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A realistic two-strain model for MERS-CoV infection uncovers the high risk for epidemic propagation

Fig 3

Model simulations fitted to accumulated MERS-CoV clinical cases in Macca, Madina and Riyadh.

Observed data points are shown in blue and the solid line depicts the model solutions. The three two-strain models fitted to cumulative MERS-CoV cases are: M1: 2-strain model with bilinear incidence, M2: 2-strain model with non-monotone incidence, and M3: 2-strain model with saturated incidence.

Fig 3