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Evaluation and comparison of statistical methods for early temporal detection of outbreaks: A simulation-based study

Fig 1

Sensitivity versus 1-specificity (line 1), POD versus FPR (line 2), POD1week versus FPR (line 3) and sensitivity versus PPV (line 4) for α = 0.001, 0.01 and 0.05 (columns 1-3).

(Farr = Improved Farrington, OrigFarr = Original Farrington, Serf = periodic Poisson GLM, SerfNB = periodic Negative Binomial GLM, CDC = CDC algorithm, CUSUM = CUSUM, CUSUMR = CUSUM Rossi, CUSUMG = CUSUM GLM, CSMGR = CUSUM GLM Rossi, Bay1 = Bayes 1, Bay2 = Bayes 2, Bay3 = Bayes 3, RKI1 = RKI 1, RKI2 = RKI 2, RKI3 = RKI 3, Pois = GLR Poisson, GLRNB = GLR Negative Binomial, C1 = EARS C1, C2 = EARS C2, C3 = EARS C3, OutP = Outbreak P).

Fig 1

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0181227.g001