The apparent high number of deaths in Argentina during the 2009 pandemic led to concern that the influenza A H1N1pdm disease was different there. We report the characteristics and risk factors for influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities.
We identified laboratory-confirmed influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities occurring during June-July 2009. Physicians abstracted data on age, sex, time of onset of illness, medical history, clinical presentation at admission, laboratory, treatment, and outcomes using standardize questionnaires. We explored the characteristics of fatalities according to their age and risk group.
Of 332 influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities, 226 (68%) were among persons aged <50 years. Acute respiratory failure was the leading cause of death. Of all cases, 249 (75%) had at least one comorbidity as defined by Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices. Obesity was reported in 32% with data and chronic pulmonary disease in 28%. Among the 40 deaths in children aged <5 years, chronic pulmonary disease (42%) and neonatal pathologies (35%) were the most common co-morbidities. Twenty (6%) fatalities were among pregnant or postpartum women of which only 47% had diagnosed co-morbidities. Only 13% of patients received antiviral treatment within 48 hours of symptom onset. None of children aged <5 years or the pregnant women received antivirals within 48 h of symptom onset. As the pandemic progressed, the time from symptom-onset to medical care and to antiviral treatment decreased significantly among case-patients who subsequently died (p<0.001).
Persons with co-morbidities, pregnant and who received antivirals late were over-represented among influenza A H1N1pdm deaths in Argentina, though timeliness of antiviral treatment improved during the pandemic.
Citation: Balanzat AM, Hertlein C, Apezteguia C, Bonvehi P, Cámera L, et al. (2012) An Analysis of 332 Fatalities Infected with Pandemic 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) in Argentina. PLoS ONE 7(4): e33670. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0033670
Editor: Rory Edward Morty, University of Giessen Lung Center, Germany
Received: October 20, 2011; Accepted: February 14, 2012; Published: April 10, 2012
This is an open-access article, free of all copyright, and may be freely reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, built upon, or otherwise used by anyone for any lawful purpose. The work is made available under the Creative Commons CC0 public domain dedication.
Funding: This work was supported by the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO)-Argentina. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
Competing interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
In April 2009, pandemic influenza H1N1 2009 (influenza A H1N1pdm virus emerged in Mexico and the United States . Argentina was one of the first countries to experience pandemic H1N1 virus transmission during the usual influenza season , . The first influenza A H1N1pdm-confirmed case was identified on April 28th 2009. This and subsequent cases were among travelers arriving from North America. The virus did not spread in the community until mid-May. The first group affected was school-aged children in Buenos Aires.
On June 15th 2009, the first fatal influenza A H1N1pdm case in Argentina was confirmed . Ten days later, 22 additional influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities were confirmed in the province of Buenos Aires. During July (epidemiological weeks 26–30), the number of laboratory-confirmed influenza A H1N1pdm cases rose from 2,409 to 5,712 and the number of confirmed deaths from 55 to 337 which represented an increase in case-fatality proportion among reported cases from 2.2% to 5.9%. This was the largest number of influenza A H1N1pdm deaths reported from any country at that time. Although the initial elevated mortality was considered a surveillance artifact, concerns remained that influenza A H1N1pdm disease evolution was somehow different in Argentina. Public health officials were also concerned that prevention and treatment measures might not have been sufficiently targeted, given the limited size of local oseltamivir stockpiles for presumptive treatment of case-patients.
On June 26th 2009, the National Ministry of Health of Argentina (NMHA) created the National Commission for the Assessment of Influenza A (H1N1) to assess clinical aspects of influenza A H1N1pdm illness among fatalities, adequacy and timeliness of treatment, and possible risk factors for severe illness . In this report, we describe the features of 332 laboratory-confirmed influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities with available clinical data that occurred during June 15–July 31 2009, at the peak of influenza A H1N1pdm transmission in Argentina.
In April 2009, the Government of Argentina activated the national Emergency Situation Room (ESR). Each province reported laboratory and epidemiological data on confirmed influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities and hospitalizations through the National Health Surveillance System and from laboratories performing real-time reverse-transcription polymerase-chain-reaction (rRT-PCR) for influenza A H1N1pdm through the Laboratory Surveillance System , . Public and private health institutions were mandated to notify the ESR of hospitalized influenza A H1N1pdm case-patients who subsequently died.
For this study, a confirmed fatal case was defined as a patient who tested positive for influenza A H1N1pdm and who died in the period June 15-July 31 2009 (i.e. the peak of the pandemic). To identify cases, we searched a list of influenza A H1N1pdm laboratory-confirmed fatalities reported to the ESR by private and public institutions from the city of Buenos Aires and the seven provinces with the highest number of reported confirmed cases (i.e. Buenos Aires, Santa Fe, Córdoba, Neuquén, Río Negro, Tucumán, and Entre Ríos).
Physicians abstracted data on age, sex, medical history, comorbidities (i.e. chronic pulmonary, cardiovascular, renal, hepatic, hematological, metabolic, neurologic, immunologic and neonatal disorders), selected risk factors (e.g. obesity, defined as BMI>30 or subjectively assessed; pregnancy, alcoholism, and smoking), previous hospitalizations, signs and symptoms, clinical presentation, diagnosis at admission, duration of hospitalization and intensive care, radiographic findings, use of oseltamivir, and laboratory results using a standardized form. Nosocomial influenza A H1N1pdm virus infection was defined as a patient who developed respiratory symptoms >48 hours after admission for a non-respiratory cause and who later tested positive for influenza A H1N1pdm. Organ failures were defined according to international definitions , . If a patient was mechanically ventilated, but not admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) because of space limitations, the case was still classified as an ICU patient. All collected data were reviewed by physicians from the ESR and the National Commission for the Assessment of Influenza A (H1N1) to detect possible inconsistencies. Data was not captured if deaths occurred outside the hospital, the medical records were unavailable, or occurred outside the study period.
Respiratory specimens were collected from suspected cases and were tested for influenza A H1N1pdm by rRT-PCR assay initially in Argentina's National Reference Laboratory. As the pandemic progressed, an additional 18 laboratories were trained to use this technique and provided data for the study.
Differences in categorical variables among the three age groups (i.e.<5, 5–49, and >50 years) were analyzed by Χ2 tests and Fisher's exact test. Student t-tests and one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) were used to compare means and Wilcoxon Rank sum test to compare medians.
To maintain data confidentiality, unique identifiers on medical records were coded. Institutional review board approval was not required as the NMHA empowered the commission to confidentially review medical records of influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities through a ministerial resolution  during this public health emergency.
During 2009, 626 patients died with laboratory-confirmed influenza A H1N1pdm infection in Argentina . The proportion of confirmed hospitalized case-patients who died peaked during June (i.e. 48 [18%] of 272) (Figure 1). Of the 626 fatalities, 377 were reported during June 15-July 31 (the study period). Forty-five were excluded because 37 were not confirmed by RT-PCR and eight had incomplete medical charts.
The remaining 332 fatalities had a median age of 36 years (IQR = 13–53 years) and 177 (53%) were male. Children aged <18 years accounted for 93 (28%) of fatalities, those aged <5 years comprised 48 (52%), and infants aged less <6 months comprised 16 (33%). Although more fatalities were reported among patients aged 19–49 years, laboratory-confirmed influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities per 100,000 population were more common among children aged <5 years and persons aged 50–64 years (Table 1).
Thirty fatalities were not hospitalized for influenza symptoms but rather acquired nosocomial influenza A H1N1pdm infections. Excluding these cases, the most common symptoms at admission were dyspnea (94%), cough (93%), and history of fever (85%). During admission, most patients had elevated respiration rates (73%) and heart rates (69%). On auscultation, crackles were more common among fatalities aged ≥5 years compared to fatalities <5 years (89% vs. 63%, p<0.01). Anemia was present in 54% of patients, and more common among those aged <5 years (67%, p<0.01) (Table 2). Of 134 fatalities with available data, 110 (82%) presented with lymphopenia. Of 159 fatalities with available data, 65 (41%) had thrombocytopenia. Elevated urea was more common among patients aged ≥50 compared to the other age groups (p<0.001). Eighty-two percent of patients had oxygen saturation <96%) which was more common among patients ≥5 years (p<0.01); while acidosis (pH<7.36) and elevated pCO2 (>44 mmHg) were more common among patients <5 years (p<0.01) (Table 3).
Among 176 patients with admission radiographs, (79%) had bilateral chest infiltrates, 71 (40%) had consolidation, 61 (35%) had interstitial pattern, 37 (21%) had both, and six (3%) had other findings (Table 4). For 236 (71%) of the 332 patients (including those with nosocomial infections), the primary hospital admission diagnosis was pneumonia. Pneumonia, however, only accounted for 54% of the primary diagnoses among children aged <5 years, with other respiratory illnesses accounting for over one third of the admission diagnosis among this age group.
Of 304 patients admitted for influenza A H1N1pdm-associated illness (excluding nosocomial infections), the median time from symptom onset to admission was five days (IQR, 3–7 days). Most patients (299 [95%] of 315) needed ICU admission and, 292 were mechanically ventilated for a median of six days (IQR, 2–12 days). Among the 252 patients with available information on the start date of their mechanical ventilation, 207 (82%) were mechanically ventilated within the first 24 hours of admission to intensive care (Table 5).
The most frequent organ failure was respiratory failure (97%). Additionally, 85% of the patients met the criteria for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) during their hospitalization. These patients had hypoxemia [median Pa/FiO2 87 (IQR: 60–129)], hypercapnia [median PaCO2 54 (IQR: 43–72), and acidosis [median pH 7.24 (IQR: 7.10–7.33) requiring elevated concentration of oxygen (FiO2 100% in 72% of cases), maximal high positive end expiratory pressure [median 15 (IQR: 10–18)] and use of ventilation in prone position or alveolar recruitment maneuvers in 41% of patients. Hemodynamic failure requiring vasoactive drugs occurred in 54% of patients. Renal failure was present in 134 (43%) of the 312 patients with available data and 29% of these required dialysis. Of the 134 patients with renal failure, 31 (23%) had previous chronic renal failure of which eight [6%] were on chronic hemodialysis. Six (13%) of 47 children aged <5 years with available data developed renal failure compared to 128 (48%) of 265 persons aged ≥5 years (p<0.0001).Hematologic failure was diagnosed in 44%, hepatic failure in 5% and multiorgan failure in 71% of influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities.
Of all 332 patients, 290 (87%) received antiviral treatment; 183 (76%) ≤2 days of admission but only 33 (13%) of 253 with information on timing of administration received antivirals ≤48 hours of symptom onset. None of the 48 fatalities aged <5 years received antivirals ≤48 hours of symptom onset; 20% of these children received antivirals ≤48 hours of a doctor's visit, and only 55% received antivirals ≤48 hours of hospitalization compared to at least 78% in older age groups (Table 5).
As the pandemic progressed, the mean time from symptom onset to first doctor visit and symptom onset to hospitalization among fatalities decreased (p<0.001). Similarly, the mean time from symptom onset to antiviral treatment decreased from 19 days during epidemiologic week 22 to four days during week 28 (p<0.001). The time from the first doctor visit to antiviral treatment also decreased as the pandemic progressed (p<0.001) while the time from hospitalization to antiviral treatment remained brief (Figure 2A–E).
At least one comorbidity  was reported in 75% of cases with such information in their charts. The most common comorbidities were chronic pulmonary disease (including asthma) in 28%, metabolic disorder (including diabetes) in 25%, and immunosuppression in 24% of fatalities. Among children aged <5 years, chronic pulmonary disease (42%) was also the most common comorbidity followed by neonatal pathologies (i.e. genetic disorders, congenital malformations, and preterm births) (35%) and neurologic disease (19%) (Table 6). The prevalence of asthma was low among fatalities (6%). In contrast, 4% of patients were HIV positive, a proportion higher than the 0.4% country prevalence . Similarly, 32% of fatalities were obese, a proportion higher than the 15% country prevalence .
We identified 16 pregnant women and four postpartum women among fatalities. Four of the pregnant women were in their second trimester while 11 were in their third trimester. Eight delivered by caesarean section after being admitted to the ICU, two whom had stillbirths. Pregnant women had significantly longer ICU stays than non-pregnant women aged 15–44 years (11 vs. 4 days, p = 0.01). One pregnant and two postpartum women did not receive any antiviral treatment during the course of their illness. Among the 17 pregnant or postpartum women that received antivirals, none received them within the recommended 48 hours after illness onset but a median of seven days (IQR: 5–9 days) later. Fifty percent received antivirals <1 day after hospitalization (Table 7).
Most fatal cases presented to the hospital with acute severe respiratory compromise or ARDS and required immediate mechanical ventilation with respiratory failure as their main cause of death. The median age of fatalities was consistent with those found in other influenza A H1N1pdm studies , , , , , . Three-quarters of confirmed influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities occurred among persons aged <50 years, however, the highest incidence of H1N1pdm fatalities occurred among persons aged 50–65 years and children <5 years (half of them <1 year).
Two-thirds of all cases had at least one comorbidity as defined by ACIP . In addition, healthy pregnant women were disproportionately affected as has been found in other studies , , , . The unusually high proportion of decedents who were obese in our case-series (i.e. 33%) is consistent with studies  ,  that suggest that obesity may be a risk factor for severe influenza disease. Although our study did not determine which fatalities had acquired immunodeficiency syndrome or were on antiretroviral therapy, we found a higher prevalence of influenza A H1N1pdm co-infection among HIV positive fatalities when compared to the general population. Such data are important because early reports suggested that HIV-infected individuals might experience more severe complications from influenza A H1N1pdm infection , , , , a finding not confirmed in later studies , , .
Even though the government of Argentina recommended oseltamivir treatment to high-risk persons , fewer than 15% of fatalities received antiviral treatment during the recommended 48 hours after symptom onset and only half within 48 hours of a physician visit. No children aged <5 years received early treatment, and only 20% received oseltamivir within 48 hours of the physician visit. Although a previous case-series of 251 children infected with influenza A H1N1pdm with 13 fatalities did not find a difference between prompt consultation, ICU admission, survival, and oseltamivir treatment , we recommend early treatment based on the findings of larger case-series . The apparent reluctance to provide early antivirals to young children may have been caused by the clinician's lack of familiarity with the use of oseltamivir and their concerns over potential adverse events among very young children. Indeed, at the onset of the pandemic, clinicians were required to provide antiviral treatment to children aged <1 under strict medical supervision and under hospital supervision to children aged <3 months .
The high proportion of pregnant or postpartum women in our case-series of decedents is concordant with reports that identify pregnancy as a risk factor for severe influenza illness and death , , , , . During the pandemic, pregnant women were identified as high-risk and the government of Argentina approved social distancing measures to protect them such as strongly urging them to stay home from work with paid leave. We observed that <50% of pregnant women had comorbidities, compared to 70% of influenza A H1N1pdm infected non-pregnant women and 80% of pregnant women in the U.S. . In our study, these predominantly healthy pregnant and postpartum women received antivirals a median of seven days after symptom onset compared to five days among non-pregnant women. Such finding that suggests that although antiviral treatment ≤4 days after symptom onset was associated with milder influenza A H1N1pdm disease , clinicians may have been hesitant to use them possibly due to lack of familiarity with the use of oseltamivir and their concerns over potential adverse events among pregnant women and their unborn children.
Although other studies have shown a high frequency of dyspnea in critically ill patients, our analyses demonstrates our case-patients also frequently had tachypnea (73%), tachycardia (69%) and acidosis and/or hypoxemia (88%) on admission. Gastrointestinal symptoms were more frequently reported than in adults infected with seasonal influenza but not as frequently as in other influenza A H1N1pdm studies , , , . Thrombocytopenia upon admission was frequently observed among decedents, and was more prevalent than previously reported among patients with influenza A H1N1pdm infection , , .
During the pandemic, an insufficient number of ICU beds were available for all patients. Critically ill patients occasionally received mechanical ventilation outside the ICU, at the emergency department or special facilities , . In most patients, ARDS with respiratory failure was the leading cause of death. This is in contrast to ARDS caused by other etiologies where respiratory failure accounts for <20% of deaths , , . This finding has also been observed in other influenza A H1N1pdm studies , , . Acute renal failure requiring dialysis was observed frequently among patients aged ≥5.
Our analysis indicates that time from symptom onset to clinic visit and to hospitalization decreased as the pandemic progressed. Time to antiviral treatment also decreased during the first two weeks of the study. These data suggest that affected persons sought care earlier and physicians used antivirals more rapidly as the pandemic progressed and may explain why the case fatality proportion of hospitalized patients decreased from a peak at the beginning of the pandemic. The initial delay in health seeking may have been caused by high risk persons that did not suspect that they had influenza illness or that were not aware of the need to seek care within 48 hours of symptom onset when antivirals are most effective. The initial delay in treatment could have been caused by unavailability of antivirals or by primary care physicians unfamiliar with their use. In Argentina, only a small stockpile of oseltamivir was available at the beginning of the pandemic which was insufficient to treat all patients once influenza A H1N1pdm spread throughout the country.
Our study has several limitations. Our case-series design did not allow us to collect information from controls to further substantiate whether potential risk factors were indeed associated with death from H1N1pdm. The data obtained was limited to non-standardized medical records and there was no opportunity to confirm details with family members. Due to the limited availability of laboratory testing during the study period, the number of confirmed fatalities represented only about half of the currently confirmed fatalities and may not be representative of other fatalities during this period or of those who occurred at home. Moreover, we only assessed hospitalized laboratory-confirmed influenza A H1N1pdm fatalities for which we had medical records, and these cases might have manifested differently to those occurring at home or those not tested for influenza. Laboratory samples and tests did not follow a study protocol but represented the choices made by clinicians during the management of patients. Our study did not include autopsy data. Several parameters that define risk factors and underlying conditions, such as height and weight data, smoking history and alcohol consumption, were not available for all case-patients. We were unable to compare risk factors for death compared to severe disease and the effect of antiviral treatment as we did not review charts from surviving hospitalized patients.
After the study was conducted, Argentina has emphasized protecting young children and pregnant women. The 2010 monovalent influenza A H1N1pdm influenza vaccination campaign in Argentina aimed at a 95% coverage among pregnant women and 85% coverage among children aged <4 years . Continued efforts should be made to promote influenza vaccination among groups at high risk of complications from influenza infection, ensure national surge capacity for intensive care and mechanical ventilation, secure antiviral stocks, guarantee their availability and accessibility, and to provide guidelines to health care providers on appropriate and timely use especially in vulnerable populations.
The authors thank Oreste Luís Carlino, Adriana Sucari, Manuel Klein, Carlota Russ, Carolina Domínguez Balanzat, Mabel Moral, and Luis Gerardo Castellanos, Horacio Echenique. We also acknowledge PAHO-Argentina staff support (i.e. Marcia Moreira, Osvaldo Rico, and Ana Cabrera), and the Argentinean national and local directors of epidemiology, the hospital Directors and the hospital staff for their dedicated support in the process of data collection.
Disclaimer: The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Analyzed the data: FC EAB PRC MAW. Wrote the paper: AMB CH CA PB AG OR MGC. Interpreted findings in the context of the international literature and assisted in manuscript development: FC EAB PRC MAW. Collected case-patient information and interpreted findings in the context of Argentina's medical system: AMB CH CA PB LC AG OR MGC.
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