How well did experts and laypeople forecast the size of the COVID-19 pandemic?

• Gabriel Recchia ,

  Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Visualization

  * E-mail: glr29@cam.ac.uk

  Affiliation Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0210-8635

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• Alexandra L. J. Freeman,

  Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4115-161X

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• David Spiegelhalter

  Roles Methodology, Writing – review & editing

  Affiliation Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

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