Bayesian data assimilation for estimating instantaneous reproduction numbers during epidemics: Applications to COVID-19
Fig 3
(A) Synthetic Rt, simulated jt and Ct curves. (B) shows the comparison of the synthetic Rt (in red) with estimated Rt curves from DARt, EpiEstim and EpiNow2. (C) shows the estimated Mt from DARt to indicate sharp changes of Rt. (D) shows the simulated jt, jt from DART, and jt from EpiNow2. (E) compares the distributions of estimated Ct from DARt and EpiNow2 with the simulated Ct curve with 95% CrI. (F) compares the DARt estimated Rt results with and without smoothing.