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Retracing Micro-Epidemics of Chagas Disease Using Epicenter Regression

Figure 5

The expected number of cases of late-stage Chagas disease among individuals infected with T. cruzi in Guadalupe, Arequipa, Peru in 2004.

Top row: three alternative models to describe the probability of onset of late-stage disease as a function of time (see text). Histograms represent the posterior expected number of late stage cases under the four-epicenter model (middle row) and one-epicenter model (bottom row).

Figure 5