Energy Efficiency Analysis: Biomass-to-Wheel Efficiency Related with Biofuels Production, Fuel Distribution, and Powertrain Systems

Background Energy efficiency analysis for different biomass-utilization scenarios would help make more informed decisions for developing future biomass-based transportation systems. Diverse biofuels produced from biomass include cellulosic ethanol, butanol, fatty acid ethyl esters, methane, hydrogen, methanol, dimethyether, Fischer-Tropsch diesel, and bioelectricity; the respective powertrain systems include internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, hybrid electric vehicles based on gasoline or diesel ICEs, hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, sugar fuel cell vehicles (SFCV), and battery electric vehicles (BEV). Methodology/Principal Findings We conducted a simple, straightforward, and transparent biomass-to-wheel (BTW) analysis including three separate conversion elements -- biomass-to-fuel conversion, fuel transport and distribution, and respective powertrain systems. BTW efficiency is a ratio of the kinetic energy of an automobile's wheels to the chemical energy of delivered biomass just before entering biorefineries. Up to 13 scenarios were analyzed and compared to a base line case – corn ethanol/ICE. This analysis suggests that BEV, whose electricity is generated from stationary fuel cells, and SFCV, based on a hydrogen fuel cell vehicle with an on-board sugar-to-hydrogen bioreformer, would have the highest BTW efficiencies, nearly four times that of ethanol-ICE. Significance In the long term, a small fraction of the annual US biomass (e.g., 7.1%, or 700 million tons of biomass) would be sufficient to meet 100% of light-duty passenger vehicle fuel needs (i.e., 150 billion gallons of gasoline/ethanol per year), through up to four-fold enhanced BTW efficiencies by using SFCV or BEV. SFCV would have several advantages over BEV: much higher energy storage densities, faster refilling rates, better safety, and less environmental burdens.


Introduction
The sustainability revolution from non-renewable sources to renewable sources is the defining challenge of our time [1,2,3]. Mobility usually represents the level of a civilization [4,5]. Lightduty passenger vehicles, which constitute the largest type of transportation energy consumption among different transportation modes, have some special requirements, such as high energy storage capacity in a small container (e.g., ,50 liters), high power output (e.g., ,20-100 kW per vehicle), affordable fuel (e.g., $,20-30/GJ), affordable vehicle, low costs for rebuilding the relevant infrastructure, fast charging or refilling of the fuel (e.g. several min per time), and safety concerns [5,6,7]. Such strict requirements result in limited choices for fuels and respective powertrain systems. Here powertrain refers to the group of components that generate power from stored energy and deliver it to wheels of vehicles running on the road surface, including the engine, transmission, drive shaft, differentials, and wheels [8,9]. Therefore, current light-duty passenger vehicles mainly rely on non-renewable liquid fuels and internal combustion engines (ICE). But the depletion of crude oil, accumulation of greenhouse gases, concerns of national energy security, and creation of manufacturing jobs are motivating the development of sustainable transportation biofuels based on local renewable biomass [1,3,9,10].
Most ethanol is made from corn kernels and sugarcane, but this practice raises heated debate due to competition with food supplies; furthermore, its contribution to the transport sector is minimal or modest [1,11]. Lignocellulosic biomass is presently believed to be the only major renewable bioresource that can produce a significant fraction of liquid transportation fuels and renewable materials in the future [2,9,11,12] because the overall energy stored in phytobiomass each year is approximately 30-fold of the energy consumed for transportation [9,13]. But the future role of biomass in the transport sector remains in debate [1,14,15].
Several types of powertrain systems have been developed to convert stored energy to kinetic energy, including internal combustion engines (e.g., gas ICE, diesel ICE, jet turbine, and rocket turbine), external combustion engines (e.g., steam engine and steam turbine), and electric motors. Because of special requirements of passenger vehicles, such as weight-to-power ratio (e.g., one to several g/W), engine costs (e.g., tens dollars/kW), and engine lifetime (e.g., ,5,000 h), only three engines are acceptable for passenger vehicles: gas ICE, diesel ICE, and electric motor. Considering electricity stored in batteries and possible on-board electricity generation systems (e.g., hydrogen proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cell) plus their hybrids, this analysis attempted to compare six current and future powertrain systems: gas-based ICE vehicles (ICE-gas) [7,8], hybrid electric vehicles based on gasoline ICE (HEV-gas) [30], hybrid electric vehicles based on diesel (HEV-diesel) [30], fuel cell vehicles based on compressed H 2 (FCV) [31,32,33,34], battery electric vehicles (BEV) [20,32], and sugar (hydrogen) fuel cell vehicles (SFCV) [3,5,9].
Here we suggest developing an energy efficiency analysis for biomass-to-wheel (BTW), a ratio of kinetic energy of the wheels of an automobile to the chemical energy of delivered biomass (Fig. 1). Conducting this BTW analysis is simple and straightforward because it not only avoids uncertainties or debates for (i) biomass production-related issues, (ii) feedstock collection and transport, and (iii) land use change, but also excludes water consumption issues and greenhouse gas emissions in the whole biosystem. Therefore, energy efficiency analysis (but not life cycle analysis) may not only be helpful in narrowing down numerous choices before more complicated LCA and techno-economic analyses are conducted, but may also increase the transparency of such analyses.
In this article, we present a simple biomass-to-wheel (BTW) efficiency (g BTW ) analysis methodology involving three elements -biomass-to-fuel (BTF), fuel distribution, and fuel-to-wheel (FTW) (Fig. 2). Using this method, 13 combinations of different biomassto-biofuel approaches and their respective powertrain systems were analyzed as compared to a baseline -corn-ethanol-ICE. The identification of high BTW efficiency scenarios would help make a more informed decision for how to utilize (limited) biomass resource more efficiently. Following this, a more detailed LCA should be conducted for evaluating potential impacts associated with identified inputs and releases and for compiling an inventory of more relevant energy and material inputs as well as environmental effects.

Methods
The biomass-to-wheel efficiency (g BTW ), an energy conversion ratio of an automobile's kinetic energy to the harvested and delivered biomass in the front of the door of biorefineries, involves three sequential elements -biomass-to-fuel production, fuel transport and distribution, and the powertrain system responsible for the fuel-to-wheel conversion (Fig. 2). The BTW efficiency is the lumped efficiency from chemical energy in biomass to kinetic energy for vehicle driving. The g BTW value can be calculated as below where W is the kinetic energy transferred to wheels; E B is the chemical combustion energy of the biomass, where dry corn stover as a typical biomass contains ,65% carbohydrates (cellulose and hemicellulose, mainly), ,18% lignin, ,5% ash, ,12% other organic molecules [45,46]; and the E B value is 16.5 MJ of low heating value/kg of corn stover [47]; g BTF is the biomass-to-fuel (BTF) efficiency through biorefineries or power stations without significant inputs or outputs of other energy; g TDL is the fuel loss efficiency during its transport and distribution; and g FTW is the fuel-to-wheel (FTW) efficiency from the fuel to kinetic energy through powertrain.
The g BTF value can be calculated as below where E F is the fuel produced in biorefineries or power stations. The g BTF values of current corn ethanol as a reference range from 46% to 50% [48], and the value of 49% is chosen as a baseline [10]. Through the biomass sugars platform, potential biofuels include cellulosic ethanol, butanol, fatty acid esters (ester-diesel), hydrogen, and methane. Through syngas made by a thermochemical pathway, potential biofuels are ethanol, hydrogen, methanol, dimethyl ether (DME), FT-diesel, and electricity [49,50,51]. Also, electricity can be produced through direct combustion for the generation of steam followed by a steam turbine/generator, or biomass integrated gasification combined cycle (BIGCC) to fuel cells (Table 1). Different powertrains are required to convert different biofuels to the kinetic energy of the wheels. The g FTW value can be calculated as a ratio between the kinetic energy on wheels (W) and fuel energy in the tank (E T ): For liquid biofuels, powertrain systems are gasoline ICE, HEVgas, and HEV-diesel. Fuel cell vehicles run on stored compressed hydrogen, through a PEM fuel cell stack and an electric motor. The sugar fuel cell vehicle (SFCV) is a hypothetical powertrain system, where sugar is a hydrogen carrier, an on-board biore-former generates high-purity hydrogen for PEM fuel cell stacks, and the remaining powertrain parts are the same as FCV [5,9]. The battery electricity vehicle (BEV) is a battery/motor system based on rechargeable batteries that can store electricity.
The g TDL value can be calculated as fuel consumed for its transport and distribution from biorefineries to end-users (vehicles) where E C is the energy consumed in the process of fuel transport and distribution, E T is the fuel energy delivered to end users (i.e., powertrains), and E F = E C + E T. Fuel losses during transport and distribution were obtained from the Argonne National Laboratory's model Greet 1.8c [52]. Detailed data sources and efficiency calculations are available in Table 2.

Results
Different scenarios of fuel production through sugar, syngas, and steam platforms as well as six different powertrains viz.

Biomass-to-fuel efficiency (g BTF )
All biomass-to-fuel efficiency data plus their original data and units for different biomass pathways are listed in Table 1, and their representative g BTF values are presented in Fig. 4.
In this study, we use corn stover as a representative biomass, in which total carbohydrates (including cellulose and hemicellulose) account for approximately 60-65% of combustion energy in biomass. Through the biochemical (sugar) pathway, the remaining chemical energy in biomass, mainly lignin, is consumed for running pretreatment as well as sugar isolation and product separation [45]. In general, ,35-40% of the chemical energy of biomass is enough to run biorefineries without external energy input [45,53]. The g BTF values for sugar-to-biofuels mainly depend on sugar isolation yields and sugar-to-fuel yields during microbial fermentation or enzymatic biotransformation. In this study, the g BTF value is 57%, i.e., ,88-95% of sugar release from  biomass, in agreement with data elsewhere [45]. Given sugar yields of 88-99% for cellulose and hemicellulose and sugar-toethanol yields of 92-95%, the g BTF value of cellulosic ethanol would be 50%, with a range of 48-56% [10,53]. Given the sugarto-butanol yields from 82% (now) [17] to 93% (future) [6], the g BTF value for butanol fermentation would be about 48% with a range of 47-53%. Methane can be produced by anaerobic fermentation mediated by a microbial consortium, where microorganisms convert all organic components except non-hydrolytic lignin to methane. Therefore, g BTF values range from 62 to 81% [54,55]. The practical g BTF value of methane may be approximately 65%, higher than 50% (ethanol) and 48% (butanol). In contrast to anaerobic biofuels fermentations, long chain fatty acid esters (microdiesel) must be produced from sugars through semiaerobic fermentation due to an imbalance of NAD(P)H [6,22,23]. Because semi-aerobic fermentation consumes a significant amount of sugar for the synthesis of cell mass than anaerobic fermentation, less carbohydrate would be allocated to the production of microdiesel [6,56]. The g BTF values of the ester-diesel fermentation would be about 35%, in the range of 7 to 37% depending on the fuel yields, from 13% [22] to 64% (future) [6].
Syngas can be produced from biomass through gasificationpartial combustion at temperatures above 1000 K and in the presence of oxygen and/or water. Gasification is a relatively mature technology, so a significant fraction of biomass must be consumed for partial combustion, resulting in relatively low energy efficiencies, even though all organic components can be utilized [49,50,51]. The g BTF values for hydrogen generation from biomass range from 55% [57] to 71% [58] with a mean value of ,60%. The g BTF values for methanol, DME and FT-diesel vary from 51% [59] to 55% [31], from 39% to 57% [60], and from 41% [31] to 52% [61], respectively. Preferred g BTF values are 54% (methanol), 52% (DME), and 51% (FT-diesel), respectively. Clearly, the g BTF values for liquid biofuels (methanol, DME and FT-diesel) are lower than those of hydrogen because of more catalysis steps and their accompanied energy losses. Bioelectricity can be produced simply through boiler/steam turbine technology, with g BTF values ranging from 25% (now) to 43% (future) [62]. The assumed g BTF value is approximately 32%. Biomass integrated gasification, combining gas and steam turbine for electricity production (BIGCC), would have improved overall efficiencies, ranging from 32 to 45% [62,63]. In order to increase electricity generation efficiency without restriction of the second law of thermodynamics for turbines, the integrated biomass gasification and fuel cells would have g BTF values of 40 to 51% [64,65].

Transport and distribution loss efficiency (g TDL )
Fuel distribution processes consume a fraction of fuel produced from biorefineries or power stations (Fig. 5). Original data and units were obtained from the Greet1.8c software ( Table 2). Typical g TDL values for different fuels after normalization are shown in Figure 5. In general, liquid biofuels have similar efficiency losses (e.g., 0.8-3.3%). Gaseous fuels, such as hydrogen and methane, have more energy consumption for their compression, transport, refilling, and so on. The g TDL values are 17% for compressed   hydrogen and 8% for compressed methane (Greet1.8c). The welldocumented distribution efficiency of electricity is 92%, i.e., 8% of electricity is lost during its distribution (Greet1.8c).

Fuel-to-wheel efficiency (g FTW )
Two major internal combustion engines for passenger vehicles are gasoline Otto (spark plug firing) ICE and diesel (compression ignition) ICE. Gasoline ICEs have a low weight-to-power ratio (e.g., ,1 g engine per W output) but their maximum efficiencies are relatively low, approximately 32%, due to low compression ratios [66]. In contrast, diesel ICEs have a higher weight-to-power ratio (e.g., ,3-4 g engine per W output) and a much higher energy conversion efficiency, more than 40% [66]. It is reasonable that diesel ICEs are widely used in heavy-duty trucks, tanks, and tractors. In Europe, diesel ICE passenger vehicles are more popular mainly due to higher fuel costs and more climate change concerns. Audi A3 vehicles based on ICE-diesel have 35.4 miles per gallon of diesel, higher than ICE-gasoline (24.7 miles per gallon of gasoline) [67], suggesting a ,26% enhancement in g FTW efficiency. (Note: the volumetric energy density of diesel is ,13-14% higher than that of gasoline) [7].
Practical g FTW values of ICEs are much lower than their maximum efficiency because of (i) the engines operate at ,70% of their maximum efficiency during most driving conditions, (ii) ,17% loss for engine idling, (iii) ,2% consumption for accessories (e.g., air conditioning, lighting), and (iv) ,25% loss in transmission [30,66,68]. Therefore, the g FTW for ethanol-ICE is approximately 14% as a baseline [69], and this value would be improved through higher compression rate ethanol engine and better transmission [70,71,72]. Advanced diesel vehicles are expected to have g FTW values of 20-24% [71]; the g FTW value of 23% is used in this study.
Hybrid electric vehicles (HEV) can eliminate idling losses, allow a small engine to work at nearly optimal conditions, and utilize braking energy with regenerative braking [30,73]. Therefore, advanced HEV-gas is estimated to have g FTW values of 29-34% [30,74]. Similarly, the g FTW values of HEV-diesel can be increased to 32-38%, with a preferred value of 37%.
The hydrogen fuel cell vehicle (FCV) is a complicated powertrain system involving compressed hydrogen, FEM fuel cells, an electric motor, and a rechargeable battery [32,75]. FCVs feature zero tailpipe pollution and high energy conversion efficiencies due to PEM fuel cells, whose theoretical energy efficiency from hydrogen to electricity is up to 83%. As a result, many companies have attempted big research FCV projects, and some of them produced prototype FCVs, such as the GM Sequel, the BMW Hydrogen 7, the Ford Focus FCV-Fuel Cell, the Toyota Fine X, and the Honda FCX Clarity. The g FTW values of FCVs range from 41 to 54% [32,75], with a mean value of 45%. SFCVs based on FCVs would have an on-board bioreformer that can convert the sugar slurry to high-purity hydrogen and absorb waste heat from PEM fuel cells. Because the efficiency of sugar-to-hydrogen is 107% based on low heating value [9,24,25], the g FTW value for SFCV is estimated to be 48% with a range of 44-57%.
Battery electric vehicles (BEV) have the highest g FTW values, although they still have some energy losses in battery recharging and release, storage loss, motor, and so on [32,76]. BEVs have predicted g FTW values from 64 to 86% [32,76,77], with a mean value of 68%. All fuel-to-wheel efficiencies of different vehicles are summed up in Table 3 and Fig. 6.

Biomass-to-Wheel (BTW) efficiency (g BTW )
A combination of 12 kinds of biofuel production approaches and 6 kinds of advanced powertrains for passenger vehicles results in more than 20 scenarios (Fig. 3). In this analysis, 14 scenarios were calculated (Fig. 7). The current corn ethanol/ICE scenario has g BTW value of ,7%, i.e., only 7% of the chemical energy in corn kernels is converted to the kinetic energy on wheels, implying a great potential in increasing biomass utilization efficiency. An ethanol HEV-gas system would double g BTW values to 14-18%, suggesting the importance of developing hybrid electric vehicles based on available liquid fuel distribution system. There is no significant difference in g BTW between butanol and ethanol, but butanol may have other important future applications, such as powering jet planes. The g BTW values of methane/HEV-gas and methanol/HEV-gas are 19% and 17%, respectively, higher than those of ethanol and butanol, mainly due to higher product yields. Since ICE-diesel has higher g FTW efficiencies than ICE-gas, the scenarios based on HEV-diesel through DME and FT-diesel (except ester-diesel) would have higher g BTW values than HEV-gas scenarios. For ester-diesel, a significant amount of energy is lost during aerobic fermentation due to thermodynamic and bioenergetic limits [6], resulting in low g BTW values. Even for the niche jet fuels market, the production of ester-diesel through semi-aerobic microbial fermentation might not be competitive with anaerobic butanol fermentation [78] and a high-energy-retaining efficiency hybrid of biocatalysis and chemical catalysis [28].
Although (hydrogen) fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) have higher g FTW efficiencies than ICE-gas and ICE-diesel, the H 2 /FCV scenario  shows ,46% and ,15% g BTW enhancements over ethanol HEVgas and DME HEV-diesel, respectively, because significant energy loss in hydrogen distribution discounts FCV's advantages over HEV-diesel. The sugar/SFCV scenario would have very high g BTW values of approximately 27% due to lower energy consumption in fuel transport and heat recapture in the sugar-tohydrogen biotransformation, compared to the H 2 /FCV scenario. BEV scenarios are among the highest g BTW values, from 20% to 28%, with increasing electricity generation efficiencies from direct combustion, BIGCC, to FC-power.

Discussion
Conducting energy efficiency analysis is simpler, faster, and less controversial than conducting life cycle analysis because the latter heavily depends on so many different assumptions and uncertain inputs. Here we present a straightforward energy efficiency analysis from biomass to wheels for different options, which contains three elements. Each element can be analyzed separately and adjusted individually; most of which have data well-documented in literature (Tables 1-3). Because of the same input and output in all cases, an increase in energy conversion efficiency nearly equals impact reductions in carbon and water footprints on the environment. Most of the results obtained from this biomass-to-wheel analysis were in good agreement with previous, more complicated life cycle analyses, supporting the validity of this methodology. Our analysis suggested that the hydrogen fuel cell vehicle (H 2 / FCV) scenario would have at least comparable efficiency with or a little higher than hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) systems, which was supported by a previous paper [76]. Another analysis suggested that the H 2 /fuel cell scenario had three times higher efficiency than ethanol/internal combustion engines (ICE) [33], in good agreement with our analysis (Fig. 7). Through comparison of four biofuels (i.e., hydrogen, methanol, Fischer-Tropsch (FT)-diesel, and ethanol) and two powertrain systems (i.e., ICE and FCV), they recommended FCV due to the highest energy efficiency [31]. These data were comparable with our analysis (Fig. 7). Both the sugar/sugar fuel cell vehicle (SFCV) and fuel cell (FC)-power/ battery electric vehicle (BEV) scenarios would have nearly four times that of corn ethanol/ICE-gas, implying the importance of enhancing BTW efficiency in each conversion element.
A new solution --sugar-fuel cell vehicles (SFCV) The concept of SFCV was proposed to address problems associated with H 2 /FCV, such as high-density hydrogen storage in FCV, low-cost sustainable hydrogen production, costly hydrogen distribution infrastructure, and safety concern [9,25]. In this system, renewable sugar (carbohydrate) is suggested as a high hydrogen density carrier, with a gravimetric density of 8.33% mass H 2 and a volumetric density of more than 100 g H 2 per liter [3,5,9]. Transportation and distribution of the sugar/water slurry or sugar slurry would be easily achieved using available infrastructure. This hypothetical SFCV based on FCV would contain a sugar tank and an on-board sugar-to-hydrogen bioreformer, with a combined sugar tank and bioreformer volume that is much smaller than a compressed hydrogen tank or other hydrogen storage approaches [3,5]. The sugar/water slurry would be refilled rapidly into the sugar container in SFCVs at local sugar stations; the on-board biotransformer would convert the sugar solution to high-purity hydrogen and carbon dioxide using a stabilized enzyme cocktail; and a small-size hydrogen storage container would serve as a buffer, balancing hydrogen production and consumption. In addition, feeding a mixture of CO 2 /H 2 or pure hydrogen in the proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cells would dramatically decrease system complexity and greatly increase system operation performance, and the waste heat release from PEM fuel cells would be coupled to the heat needed by the bioreformer. Electrical energy from PEM fuel cells would be sent to the motor controller/motor/ gears to generate kinetic energy [9]. When extra kinetic energy is needed for acceleration or start-up, electrical energy stored in the rechargeable battery would be released, like in a hybrid electric vehicle [9]. The on-board bioreformer in SFCVs, mediated by the thermoenzyme cocktails under modest reaction conditions (e.g., ,80uC and ,1 atm), may be capable of providing high-purity hydrogen at a rate of ,23.5 g H 2 /L/h or higher. Given a bioreformer size of 42.8 L, one kg of hydrogen per hour could then be produced to drive the PEM fuel cell stack, followed by the electric motor [5]. High-speed biohydrogen production rates have been implemented by high cell-density microbial fermentation [79]. It is widely known that enzymatic reactions usually are at least one order-of-magnitude faster than microbial fermentations because the former has no cellular membrane to slow down mass transfer and much higher biocatalyst loadings, without the dilution of other biomacromolecules (e.g., DNA, RNA, other cellular proteins) [3,56,80,81]. Current gasoline/ICE cars require maintenance every 3,000 miles (e.g., 4,800 km) or 3 months, i.e., 50-100 driving hours. Discovery of thermophilic enzymes that are stable at ,80uC for more than 100 h has been demonstrated, for example, T. maritima 6phosphogluconate dehydrogenase [82]. We expect that enzyme deactivation in the biotransformer will be solved through infrequent service maintenance, similar to the oil/air filter change for gasoline/ ICE vehicles. Several technical obstacles of SFCVs include poor enzyme stability, labile and costly coenzymes, low reaction rates, and complicated system configuration and control [3,9,56,80]. A huge potential market (e.g., nearly one trillion of US dollars per year) provides the motivation to solve these issues within a short time. Current progress includes the discovery of thermostable enzymes from extremophiles and low-cost production of recombinant enzymes [80,82,83,84,85,86], engineering redox enzymes that can work on small-size biomimetic cofactors [56,87,88], and accelerating hydrogen generation rates [5,9,24,89].

SFCV is better than BEV
Although the biomass-to-wheel efficiency may be the most important criterion in analyzing future transportation systems, many factors were related with future choices, including energy storage density, system compactness, fuel costs, infrastructure, safety, operation reliability, environmental costs, resource availability, technology maturity, and improvements potential. Because the energy densities of lithium ion batteries (0.46-0.72 MJ/kg) [90,91] are much lower than those of liquid fuels (,30-40 MJ combustion energy/kg) and sugars (,11-14 MJ electricity/kg sugar) [3,5], BEVs will have a very short driving distance, making the BEV poorly suited for long-distance transportation [32]. If the energy densities of rechargeable batteries were increased by 10fold in the future, safety concerns would likely come into play, slowing or even preventing wide deployment of such batteries in BEVs. In fact, it is impossible to increase energy densities of lithium rechargeable batteries by 10-fold due to physical limits [90]. Metal/air batteries are supposed to have the highest energy storage density of all batteries [90]. But regeneration of oxidized metals is so energy intensive that metal/air batteries may be too costly for the transport sector. SFCV would have a comparable g BTW with the FC-boiler/BEV scenario but with much longer driving distances based on the same fuel weight (i.e., broader applications). Also, refilling of solid sugar or sugar/water slurry into SFCVs would be much faster and safer than recharging batteries for BEVs or refilling compressed hydrogen for FCVs. If the obstacles to ultra-fast recharging and the life-time of batteries were solved, a huge infrastructure investment would be required for upgrading electrical grids, sockets for quick recharging, power stations, etc. Since SFCV would have ,3.4 times the FTW efficiency of ethanol/ICE-gas (Fig. 6), one kg of sugar (i.e., 17 MG/kg) would release more kinetic energy than one kg of gasoline (i.e., 46.4 MJ/kg) from ICE-gas. Thus, the mass of sugar delivered in the future may be less than the mass delivered by the current liquid gasoline/diesel distribution system. Another advantage is the much shorter sugar slurry transportation distance compared to that of gasoline/diesel, due to local production and distribution. The distribution of sugar would be done based on available goods distribution systems. Since SFCVs use biodegradable enzymes as catalysts, they would greatly decrease the environmental burdens related to BEVs, such as disposing and recycling used batteries.

Beyond BTW
Assessment of any energy system is really challenging because it involves so many factors. Generally speaking, efficiency and cost are usually the two most important criteria. Since thermodynamics (energy efficiency) determine economics in the long term, SFCVs and FC-power/BEV seemed to be long-term winner candidates, but SFCVs have other important advantages. Currently and in the short term, costs mostly determine market acceptance and dominance. But cost analysis is more complicated than energy efficiency analysis, because the former involves direct costs (e.g., fuel, vehicle, etc.), indirect costs (e.g., vehicle service, taxes, subsidies, infrastructure costs for repairing and rebuilding, resource availability, etc.), and hidden costs (e.g., safety, toxicity, waste treatment, greenhouse gas emissions, military expenditures, etc.). In the short term, cellulosic ethanol plus HEV-gas and methane-HEV-gas may be the most promising options.

Potential roles of biomass
It was important to estimate the role of US biomass resources in the future transport sector. The net primary production of biomass in the USA would be approximately 9.83 billion of dry metric tons in 2030, based on the current net primary (biomass) production with an annual growth rate of 1% [92], mainly due to higher photosynthesis yields accompanied with rising CO 2 levels [93,94]. Considering the fact that gasoline/bioethanol consumption in 2008 was approximately 140 billion gallons per year and an assumed annual growth rate of 1%, a switch from ethanol/ICE to sugar/SFCV would require net biomass energy of 11.60 EJ/year in 2030. That is, approximately 700 million metric tons of biomass in 2030, i.e., ,7.1% of calculated annual US biomass (i.e., net primary production including natural ecosystems plus agricultural systems), would be sufficient to meet 100% of transportation fuel needs for light-duty passenger vehicles.
On the prospect of meeting transportation energy needs at acceptable fuel costs, we would like to suggest that short-term or middle-term solutions would be ethanol/butanol/methane plus HEV considering available current fuel distribution infrastructure and enhanced BTW efficiencies. In the long term, SFCVs will likely win over BEVs due to advantageous energy storage densities, safety, infrastructure, and environmental impacts. The great potentials for increasing g BTW values from ethanol-ICE to the future systems (HEV and SFCV) suggest that more efficient utilization of biomass would greatly decrease greenhouse gas emissions, and biomass use could result in more benefits to the environment, rural economy, and national security than originally expected [1]. Through SFCVs, about ,7% of annual US biomass resources may be sufficient to meet 100% of US light-duty transportation fuel needs in the future.

Author Contributions
Conceived and designed the experiments: YPZ. Performed the experiments: WDH. Analyzed the data: WDH YPZ. Wrote the paper: WDH YPZ.