About the Authors

Nick Scott

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

‡ These authors share first authorship on this work.

Affiliations The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia, Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Allan Saul

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

allan.saul@honorary.burnet.edu.au

‡ These authors share first authorship on this work.

Affiliation The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia

Tim Spelman

Roles Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia

Mark Stoove

Roles Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia, Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Alisa Pedrana

Roles Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia, Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Alexander Saeri

Roles Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation BehaviourWorks Australia, Monash Sustainable Development Institute, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Emily Grundy

Roles Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation BehaviourWorks Australia, Monash Sustainable Development Institute, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Liam Smith

Roles Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation BehaviourWorks Australia, Monash Sustainable Development Institute, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Michael Toole

Roles Investigation, Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia

Chandini Raina McIntyre

Roles Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Biosecurity Program, The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia

Brendan S. Crabb

Roles Conceptualization, Writing – review & editing

Affiliations The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia, Department of Immunology and Pathology, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia, Doherty Institute and School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia

Margaret Hellard

Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft

Affiliations The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia, Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia, Doherty Institute and School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Australia

Competing Interests

BC serves on the National COVID-19 Health Research Advisory Committee that provides guidance to the Federal Government’s COVID-19 response. NS, MH, A Saeri, EG and LS provide guidance to the Victorian Government’s COVID-19 response. MH and NS receive funding from the Victorian Government for the Optimise Study and COVID-19 modelling work. A Saeri and EG receive funding from the Victorian Government for the SCRUB project. CRM serves on the National COVID-19 Health Research Advisory Committee that provides guidance to the Federal Government’s COVID-19 response. She currently receives funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council and Medical Research Futures Fund, Office of Health Protection, Department of Health, Sanofi and from the Defence Intelligence Organisation. This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.