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Climate Change Affects Winter Chill for Temperate Fruit and Nut Trees

Figure 2

Modeled Safe Winter Chill around the year 2000 (large map), as well as site-specific estimates of Safe Winter Chill for six growing regions and for 20 climate scenarios, representing four points in time (1975, 2000, mid and end 21st century).

Future projections include three greenhouse gas emissions scenarios (B1, A1B and A2) and three Global Climate Models (CSIRO - green bars; HADCM3 - blue bars; and MIROC - red bars). Areas that are more than 5° away from the closest weather station are shaded, because interpolated results are unreliable.

Figure 2