Hindcasts and forecasts of suicide mortality in US: A modeling study
Fig 5
Calibration plot of forecasts (top) and hindcasts (bottom). Forecasts from auto (Cramer’s distance [53]=0.03) and to a lesser degree baseline (0.006) appear to be miscalibrated, while the remaining three models have similar and better calibration (5e-4). On the other hand, hindcasts from auto have the best calibration (7e-4) hindcasts and baseline the least calibrated (.015); the augmented models have similar, good calibration (3e-3).