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Gaussian process emulation for exploring complex infectious disease models

Fig 5

Municipality-level average infectivity estimates and Gross Cell Products.

(A) Distribution of municipality-specific average infectivity estimates for the 250 parameter combinations with the lowest root mean square errors. The top 5% of municipalities as sorted by median average infectivity estimates are highlighted in yellow. (B) Average log10-transformed Gross Cell Product (GCP) — a measure of economic activity [56] where higher values represent greater economic activity — distributions, as reported by Siraj et al. (2018), for the municipalities depicted in (A), with the municipalities with the largest average infectivity estimates grouped separately.

Fig 5

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013849.g005