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Evaluation and comparison of statistical methods for early temporal detection of outbreaks: A simulation-based study

Table 2

FPR, specificity, POD, POD1week, sensitivity, NPV, PPV and F1-measure for all 21 evaluated methods (for past outbreak constant k1 = 0, 2, 3, 5, 10 and current outbreak k2 = 1 to 10 for POD and sensitivity).

α = 0.01 for Improved Farrington, Original Farrington, Periodic Poisson GLM and Neg Binomial GLM, CDC and EARS C1-C3. α = 0.05 for Bayes 1-3.

Table 2