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Table 1.

Baseline demographic information of patients who were amyloid-positive at baseline diagnosis.

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Fig 1.

Boxplot of the first and second principal components.

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Fig 2.

Diagnostic density of VPPCA1 in 448 test set patients.

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Fig 3.

a) Relationship between VPPCA1 and age. b) Relationship between VPPCA1 and one-dimensional LDA.

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Fig 4.

Complete model performance, feature importance, and task difficulty analysis.

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Fig 5.

Performance comparison of different feature configuration models.

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Fig 6.

Task-specific performance metrics and feature contribution analysis.

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Fig 7.

Feature importance analysis and ablation study results.

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Table 2.

Disease diagnosis classification results of test set patients based on decision tree.

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Table 3.

Performance comparison of VPPCA and other disease progression models for Alzheimer’s disease diagnostic classification.

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Fig 8.

Diagnostic classification performance comparison across different methods.

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Fig 9.

VPPCA non-cognitive variable modeling vs. complete variable modeling.

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Fig 10.

Distribution of the posterior convergence region of parameters of the vertical hierarchical model.

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Fig 11.

Parameter posterior distribution probability diagram of the longitudinal hierarchical model.

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Fig 12.

Trajectory diagram of test set patients based on baseline diagnosis classification (follow-up records at least three times).

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Table 4.

Diagnostic prediction results of VPPCA and other three methods for different categories.

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Fig 13.

Relationship between VPPCA1 and PPCA1.

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Fig 14.

Comparison of VPPCA and PPCA uncertainty quantification.

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