About the Authors

Gabriel Recchia

Roles Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Visualization

glr29@cam.ac.uk

Affiliation Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Alexandra L. J. Freeman

Roles Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

David Spiegelhalter

Roles Methodology, Writing – review & editing

Affiliation Department of Pure Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.