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Skeeter Buster: A Stochastic, Spatially Explicit Modeling Tool for Studying Aedes aegypti Population Replacement and Population Suppression Strategies

Figure 5

Dispersal of a single female adult cohort in Skeeter Buster, and virtual mark-recapture experiment.

(A) Dispersal of a single female adult cohort released in a single property at day 0. Only short range dispersal is allowed (daily rate = 0.3), and survival is set at the default value (daily rate = 0.89). Solid lines represent the average number of females (20 replicated simulations) found at a given distance from the release house after 1 (circles), 2 (squares), 4 (diamonds) or 6 (triangles) days, dashed lines are 95% CIs. (B) Virtual mark-release-recapture (MRR) experiment based on this single cohort. We replicate the protocol and recapture rate described in Harrington et al. (2005) (Table 2, line 1) for outdoor releases in Thailand, with daily recaptures for 12 consecutive days. Dark bars are the results from the virtual MRR in Skeeter Buster (+/−SD), light bars are the results observed by Harrington et al. (2005).

Figure 5