Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns

• Benjamin D. Dalziel,

  Current address: Department of Integrative Biology, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon

  Affiliation Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America

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• Ottar N. Bjørnstad,

  Affiliation Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, United States of America

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• Willem G. van Panhuis,

  Affiliation Department of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America

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• Donald S. Burke,

  Affiliation Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America

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• C. Jessica E. Metcalf,

  Affiliation Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America

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• Bryan T. Grenfell

  * E-mail: Grenfell@princeton.edu

  Affiliations Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America

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