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Climatic Associations of British Species Distributions Show Good Transferability in Time but Low Predictive Accuracy for Range Change

Figure 2

Mean sensitivity versus mean specificity of model forecasts.

Mean sensitivity and specificity of forecasts generated by each modelling framework for (A) butterflies, (B) plants, (C) birds. Error bars represent ±1 standard error of the mean. The dotted line indicates the condition where mean sensitivity = mean specificity.

Figure 2