COVID-19 pandemics modeling with modified determinist SEIR, social distancing, and age stratification. The effect of vertical confinement and release in Brazil
Fig 3
a) Evolution of the compartments of exposed (E), asymptomatic (A), symptomatic (I) and hospitalized (H). b) The same curve of H, and the fraction of hospitalizations needing ICU (U). The green dashed curve shows the total number of ICU beds in the country. At the current rate, the epidemics should peak in mid-May and collapse of the health care system should happen around May 1st. c) Cumulative number of reported cases and fatalities as orange and black dots, respectively. The number of hospitalizations closely matches the number of confirmed cases.