Vector genetics, insecticide resistance and gene drives: An agent-based modeling approach to evaluate malaria transmission and elimination
Fig 8
Likelihood of elimination in a Sahelian setting using gene drives that reduce the probability of transmission of parasites from mosquitoes to humans.
Three scenarios are presented—one without ITNs, and ITNs distributed every three years over a six year period at 60% and 80% coverage, respectively. The fraction of simulations eliminating is evaluated over 50 stochastic realizations for a given value pair of probability of transmission from mosquito to human and likelihood of successful gene drive of the gene responsible for reduced transmission.