Climatic Associations of British Species Distributions Show Good Transferability in Time but Low Predictive Accuracy for Range Change

• Giovanni Rapacciuolo ,

  * E-mail: giovanni.rapacciuolo05@imperial.ac.uk

  Affiliations Division of Ecology and Evolution, Imperial College London, Ascot, Berkshire, United Kingdom, Biological Records Centre, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom, Grantham Institute for Climate Change, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

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• David B. Roy,

  Affiliation Biological Records Centre, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom

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• Simon Gillings,

  Affiliation British Trust for Ornithology, Thetford, Norfolk, United Kingdom

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• Richard Fox,

  Affiliation Butterfly Conservation, Wareham, Dorset, United Kingdom

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• Kevin Walker,

  Affiliation Botanical Society of the British Isles, Harrogate, North Yorkshire, United Kingdom

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• Andy Purvis

  Affiliations Division of Ecology and Evolution, Imperial College London, Ascot, Berkshire, United Kingdom, Grantham Institute for Climate Change, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

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