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Table 1.

Database summary.

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Table 2.

Characteristics of the four claims datasets.

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Table 2 Expand

Table 3.

The data and internal model performance details.

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Table 4.

The AUC values for each validation.

The brackets represent the confidence intervals—this is presented when the validation data is <100,000 people and ignored for larger data where the AUC values are more stable.

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Table 5.

The CROUD model questions and points per question response.

A patient’s risk can be determined by calculating their overall score as the sum of their points and then using Table 6 to match the risk for that score.

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Table 5 Expand

Table 6.

Predicted risk in each score strata compared to population risk of 0.14% in Optum.

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Table 6 Expand

Table 7.

External validation discriminative performance of CROUD.

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