paired sampling prior to CPB weaning, and hence, heparin concentration in the circuit, could not be strictly standardized in relation to the termination of the CPB run. Such potential confounders are an argument to prefer, on-CPB prior to weaning, a FIB-TEM-based predictor instead. Finally, perioperative use of hydroxyethyl starch varied somewhat depending on CPB type used (ECC, MECC). This may have affected both fibrinogen and FIBTEM test accuracy [56][57][58], i.e., by causing overestimation of fibrinogen in Clauss testing, and underestimation of true activity by FIBTEM amplitudes, thus contributing to imprecision of FIBTEM-derived post-CPB fibrinogen estimates. [56][57][58] Overall however, the dose of colloid in our series was much lower than reported in comparable studies (Table 2). [59,60] Since hydroxyethyl starch is about to disappear as a confounder of intraoperative coagulation testing, predictive accuracy may improve in future analyses.
In conclusion, our study describes a clinically useful decision approach for early prediction of post-CPB fibrinogen status from thrombelastometry obtained on CPB prior to weaning. It allows clinicians a timely and accurate identification of patients who will, after weaning and heparin reversal, present with plasma fibrinogen below or within the range of 1.5-2.0 g/l recommended as substitution target by current guidelines.