About the Authors

Timo Smieszek

timo.smieszek@phe.gov.uk

Affiliations NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling Methodology and MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London W2 1PG, United Kingdom, Modelling and Economics Unit, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Control, Public Health England, London NW9 5EQ, United Kingdom

Peter J. White

Affiliations NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling Methodology and MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London W2 1PG, United Kingdom, Modelling and Economics Unit, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Control, Public Health England, London NW9 5EQ, United Kingdom

Competing Interests

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Author Contributions

Analyzed the data: TS. Wrote the paper: TS PJW. Designed the model: TS PJW.