An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: serosolver
Fig 6
Influenza A/H3N2 dynamics in southern China.
A: Inferred historical attack rates. Shaded regions show 80% and 95% credible intervals (CI), solid line and points shows posterior median estimate; B: Frequency of inferred antibody responses (sero-responses) by age group. Boxplots show distribution across individuals based on posterior median total number of infections per individual per 10 years alive. C: Model predicted titres and inferred infections compared to observed titres (black diamonds). Shaded regions show 95% CI on model predicted latent titres (dark) and assay observations (light).