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Anticipating epidemic transitions with imperfect data

Fig 6

Performance of EWS under high/low reporting probability and high/low overdispersion scenarios.

For high reporting ρ = 1.0 and low reporting ρ = 0.047. For high overdispersion ϕ = 0.01, for low overdispersion ϕ = 100. For all panels both the mean infectious period and aggregation period are 7 days. AUC values are from the same data set used in Fig 5.

Fig 6