Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major health issue for HIV-positive individuals, associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Development and implementation of a risk score model for CKD would allow comparison of the risks and benefits of adding potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals to a treatment regimen and would identify those at greatest risk of CKD. The aims of this study were to develop a simple, externally validated, and widely applicable long-term risk score model for CKD in HIV-positive individuals that can guide decision making in clinical practice.
Methods and Findings
A total of 17,954 HIV-positive individuals from the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) study with ≥3 estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values after 1 January 2004 were included. Baseline was defined as the first eGFR > 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 after 1 January 2004; individuals with exposure to tenofovir, atazanavir, atazanavir/ritonavir, lopinavir/ritonavir, other boosted protease inhibitors before baseline were excluded. CKD was defined as confirmed (>3 mo apart) eGFR ≤ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2. Poisson regression was used to develop a risk score, externally validated on two independent cohorts.
In the D:A:D study, 641 individuals developed CKD during 103,185 person-years of follow-up (PYFU; incidence 6.2/1,000 PYFU, 95% CI 5.7–6.7; median follow-up 6.1 y, range 0.3–9.1 y). Older age, intravenous drug use, hepatitis C coinfection, lower baseline eGFR, female gender, lower CD4 count nadir, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) predicted CKD. The adjusted incidence rate ratios of these nine categorical variables were scaled and summed to create the risk score. The median risk score at baseline was −2 (interquartile range –4 to 2). There was a 1:393 chance of developing CKD in the next 5 y in the low risk group (risk score < 0, 33 events), rising to 1:47 and 1:6 in the medium (risk score 0–4, 103 events) and high risk groups (risk score ≥ 5, 505 events), respectively. Number needed to harm (NNTH) at 5 y when starting unboosted atazanavir or lopinavir/ritonavir among those with a low risk score was 1,702 (95% CI 1,166–3,367); NNTH was 202 (95% CI 159–278) and 21 (95% CI 19–23), respectively, for those with a medium and high risk score. NNTH was 739 (95% CI 506–1462), 88 (95% CI 69–121), and 9 (95% CI 8–10) for those with a low, medium, and high risk score, respectively, starting tenofovir, atazanavir/ritonavir, or another boosted protease inhibitor.
The Royal Free Hospital Clinic Cohort included 2,548 individuals, of whom 94 individuals developed CKD (3.7%) during 18,376 PYFU (median follow-up 7.4 y, range 0.3–12.7 y). Of 2,013 individuals included from the SMART/ESPRIT control arms, 32 individuals developed CKD (1.6%) during 8,452 PYFU (median follow-up 4.1 y, range 0.6–8.1 y). External validation showed that the risk score predicted well in these cohorts. Limitations of this study included limited data on race and no information on proteinuria.
Both traditional and HIV-related risk factors were predictive of CKD. These factors were used to develop a risk score for CKD in HIV infection, externally validated, that has direct clinical relevance for patients and clinicians to weigh the benefits of certain antiretrovirals against the risk of CKD and to identify those at greatest risk of CKD.
About 35 million people are currently infected with HIV, the virus that causes AIDS. HIV destroys CD4 lymphocytes and other immune system cells, leaving infected individuals susceptible to other infections. HIV infection can be controlled, but not cured, using combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), and, nowadays, the life expectancy of many HIV-positive individuals is similar to that of HIV-negative people. HIV-positive individuals nevertheless experience some illnesses more frequently than HIV-negative people do. For example, up to a third of HIV-positive individuals develop chronic kidney disease (CKD), which is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease and death. Persons with CKD may have an impaired effect of the filtration units in the kidneys that remove waste products and excess water from the blood to make urine, thereby leading to a reduced blood filtration rate (the estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR]) and waste product accumulation in the blood. Symptoms of CKD, which rarely occur until the disease is advanced, include tiredness, swollen feet, and frequent urination. Advanced stages of CKD cannot be cured, but its progression can be slowed by, for example, controlling hypertension (high blood pressure) and diabetes (two CDK risk factors) and by adopting a healthy lifestyle.
Why Was This Study Done?
The burden of CKD may increase among HIV-positive individuals as they age, and clinicians need to know which individuals are at high risk of developing CKD when choosing cART regimens for their patients. In addition, clinicians need to be able to identify those HIV-positive individuals at greatest risk of CKD so that they can monitor them for early signs of kidney disease. Some antiretroviral drugs—for example, tenofovir and atazanavir/ritonavir (a boosted protease inhibitor)—are associated with kidney damage. Clinicians may need to weigh the benefits and risks of giving such potentially nephrotoxic drugs to individuals who already have a high CKD risk. Here, the researchers develop and validate a simple, widely applicable risk score (a risk prediction model) for CKD among HIV-positive individuals and investigate the relationship between CKD and potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral drugs among individuals with different CKD risk score profiles.
What Did the Researchers Do and Find?
To develop their CKD risk score, the researchers used clinical and demographic data collected from 17,954 HIV-positive individuals enrolled in the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) study who had an eGFR > 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 and were not taking a potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral at baseline. During 103,185 person-years of follow-up, 641 individuals developed CKD. Older age, intravenous drug use, hepatitis C coinfection, lower baseline eGFR, female gender, lower CD4 count nadir, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease predicted CKD. The researchers included these nine factors in their risk score model (which is available online) and defined three risk groups: low (risk score < 0), medium (risk score 0–4), and high (risk score ≥ 5) risk of CKD development in the next five years. Specifically, there was a 1 in 393, 1 in 47, and 1 in 6 chance of developing CKD in the next five years in the low, medium, and high risk groups, respectively. Because some patients started to use potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral drugs during follow-up, the researchers were able to use their risk score model to calculate how many patients would have to be treated with one of these drugs for an additional patient to develop CKD over five years in each risk group. This “number needed to harm” (NNTH) for patients starting treatment with tenofovir, atazanavir/ritonavir, or another boosted protease inhibitor was 739, 88, and 9 in the low, medium, and high risk groups, respectively. Finally, the researchers validated the accuracy of their risk score in two independent HIV study groups.
What Do These Findings Mean?
These findings provide a simple, validated risk score for CKD and indicate that the NNTH when starting potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals was low among HIV-positive individuals at the highest risk of CKD (i.e., treating just nine individuals with nephrotoxic antiretroviral drugs will likely lead to an additional case of CKD in five years). Although various aspects of the study, including the lack of data on race, limit the accuracy of these findings, these findings highlight the need for monitoring, screening, and chronic disease prevention to minimize the risk of HIV-positive individuals developing diabetes, hypertension, or cardiovascular disease, or becoming coinfected with hepatitis C, all of which contribute to the CKD risk score. Moreover, the development of a tool for estimating an individual’s five-year risk of developing CKD with or without the addition of potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral drugs will enable clinicians and patients to weigh the benefits of certain antiretroviral drugs against the risk of CKD and make informed decisions about treatment options.
Please access these websites via the online version of this summary at http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001809.
- Information is available from the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases on HIV infection and AIDS
- NAM/aidsmap provides basic information about HIV/AIDS, summaries of recent research findings on HIV care and treatment, and personal stories about living with AIDS/HIV
- Information is available from Avert, an international AIDS charity, on many aspects of HIV/AIDS, including personal stories about living with HIV/AIDS
- The World Health Organization provides information on all aspects of HIV/AIDS (in several languages), including its guidelines on the use of ART for treating and preventing HIV infection
- The UNAIDS World AIDS Day Report 2014 provides up-to-date information about the AIDS epidemic and efforts to halt it
- The UK National Health Service Choices website provides information for patients on chronic kidney disease, including some personal stories
- The US National Kidney Foundation, a not-for-profit organization, provides information about chronic kidney disease (in English and Spanish)
- A tool for calculating the CDK risk score developed in this study is available
- Additional information about the D:A:D study is available
Citation: Mocroft A, Lundgren JD, Ross M, Law M, Reiss P, Kirk O, et al. (2015) Development and Validation of a Risk Score for Chronic Kidney Disease in HIV Infection Using Prospective Cohort Data from the D:A:D Study. PLoS Med12(3): e1001809. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001809
Editor: John Bartlett, Duke University Medical Center, UNITED STATES
Received: August 27, 2014; Accepted: February 20, 2015; Published: March 31, 2015
Copyright: © 2015 Mocroft et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited
Data Availability: Access to the D:A:D Data: The D:A:D Study Steering Committee encourages the submission of concepts for research projects. Concepts can be submitted for review by the D:A:D Steering Committee using an online research concept, please see http://www.cphiv.dk/Ongoing-Studies/DAD/Submit-research-concept. Once submitted the research concept will undergo review by the D:A:D SC for evaluation of the scientific relevance, relevance to the D:A:D Study, Design and feasibility, Statistical power and feasability and overlap with already approved projects. Upon completion of the review, feedback will be provided to the proposer(s). In some circumstances, a revision of the concept may be requested. If the concept is approved for implementation, a writing group will be established consisting of the proposers (up to 3 persons that were centrally involved in the development of the concept) and members of the D:A:D Steering Committee (or other appointed cohort representatives) Statistical department and Coordinating Center. All persons involved in the process of reviewing these research concepts are bound by confidentiality.
Funding: Data on Adverse Events (D:A:D) Study: The D:A:D study was supported by the Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy Oversight Committee (HAART-OC) , a collaborative committee with representation from academic institutions, the European Agency for the Evaluation of Medicinal Products, the United States Food and Drug Administration, the patient community, and all pharmaceutical companies with licensed anti-HIV drugs in the European Union: AbbVie, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc., Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead Sciences Inc., ViiV Healthcare, Merck & Co Inc., Pfizer Inc, F. Hoffman-LaRoche Ltd and Janssen Pharmaceuticals. Supported also by a grant [grant number DNRF126] from the Danish National Research Foundation to CHIP , Supported by a grant [grant number CURE/97-46486] from the Health Insurance Fund Council, Amstelveen, the Netherlands, to the AIDS Therapy Evaluation Project Netherlands (ATHENA); by a grant from the Agence Nationale de Recherches sur le SIDA [grant number Action Coordonnée no.7, Cohortes], to the Aquitaine Cohort; The Australian HIV Observational Database (AHOD) is funded as part of the Asia Pacific HIV Observational Database, a program of The Foundation for AIDS Research, amfAR, and is supported in part by a grant from the U.S. National Institutes of Health’s National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) [grant number U01-AI069907] and by unconditional grants from Merck Sharp & Dohme; Gilead Sciences; Bristol-Myers Squibb; Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Roche; Pfizer; GlaxoSmithKline; Janssen Pharmaceuticals. The Kirby Institute is funded by The Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing, and is affiliated with the Faculty of Medicine, The University of New South Wales. By grants from the Fondo de Investigación Sanitaria [grant number FIS 99/0887] and Fundación para la Investigación y la Prevención del SIDA en Espanã [grant number FIPSE 3171/00], to the Barcelona Antiretroviral Surveillance Study (BASS); by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health [grants number 5U01AI042170-10 , 5U01AI046362-03], to the Terry Beirn Community Programs for Clinical Research on AIDS (CPCRA); by grants from the BIOMED 1 [grant number CT94-1637] and BIOMED 2 [grant number CT97-2713] programs and the fifth framework program [grant number QLK2-2000-00773] of the European Commission and grants from Bristol-Myers Squibb, GlaxoSmithKline, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc. and Roche, to the EuroSIDA study; by unrestricted educational grants of Abbott Laboratories, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead Sciences Inc., GSK, Pfizer Inc., Janssen Pharmaceuticals to the Italian Cohort Naive to Antiretrovirals (The ICONA Foundation); and by a grant from the Swiss National Science Foundation, to the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS). The content of this publication is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of any of the institutions mentioned above. SMART/ESPRIT: These studies were funded by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health [grant numbers UM1-AI068641, U01-AI042170 and U01-AI46362 (SMART); U01-AI46957 and U01-AI068641 (ESPRIT)]. No funding bodies had any role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
Competing interests: PM: honoraria or travel/meeting expenses from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen-Cilag, Merck Sharp & Dohme-Chibret and ViiV Healthcare in the past five years. ML received unrestricted grants to my institution from Boehringer Ingelhiem, Gilead Sciences, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Janssen-Cilag, ViiV HealthCare. CS has received funds for preparation of Educational Materials from Janssen, Gilead, BMS, ViiV HealthCare, support for attendance at Ad board and support to attend HIV conference from Gilead, funding to conduct study from BMS. OM has received honoraria as a speaker from Abbott and Gilead Sciences, serves on the board of Roche, and had expenses paid by Roche and Baxter for travel, accommodations, and meetings. OK has received honoraria, consultancy, lecture fees, and travel grants from Abbott Laboratories, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead Sciences, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Roche, and ViiV Healthcare, and has served/is serving on Advisory Boards for Gilead Sciences, Merck Sharp & Dohme, and ViiV Healthcare. AM has received honoraria, consultancy, lecture fees, and travel grants from Gilead Sciences, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Boehringer Ingelheim, Pfizer and GSK.
Abbreviations: aIRR, adjusted incidence rate ratio; ART, antiretroviral therapy; cART, combination antiretroviral therapy; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CKD-EPI, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration; CVD, cardiovascular disease; D:A:D, Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; IQR, interquartile range; NNTH, number needed to harm; PYFU, person-years of follow-up
HIV infection has become a chronic, manageable infection with a potential life expectancy approaching that of individuals without HIV infection [1,2]. Despite vastly improved outcomes following the introduction of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) , HIV-positive individuals experience increased morbidity, including chronic kidney disease (CKD) [4,5]. The prevalence of CKD in HIV infection has been reported to be as high as 33% [6,7], and is higher in those with both HIV-related risk factors and traditional risk factors, such as diabetes and hypertension [4,8,9]. In addition to immunodeficiency, certain antiretrovirals, including tenofovir, lopinavir/ritonavir, and atazanavir/ritonavir, have also been shown to be associated with chronic renal impairment [9–12].
Deteriorating renal function and CKD are a major health issue for both HIV-positive and-negative individuals, associated with both mortality and cardiovascular outcomes [13–15]. As HIV-positive individuals age, the burden from chronic conditions may increase and identifying those at greatest risk becomes increasingly important. Risk prediction models, or risk scores, have been developed for CKD in both HIV-positive and-negative individuals [16–19]. Such models are not yet widely implemented into routine clinical practice, with concerns about poor study design and lack of external validation of these scores . Implementation of risk score models as part of routine care would allow graded consideration of the safest drugs when initiating and switching antiretrovirals, as well as identifying individuals for whom more intensive renal monitoring may be appropriate.
The aim of this study was to develop a simple, externally validated, and widely applicable long-term risk score model for CKD in HIV-positive individuals that can guide decision making in clinical practice, and to identify those at greatest risk of CKD.
Ethical and Study Approval
All participating cohorts in the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) study followed local national guidelines/regulations regarding patient consent and ethical review. Of the countries represented by the participating cohorts, only Switzerland and Australia required specific ethical approval for the D:A:D study in addition to that required for their national cohorts (Swiss HIV Cohort Study and Australian HIV Observational Database). France, Italy, and Belgium did not require specific ethical approval over and above that required for the individual cohorts (Nice/Aquitaine Cohort, Brussels St. Pierre Cohort, and ICONA Cohort, respectively), and the Netherlands did not require any specific ethical approval since the data were provided as part of HIV care (ATHENA Cohort). For the EuroSIDA study (which includes the data from the BASS and Swedish cohorts), each participating site has a contractual obligation to ensure that data collection and sharing is done in accordance with national legislation; each site principal investigator either maintains appropriate documentation from an ethical committee (if required by law) or has a documented written statement to say that this is not required.
Use of data from the Royal Free Hospital Clinic Cohort was approved by the Chairman of the Ethics Committee. Both the SMART and ESPRIT trials were approved by the institutional review board at each participating site, and written informed consent was obtained from all participants. The institutional review board at the University of Minnesota approved the INSIGHT study (0603M83587).
This project and analysis of data was approved by the D:A:D steering committee on 28 November 2013 and further ratified by the renal working group within D:A:D on 29 April 2014. A formal project proposal was submitted to the principle investigator of the Royal Free Hospital Clinic Cohort (M. A. J.) and to the scientific committee of INSIGHT for their approval and release of data. Approval from the Royal Free Hospital Clinic Cohort was received on 21 May 2014, and from the INSIGHT scientific steering committee on 20 May 2014.
The D:A:D study is a prospective cohort collaboration established in 1999 that follows more than 49,000 HIV-1-positive individuals in Europe, the United States, and Australia; details have been published previously . Data on routine clinical care, including demographic factors, antiretroviral therapy (ART), laboratory values, cardiovascular risk factors, and AIDS events, are collected electronically at enrolment and every 6 mo thereafter. Serum creatinine measurements have been collected systematically in participating cohorts since January 2004.
Baseline was defined as the first estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) > 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 after the later of (1) 1 January 2004 or (2) inclusion into the D:A:D study. eGFR values were calculated using the Cockcroft-Gault formula , standardised for body surface area. Individuals were censored at the earlier of (1) last eGFR or (2) end of clinical follow-up, defined as the earlier of (1) last visit plus 6 mo or (2) 1 February 2013. Individuals with <3 eGFR measurements (including the baseline eGFR) before the censor date were excluded, as were individuals with less than 3 mo of follow-up, who could not progress to CKD. CKD was defined as a confirmed (>3 mo apart) decrease in eGFR to ≤60 ml/min/1.73 m2 . We excluded individuals with exposure to the potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals tenofovir, atazanavir, atazanavir/ritonavir, lopinavir/ritonavir, or other boosted protease inhibitors (any other protease inhibitor used with ritonavir) before baseline. These antiretrovirals have previously been shown to be related to renal outcomes [9,24]. Individuals starting the potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals after baseline were included. Individuals with prior exposure to abacavir and indinavir were not excluded, and the relationship with development of CKD was investigated in models adjusting for their use. cART was defined as any regimen containing three or more antiretrovirals from any class. Hepatitis B, hepatitis C, hypertension, diabetes, and anaemia were defined as in previous D:A:D analyses (further information available in [11,25]).
As CKD can develop over many years and HIV-positive individuals are exposed to antiretrovirals for many years, we aimed to develop a risk score for predicting CKD over the medium term (5 y). The first stage was to develop a risk score model to identify the non-antiretroviral factors associated with the development of CKD; the relationship between CKD and the potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals was then investigated after adjustment for the demographic and clinical factors associated with CKD found in stage 1.
In stage 1, Poisson regression was used to determine the risk of CKD using information known at baseline. This model was developed in individuals who were not previously exposed to a potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral, but individuals may have subsequently started one of these drugs. All potential demographic, HIV-related, and cardiovascular risk factors for CKD variables were examined univariately, and factors with p < 0.1 were included in a multivariate model. All variables not selected for inclusion (p ≥ 0.1) were added to the final model in turn to determine whether their inclusion improved the fit of the model, as evidenced by p < 0.1 or a lower Akaike information criterion value. Continuous variables were fitted as continuous linear variables, categorical variables, or continuous non-linear variables with polynomial splines, depending on previously published literature, clinical value, and best fitting models.
As data on a number of the renal risk factors (smoking status, hypertension, diabetes, and prior CVD) are not routinely collected worldwide, a short score was derived without these variables to allow a risk score calculation in those individuals where only basic HIV information is known. The adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRRs) from the best fitting model were scaled and used to determine the components of the risk score. The components were scaled by dividing all the aIRRs by the smallest and rounding to the nearest whole number. Whole numbers were used rather than the exact aIRRs to allow the risk score to be easily remembered and calculated. Quintiles of the derived risk score were used to define five categories of risk; the lowest three quintiles were combined as the absolute risk in these categories was extremely small, leaving three risk groups, low (risk score < 0), medium (risk score 0–4), and high (risk score ≥ 5). The same categories were used to classify the shortened version of the risk score (short score). Kaplan-Meier methods were used to determine the probability of CKD at 5 y after baseline.
Derivation of the Best Fitting Model for CKD
Different methods of building the CKD risk score were also investigated to determine whether similar predictors of CKD were identified. Forward selection, i.e., including the most important factors first (those with the lowest p-value and/or those with the greatest change in Akaike information criterion), led to the same model choice, as did backward selection, i.e., fitting all potential explanatory variables and removing them one at a time, depending on their importance. A priori, specific interactions of clinical relevance (e.g., age and hypertension) were identified and tested, with appropriate correction for multiple statistical testing. None of the interactions tested were significant, and therefore the interactions were not included in the CKD risk score model.
Initiation of Potentially Nephrotoxic Antiretrovirals
Initiation of a potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral was added as a time-dependant covariate to the risk score model, including exactly the same patients contributing the same person-years of follow-up (PYFU), to estimate the possible contribution of potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals to CKD development. All individuals were naïve to these drugs at baseline, but could subsequently start during prospective follow-up. The risk score model from stage 1 was used to calculate the number needed to harm (NNTH) over 5 y for those at low, medium, and high risk of CKD. 95% confidence intervals were estimated based on the 95% confidence intervals from the Kaplan-Meier progression rates.
External Validation of the Risk Score
The risk score was validated using two external cohorts of HIV-positive individuals: the Royal Free Hospital Clinic Cohort  and the control arms (i.e., non-intervention) of the SMART and ESPRIT trials from the INSIGHT network [27,28]. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied in the same way as for D:A:D study participants; eGFR was calculated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) formula . Risk score performance was evaluated by comparison of the crude incidence rates within risk score strata, Kaplan-Meier progression rates, and aIRRs associated with a one-point increase in the risk score.
Calculation of an Individual’s Risk of CKD at t Years
For a given set of characteristics, the probability of progression to CKD in the next t years (e.g., 5 y) can be calculated using the following formula: (1) where H = exp (β0 + β1X1 + β2X2); X1, X2, etc., are the covariate values; and β0, β1, β2, etc., are the parameter estimates from the Poisson regression model.
The population was divided into those at low, moderate, and high risk of CKD for the purpose of explaining the model and to broadly categorise risk of CKD. Individual risk can be calculated as per this formula. The authors will develop an easy-to-use online tool whereby an individual’s underlying risk of CKD and NNTH depending on types of antiretroviral drugs used can be estimated by entering the individual’s own characteristics.
All analyses were performed using SAS (SAS Institute, Cary, North Carolina, US), version 9.3.
Of the 49,717 individuals enrolled in the D:A:D study, 36,180 (72.8%) had at least one eGFR > 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 after the later of 1 January 2004 or enrolment into the D:A:D study. Of these 36,180 individuals, 17,954 (49.6%) met entry criteria for and were included in analyses; 2,645 (7.3%) individuals were excluded because they had <3 eGFR measurements, 308 (0.9%) were excluded because they had no baseline CD4 counts or viral loads, 15,172 (41.9%) were excluded because of prior exposure to potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals, and 101 (0.3%) were excluded because there was <3 mo of follow-up between first eGFR after baseline and last eGFR. The incidence of CKD in those excluded was 12.7/1,000 PYFU (95% CI 12.0–13.5).
The characteristics of the 17,954 included individuals are shown in Table 1. The median eGFR at baseline was 104 (interquartile range [IQR] 90–120 ml/min/1.73 m2); 687 individuals (3.8%) had an eGFR of >60 to ≤70 ml/min/1.73 m2, 3,778 (21.0%) had an eGFR of >70 to ⩽90 ml/min/1.73 m2, and 13,489 (75.1%) had an eGFR of >90 ml/min/1.73 m2. There was a total of 270,926 eGFR measurements available for analysis, a median of 14 (IQR 9–20) per person, measured a median time of 4 mo (IQR 3–6) apart. During 103,185 PYFU (median follow-up 6.1 y, range 0.3–9.1 y), 641 developed CKD (3.6%); the incidence of CKD was 6.2/1,000 PYFU (95% CI 5.7–6.7). At 2, 5, and 8 y after baseline, 1.1% (95% CI 0.9%–1.2%), 2.7% (95% CI 2.4%–2.9%), and 5.3% (95% CI 4.9%–5.8%) were estimated to have developed CKD, respectively.
Development of the Risk Score and the Short Version Excluding Cardiovascular Risk Factors
HIV exposure group (intravenous drug user versus all others), gender, hepatitis C coinfection, age, nadir CD4 count (≤200 cells/mm3), baseline eGFR, hypertension, diabetes, and prior CVD at baseline were all significant predictors of CKD and were included in the risk score model. Both the precise coefficients from the best fitting statistical model and the estimates to be used in the risk score model are shown in Table 2. Baseline CD4 count, hepatitis B status, race, smoking status, AIDS ever or in the 12 mo prior to baseline, prior use of other antiretrovirals (including abacavir or indinavir), anaemia, and viral load (as either a continuous or categorical variable) were not significantly related to CKD after adjustment for the other variables listed and were excluded from our risk score models.
Also shown in Table 2 is the shortened version of the risk score, which could be used when cardiovascular risk factors are unavailable. The improvement in event classification by incorporating the cardiovascular risk factors in the risk score model was 2.5% (p <0.001). The risk score model had good discrimination (Harrell’s C-statistic 0.92, 95% CI 0.90–0.93), as did the short model (Harrell’s C-statistic 0.91, 95% CI 0.90–0.92), although significantly poorer than the risk score model incorporating cardiovascular risk factors (p < 0.001). The short model had a significantly higher Akaike information criterion, indicating that the risk score model provided a better prognostic risk score.
Focusing on the full risk score model, the median risk score at baseline was −2 (IQR −4 to 2). Among those who developed CKD, the median risk score at baseline was 10 (IQR 5–14). Three risk groups were created, as detailed in the Methods, corresponding to low (risk score < 0, 33 events [5.1%]), medium (risk score 0–4, 103 events [16.1%]), and high risk (risk score ≥ 5, 505 events [78.8%]). There was a clear increase in incidence of CKD moving from the low to high risk score group (Table 3), and these rates and proportions reflect the underlying risks of CKD in individuals not exposed to potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals; there was a 0.18% probability of developing CKD over the next 5 y in the low risk group (95% CI 0.09%–0.26%), increasing to 1.50% (95% CI 1.09%–1.91%) and 14.68% (95% CI 13.24%–16.12%) in the medium and high risk groups, respectively. Finally, there was a 1:393 chance of developing CKD in the next 5 y in the low risk group, rising to 1:47 and 1:6 in the medium and high risk groups, respectively.
Validation of the Risk Score in Two External Cohorts
There were 55,010 eGFR measurements included from the Royal Free Hospital Clinic Cohort from 2,548 individuals; 94 individuals developed CKD (3.7%) during 18,376.0 PYFU (incidence 5.1/1,000 PYFU; 95% CI 4.1–6.1; median follow-up 7.4 y, range 0.3–12.7 y). Characteristics are shown in S1 Table. Information on diabetes, CVD, and hypertension was not routinely recorded in this cohort, and hence the short risk score was validated, as summarised in Table 3.
There were 11,088 eGFR measurements included from the SMART/ESPRIT trials from 2,013 individuals; 1,036 (51.5%) were from ESPRIT. In total, 32 individuals developed CKD (1.6%) during 8,451.7 PYFU (incidence 4.1/1,000 PYFU, 95% CI 2.2–5.9; median follow-up 4.1 y, range 0.6–8.1 y). Cohort characteristics are shown in S1 Table. Information on diabetes, hypertension, and prior CVD was available within the SMART/ESPRIT cohorts, and hence the full risk score was validated (Table 3).
Although the number of events was considerably smaller in the validation cohorts than in the derivation cohort, resulting in comparatively wide 95% confidence intervals, the incidence rates were similar and increased across the low, medium, and high risk score groups (Table 3). Incidence rates across derivation and validation cohorts were similar, and the aIRR associated with a one-point increase in the score was virtually identical in all cohorts, using the full risk score or the short version. Kaplan-Meier progression in those with low, medium, and high risk scores was also very similar in both of the validation cohorts and the D:A:D derivation cohort (Fig. 1; Table 3). The short risk score showed good discrimination in the Royal Free Hospital Clinic Cohort (Harrell’s C-statistic 0.86, 95% CI 0.78–0.90), as did the full risk score in the SMART/ESPRIT cohort (Harrell’s C-statistic 0.87, 95% CI 0.80–0.94).
Starting Potentially Nephrotoxic Antiretrovirals and Number Needed to Harm
Table 4 shows the initiation of antiretrovirals after baseline. For example, 11,153 individuals started tenofovir during prospective follow-up (62.1%), and 9,854 had started the drug by 5 y after baseline, corresponding to 61.2% (95% CI 60.4%–62.0%) starting tenofovir by 5 y using Kaplan-Meier estimation. Initiation of a potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral was added to the risk score model as a time-dependant covariate to estimate contribution of potentially nephrotoxic antivirals to the risk of CKD and to calculate the NNTH for those at low, medium, and high risk of CKD. Individuals starting tenofovir, atazanavir/ritonavir, or any other boosted protease inhibitor (excluding lopinavir/ritonavir) had an increased risk of CKD equivalent to a two-point increase in the risk score, or a 74% increased incidence of CKD (aIRR 1.74, 95% CI 1.69–1.78) compared to individuals not starting these drugs but with otherwise similar risk factors for CKD. Those starting atazanavir or lopinavir/ritonavir had an increased risk of CKD equivalent to a one-point increase in the risk score, or a 32% increased incidence of CKD (aIRR 1.32, 95% CI 1.30–1.34) compared to those not starting these drugs but with otherwise similar risk factors for CKD.
NNTH values are summarised in Fig. 2. The NNTH is the average number of individuals who could be treated with one of the potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals for one extra person to develop CKD compared to if the same individuals had not received this treatment. There is a clear decrease in NNTH moving from low to high risk score group for CKD, suggesting much greater potential harm with these potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals in individuals at high risk of CKD compared to those at low risk. For example, starting or adding tenofovir, atazanavir/ritonavir, or another boosted protease inhibitor (excluding lopinavir/ritonavir) gave a NNTH of 739 over 5 y in those at low risk of CKD. Thus, on average, treating 739 individuals (95% CI 506–1,462) with tenofovir in the low risk group would yield one extra case of CKD relative to if the same 739 individuals were not treated with this drug. Starting or adding unboosted atazanavir or lopinavir/ritonavir in the low risk group gave a NNTH of 1,702 over 5 y (95% CI 1,166–3,367). In the medium risk group (risk score 0–4), the NNTH was 88 (95% CI 69–121) for tenofovir, atazanavir/ritonavir, or another boosted protease inhibitor (excluding lopinavir/ritonavir) and 202 (95% CI 159–278) for unboosted atazanavir or lopinavir/ritonavir, over 5 y. These NNTH values decreased markedly in the high risk group (risk score ≥ 5), to 9 (95% CI 8–10) and 21 (95% CI 19–23), respectively, over 5 y.
ATV, atazanavir; ATV/r, atazanavir/ritonavir; BPI, other ritonavir-boosted protease inhibitor (excluding lopinavir/ritonavir and atazanavir/ritonavir); LPV/r, lopinavir/ritonavir; TDF, tenofovir.
The NNTH is for addition of each potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral as a single drug; in practice they are commonly combined. For example, a person starting tenofovir with lopinavir/ritonavir would have a 2.29-fold increased incidence of CKD (1.74—fold increase from tenofovir and 1.32-fold increase from lopinavir/ritonavir), equivalent to a three-point increase in the risk score. This equates to a NNTH of 436 (95% CI 298–861) for those at low risk, 52 (95% CI 41–71) for those at medium risk, and 5 (95% CI 5–7) for those at high risk.
Calculation of an Individual Risk Score
Using Table 3, a person who is female (+1), who does not use intravenous drugs (+0), without hepatitis coinfection (+0), aged 38 y (+4), who has an eGFR of 68 ml/min/1.73 m2 (+6), with a nadir CD4 count of 250 cells/mm3 (−1), without hypertension (+0) or prior CVD (+0), but with diabetes (+2) would have a risk score of 12, placing her in the high risk category. On average, 14.68% (95% CI 13.24%–16.12%) of individuals in this study with a high risk of CKD progressed to CKD by 5 y after baseline.
The exact coefficients can also be used to determine an individual’s risk, where the person’s characteristics can be used to calculate the exact probability of the risk of CKD at 5 y and estimate how that risk changes if one of the potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals is started. Thus a person who is female (+0.3982), who does not use intravenous drugs (+0), without hepatitis coinfection (+0), aged 38 y (+1.0813), who has an eGFR of 68 ml/min/1.73 m2 (+1.6475), with a nadir CD4 count of 250 cells/mm3 (−0.2848), without hypertension (+0) or prior CVD (+0), but with diabetes (+0.5764) would have an exact risk score of 3.4186, added to the constant (representing the intercept of the model) of −6.2406, giving a total score (H) of −2.822, corresponding to a 25.7% risk of developing CKD in 5 y; adding tenofovir would increase that risk to 44.7% (i.e., a 74% increase in risk of CKD in those starting tenofovir); adding tenofovir and lopinavir/ritonavir would increase the risk to 58.9% (i.e., a 123% increase in risk). In contrast, a person who is male (+0), who does not use intravenous drugs (+0), without hepatitis coinfection (+0), aged 28 y (+0), who has an eGFR of 80 ml/min/1.73 m2 (+0), with a nadir CD4 count of 250 cells/mm3 (−0.2848), without hypertension (+0), prior CVD (+0), or diabetes (+0) would have an exact risk score of −0.2848, added to the constant (representing the intercept) of −6.2406, giving a total score (H) of −6.5254, corresponding to a 0.7% risk of developing CKD within the next 5 y, increasing to 1.2% if tenofovir is included as part of his antiretroviral regimen, and to 1.6% if he starts tenofovir and lopinavir/ritonavir.
We developed a simple, clinically useful risk score for predicting CKD at 5 y in individuals with HIV, and validated the score in two clinically diverse populations with different frequencies of eGFR monitoring. We have calculated the NNTH over 5 y when starting tenofovir or other potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals in individuals with high, medium, or low underlying risk of CKD. The development of a publicly available online tool estimating an individual’s 5-y risk of CKD with or without the addition of potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals enables clinicians and HIV-positive individuals to make an informed decision about acceptable risk for an individual’s care, relative to the benefits of any given treatment regimen, and to identify those at greatest risk of CKD.
Previous research from the D:A:D study showed similar risk factors for end-stage renal disease/advanced CKD, and showed that those on tenofovir had lower rates of this more advanced end point . The most likely reason for this finding was that tenofovir, especially, was discontinued as eGFR declined, likely leaving a highly selected group of individuals at low risk of end-stage renal disease taking the drug. The previous study differs from that presented here in two important ways: by considering a less advanced deterioration in kidney function than CKD, and by considering the medium- to long-term risk of CKD to develop a risk score. Age, HIV exposure route, hepatitis C coinfection, gender, nadir CD4 count, hypertension, CVD, and diabetes, have all been previously shown to be associated with CKD [4,19,31], so their inclusion in our score was expected. The factors included in our risk score model, and the number of points these factors contributed to the risk score, highlight the need for patient monitoring, screening, and chronic disease prevention to minimise the risks of developing diabetes, hypertension, or CVD, as well as the risk of becoming hepatitis C virus coinfected.
The risk score model presented here establishes the demographic, traditional, and HIV-associated risk factors for CKD in those naïve to potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals. The antiretrovirals included in the model were chosen a priori based on previous research and include those suggested to have a potentially nephrotoxic effect [9,24]; we did not consider other antiretrovirals as they have not been shown to be associated with CKD. The potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals were then added as time-updated variables to estimate the increased risk of CKD after starting these antiretrovirals during follow-up, after adjustment for relevant risk factors for CKD. In addition, we developed a short version of the risk score excluding cardiovascular information—not always routinely available in HIV cohorts—which showed good agreement with the full risk score and also good agreement with external validation. The short version of the risk score could be widely used to assess renal risk in developing countries. The DART trial reported 5% of individuals with HIV developing CKD at 4 y, higher than the 2.7% overall found in the D:A:D study, and concluded that first-line ART, including tenofovir, could be used without renal monitoring . The risk score developed here found that the risk of CKD was very low for the majority of HIV-positive individuals, and hence the NNTH from adding potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals was high, confirming the results from the DART trial, which primarily included individuals at low risk of CKD, and suggesting that such antiretrovirals can be started with minimal additional risk of CKD, subject to appropriate monitoring. In the high risk group (risk score ≥ 5), the NNTH was much lower, and routine renal monitoring in such patients, or the use of an alternative non-nephrotoxic antiretroviral if available, seems warranted in such high risk populations.
We validated both the full risk score and the short version, excluding important cardiovascular risk factors, on quite diverse populations. The Royal Free Hospital Clinic Cohort is a clinic-based cohort with a lower proportion of older individuals or intravenous drug users, while individuals from the randomised SMART/ESPRIT trials were from many centres worldwide [27,28]. As stated, we cannot adjust fully for race in the D:A:D study, and so we used the Cockcroft-Gault formula for estimating eGFR , adjusted for body surface area. Research from EuroSIDA has shown that eGFRs derived from the Cockcroft-Gault and CKD-EPI formulae predict CKD equally well in European patients . The CKD-EPI formula was used in the validation cohorts to demonstrate that the risk score had good discrimination and was not sensitive to the choice of formula for calculating eGFR. Despite differences between the validation cohorts and the derivation cohort in frequency of and method for calculation of eGFR, there was remarkable agreement between the different studies in the increased incidence of CKD associated with a unit increase in the risk score and in the incidence rates of CKD within each risk score group, and excellent discrimination between those developing and not developing CKD.
There are several limitations to this study; we excluded over half of the D:A:D study population in order to determine risk factors for CKD in individuals naïve to potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals and to determine the subsequent medium-term increased risk of CKD when individuals at high, medium, or low risk of CKD start such drugs. Limitations on data collection meant we were not able to fully adjust for race, and further validation in this subgroup should be considered. Unmeasured confounding can never be excluded in observational studies. Our model considered only antiretrovirals previously suggested to have a nephrotoxic effect (tenofovir, atazanavir/ritonavir, and boosted protease inhibitors excluding lopinavir/ritonavir), and we cannot exclude the possibility that other antiretrovirals not included in these analyses may also increase the risk of CKD. Routine screening for proteinuria in HIV-positive individuals, which is associated with CKD in HIV infection, has only recently been implemented, and proteinuria screening data are not yet available in the D:A:D study and could not be included in our risk score model. We encourage other cohorts with available data to determine whether including such information improves the predictive ability of the D:A:D risk score, as well as to further develop the risk score to incorporate other prognostic information for CKD. A recently derived risk score for CKD in HIV-positive men, including proteinuria, suggested that similar clinical and laboratory markers were associated with CKD. Importantly, this study considered the impact of only tenofovir  and not other potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals, and was not externally validated
The major strength of the risk score presented here is that it provides a clinically useful, easily calculable, and implementable measure of future risk of CKD in HIV-positive individuals that facilitates an individualised approach to management by allowing calculation of the risk of CKD for a given set of characteristics, and then investigation of how that risk changes if potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals are added to the treatment regimen. The tool is available at http://hivpv.org/Home/Tools/ChronicKidneyDiseaseTool.aspx. The 2013 revised WHO guidelines recommend targeted creatinine testing for HIV-positive individuals taking tenofovir and for those with hypertension . CKD is a multifactorial process, and resources might be better utilised by more frequent or targeted testing in those with a high risk score, which incorporates many different risk factors. The NNTH shows that adding potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals to the treatment regimen for patients at low underlying risk of CKD should not cause undue concern and that the benefits likely outweigh the risks. Conversely, the use of such antiretrovirals in individuals with a high underlying risk of CKD needs careful discussion and close monitoring. Risks and benefits, both renal and for other comorbidities, and already acquired HIV drug resistance clearly need to be carefully assessed when choice of antiretroviral drugs and intensity of monitoring is decided on in this group of individuals. The shorter version of the risk score can be widely implemented, even in settings where cardiovascular risk factors are unknown. Finally, our validation study in two diverse external cohorts showed that an increased risk score was associated with a very similar increased incidence of CKD in the derivation and validation cohorts.
In conclusion, we have developed and externally validated a risk score for CKD in HIV infection that has direct clinical relevance for patients and clinicians to weigh the benefits of certain antiretrovirals against the risk of CKD, and to identify those at greatest risk of CKD.
D:A:D Study Group
The members of the D:A:D study group are as follows.
D:A:D steering committee: J. D. Lundgren (chair), B. Powderly, N. Shortman, C. Moecklinghoff, G. Reilly, X. Franquet, C. A. Sabin, A. Phillips, O. Kirk, P. Reiss, R. Weber, C. Pradier, M. Law, A. d’Arminio Monforte, F. Dabis, W. M. El-Sadr, S. De Wit.
D:A:D oversight committee: B. Powderly, N. Shortman, C. Moecklinghoff, G. Reilly, X. Franquet.
D:A:D central coordination: L. Ryom, C. A. Sabin, D. Kamara, C. Smith, A. Phillips, A. Mocroft, J. Tverland, M. Mansfeld, J. Nielsen, D. Raben, J. D. Lundgren.
D:A:D data managers: R. Salbøl Brandt (coordinator), M. Rickenbach, I. Fanti, E. Krum, M. Hillebregt, S. Geffard, A. Sundström, M. Delforge, E. Fontas, F. Torres, H. McManus, S. Wright, J. Kjær.
Verification of end points: A. Sjøl (CVD primary end point), P. Meidahl (oncology, new end point), J. Helweg-Larsen (hematology, new endpoint), J. Schmidt Iversen (nephrology, new endpoint).
Kidney working group: L. Ryom, A. Mocroft, O. Kirk, P. Reiss, M. Ross, C. A. Fux, P. Morlat, O. Moranne, A. M. Kesselring, D. A. Kamara, C. Smith, J. D. Lundgren.
Mortality working group: C. Smith, L. Ryom, A. Phillips, R. Weber, P. Morlat, C. Pradier, P. Reiss, N. Friis-Møller, J. Kowalska, J. D. Lundgren.
Cancer working group: C. Sabin, M. Law, A. d’Arminio Monforte, F. Dabis, M. Bruyand, P. Reiss, C. Smith, D. A. Kamara, M. Bower, G. Fätkenheuer, A. Donald, A. Grulich, L. Ryom, J. D. Lundgren.
The members of the 11 cohorts in the D:A:D cohort are as follows.
(1) ATHENA Cohort (The Netherlands)
Clinical centres (*site coordinating physician): Academic Medical Centre of the University of Amsterdam: HIV treating physicians: J. M. Prins*, T. W. Kuijpers, H. J. Scherpbier, J. T. M. van der Meer, F. W. M. N. Wit, M. H. Godfried, P. Reiss, T. van der Poll, F. J. B. Nellen, S. E. Geerlings, M. van Vugt, D. Pajkrt, J. C. Bos, W. J. Wiersinga, M. van der Valk, A. Goorhuis, J. W. Hovius. HIV nurse consultants: J. van Eden, A. Henderiks, A. M. H. van Hes, M. Mutschelknauss, H. E. Nobel, F. J. J. Pijnappel, A. M. Westerman. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: S. Jurriaans, N. K. T. Back, H. L. Zaaijer, B. Berkhout, M. T. E. Cornelissen, C. J. Schinkel, X. V. Thomas. Admiraal De Ruyter Ziekenhuis, Goes: HIV treating physicians: M. van den Berge, A. Stegeman. HIV nurse consultants: S. Baas, L. Hage de Looff. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: D. Versteeg. Catharina Ziekenhuis, Eindhoven: HIV treating physicians: M. J. H. Pronk*, H. S. M. Ammerlaan. HIV nurse consultants: E. M. H. M. Korsten-Vorstermans, E. S. de Munnik. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: A. R. Jansz, J. Tjhie, M. C. A. Wegdam, B. Deiman, V. Scharnhorst. Emma Kinderziekenhuis: HIV nurse consultants: A. van der Plas, A. M. Weijsenfeld. Erasmus Medisch Centrum, Rotterdam: HIV treating physicians: M. E. van der Ende*, T. E. M. S. de Vries-Sluijs, E. C. M. van Gorp, C. A. M. Schurink, J. L. Nouwen, A. Verbon, B. J. A. Rijnders, H. I. Bax, R. J. Hassing, M. van der Feltz. HIV nurse consultants: N. Bassant, J. E. A. van Beek, M. Vriesde, L. M. van Zonneveld. Data collection: A. de Oude-Lubbers, H. J. van den Berg-Cameron, F. B. Bruinsma-Broekman, J. de Groot, M. de Zeeuw- de Man, M. J. Broekhoven-Kruijne. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: M. Schutten, A. D. M. E. Osterhaus, C. A. B. Boucher. Erasmus Medisch Centrum–Sophia, Rotterdam: HIV treating physicians: G. J. A. Driessen, A. M. C. van Rossum. HIV nurse consultants: L. C. van der Knaap, E. Visser. Flevoziekenhuis, Almere: HIV treating physicians: J. Branger*. HIV nurse consultant and data collection: C. J. H. M. Duijf-van de Ven. HagaZiekenhuis, Den Haag: HIV treating physicians: E. F. Schippers*, C. van Nieuwkoop, R. W. Brimicombe. HIV nurse consultant: J. M. van IJperen. Data collection: G. van der Hut. HIV clinical virologist/chemist: P. F. H. Franck. HIV Focus Centrum (DC Klinieken), Amsterdam: HIV treating physician: A. van Eeden*. HIV nurse consultants: W. Brokking, M. Groot. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: M. Damen, I. S. Kwa. Isala Klinieken, Zwolle: HIV treating physicians: P. H. P. Groeneveld*, J. W. Bouwhuis. HIV nurse consultants: J. F. van den Berg, A. G. W. van Hulzen. Data collection: G. L. van der Bliek, P. C. J. Bor. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: P. Bloembergen, M. J. H. M. Wolfhagen, G. J. H. M. Ruijs. Kennemer Gasthuis, Haarlem: HIV treating physicians: S. F. L. van Lelyveld*, R. Soetekouw. HIV nurse consultants: N. Hulshoff, L. M. M. van der Prijt, M. Schoemaker. Data collection: N. Bermon. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: W. A. van der Reijden, R. Jansen, B. L. Herpers, D. Veenendaal. Leids Universitair Medisch Centrum, Leiden: HIV treating physicians: F. P. Kroon*, S. M. Arend, M. G. J. de Boer, M. P. Bauer, H. Jolink, A. M. Vollaard. HIV nurse consultants: W. Dorama, C. Moons. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: E. C. J. Claas, A. C. M. Kroes. Maasstad Ziekenhuis, Rotterdam: HIV treating physicians: J. G. den Hollander*, K. Pogany. HIV nurse consultants: M. Kastelijns, J. V. Smit, E. Smit. Data collection: M. Bezemer, T. van Niekerk. HIV clinical virologist/chemist: O. Pontesilli. Maastricht UMC+, Maastricht: HIV treating physicians: S. H. Lowe*, A. Oude Lashof, D. Posthouwer. HIV nurse consultants: R. P. Ackens, J. Schippers, R. Vergoossen. Data collection: B. Weijenberg Maes. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: P. H. M. Savelkoul, I. H. Loo. MC Zuiderzee, Lelystad: HIV treating physicians: S. Weijer*, R. El Moussaoui. HIV nurse consultant: M. Heitmuller. Data collection: M. Heitmuller. Medisch Centrum Alkmaar, Alkmaar: HIV treating physicians: W. Kortmann*, G. van Twillert*, J. W. T. Cohen Stuart, B. M. W. Diederen. HIV nurse consultants and data collection: D. Pronk, F. A. van Truijen-Oud. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: W. A. van der Reijden, R. Jansen. Medisch Centrum Haaglanden, Den Haag: HIV treating physicians: E. M. S. Leyten*, L. B. S. Gelinck. HIV nurse consultants: A. van Hartingsveld, C. Meerkerk, G. S. Wildenbeest. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: J. A. E. M. Mutsaers, C. L. Jansen. Medisch Centrum Leeuwarden, Leeuwarden: HIV treating physicians: M. G. A. van Vonderen*, D. P. F. van Houte. HIV nurse consultants: K. Dijkstra, S. Faber. HIV clinical virologist/chemist: J Weel. Medisch Spectrum Twente, Enschede: HIV treating physicians: G. J. Kootstra*, C. E. Delsing. HIV nurse consultants: M. van der Burg-van de Plas, H. Heins. Data collection: E. Lucas. Onze Lieve Vrouwe Gasthuis, Amsterdam: HIV treating physicians: K. Brinkman*, P. H. J. Frissen, W. L. Blok, W. E. M. Schouten. HIV nurse consultants: A. S. Bosma, C. J. Brouwer, G. F. Geerders, K. Hoeksema, M. J. Kleene, I. B. van der Meché, A. J. M. Toonen, S. Wijnands. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: M. L. van Ogtrop, R. Jansen. Radboud UMC, Nijmegen: HIV treating physicians: P. P. Koopmans, M. Keuter, A. J. A. M. van der Ven, H. J. M. ter Hofstede, A. S. M. Dofferhoff, R. van Crevel. HIV nurse consultants: M. Albers, M. E. W. Bosch, K. J. T. Grintjes-Huisman, B. J. Zomer. HIV clinical virologist/chemist: F. F. Stelma. HIV clinical pharmacology consultant: D. Burger. Rijnstate, Arnhem: HIV treating physicians: C. Richter*, J. P. van der Berg, E. H. Gisolf. HIV nurse consultants: G. ter Beest, P. H. M. van Bentum, N. Langebeek. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: R. Tiemessen, C. M. A. Swanink. Sint Lucas Andreas Ziekenhuis, Amsterdam: HIV treating physicians: J. Veenstra*, K. D. Lettinga. HIV nurse consultants: M. Spelbrink, H. Sulman. Data collection: M. Spelbrink, E. Witte. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: M. Damen, P. G. H. Peerbooms. Slotervaartziekenhuis, Amsterdam: HIV treating physicians: J. W. Mulder, S. M. E. Vrouenraets, F. N. Lauw. HIV nurse consultants: M. C. van Broekhuizen, H. Paap, D. J. Vlasblom. Data collection: E. Oudmaijer Sanders. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: P. H. M. Smits, A. W. Rosingh. Stichting Medisch Centrum Jan van Goyen, Amsterdam: HIV treating physicians: D. W. M. Verhagen. HIV nurse consultant: J. Geilings. St Elisabeth Ziekenhuis, Tilburg: HIV treating physicians: M. E. E. van Kasteren*, A. E. Brouwer. HIV nurse consultants and data collection: B. A. F. M. de Kruijf-van de Wiel, M. Kuipers, R. M. W. J. Santegoets, B. van der Ven. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: J. H. Marcelis, A. G. M. Buiting, P. J. Kabel. Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen, Groningen: HIV treating physicians: W. F. W. Bierman*, H. G. Sprenger, E. H. Scholvinck, S. van Assen, K. R. Wilting, Y. Stienstra. HIV nurse consultants: H. de Groot-de Jonge, P. A. van der Meulen, D. A. de Weerd. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: H. G. M. Niesters, A. Riezebos-Brilman, C. C. van Leer-Buter. Universitair Medisch Centrum Utrecht, Utrecht: HIV treating physicians: A. I. M. Hoepelman*, M. M. E. Schneider, T. Mudrikova, P. M. Ellerbroek, J. J. Oosterheert, J. E. Arends, R. E. Barth, M. W. M. Wassenberg. HIV nurse consultants: D. H. M. van Elst-Laurijssen, L. M. Laan, E. E. B. van Oers-Hazelzet, J. Patist, S. Vervoort, Data collection: H. E. Nieuwenhuis, R. Frauenfelder. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: R. Schuurman, F. Verduyn-Lunel, A. M. J. Wensing. VU Medisch Centrum, Amsterdam: HIV treating physicians: E. J. G. Peters*, M. A. van Agtmael, R. M. Perenboom, M. Bomers, J. de Vocht. HIV nurse consultants: L. J. M. Elsenburg. HIV clinical virologists/chemists: A. M. Pettersson, C. M. J. E. Vandenbroucke-Grauls, C. W. Ang. Wilhelmina Kinderziekenhuis, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht: HIV treating physicians: S. P. M. Geelen, T. F. W. Wolfs, L. J. Bont. HIV nurse consultant: N. Nauta.
Coordinating centre: Stichting HIV Monitoring Director: P. Reiss. Data analysis: D. O. Bezemer, L. Gras, A. I. van Sighem, C. Smit. Data management and quality control: S. Zaheri, M. Hillebregt, V. Kimmel, Y. Tong. Data monitoring: B. Lascaris, R. van den Boogaard, P. Hoekstra, A. de Lang, M. Berkhout, S. Grivell, A. Jansen. Data collection: L. de Groot, M. van den Akker, D. Bergsma, C. Lodewijk, R. Meijering, B. Peeck, M. Raethke, C. Ree, R. Regtop, Y. Ruijs, M. Schoorl, E. Tuijn, L. Veenenberg, T. Woudstra, Y. Bakker, A. de Jong, M. Broekhoven, E. Claessen, M. J. Rademaker, L. Munjishvili, E. Kruijne. Patient registration: B. Tuk.
(2) Aquitaine Cohort (France)
Principal investigator: F. Dabis.
Scientific committee: F. Bonnet, F. Dabis, M. Dupon, G. Chêne, D. Breilh, H. Fleury, D. Malvy, P. Mercié, I. Pellegrin, P. Morlat, D. Neau, J. L. Pellegrin, S. Bouchet, V. Gaborieau, D. Lacoste, S. Tchamgoué, R. Thiébaut.
Composition of the Groupe d’Epidémiologie Clinique du Sida en Aquitaine. Epidemiology and biostatistics: G. Chêne, F. Dabis, R. Thiébaut, M. Bruyand, S. Lawson-Ayayi, L. Wittkop.
Clinical and biological hospital units. Bordeaux University Hospital: P. Morlat (F. Bonnet, N. Bernard, M. Hessamfar, D. Lacoste, M. A. Vandenhende); M. Dupon (F. A. Dauchy, H. Dutronc), M. Longy-Boursier (P. Mercié, P. Duffau, J. Roger Schmeltz), D. Malvy (T. Pistone, M. C. Receveur), D. Neau (C. Cazanave, A. Ochoa, M. O. Vareil), J. L. Pellegrin (J. F. Viallard, C. Greib, E. Lazaro); H. Fleury (M. E. Lafon, S. Reigadas, P. Trimoulet); D. Breilh; M. Molimard (S. Bouchet, K. Titier); J. F. Moreau (I. Pellegrin); F. Haramburu, G. Miremont-Salamé. Arcachon Hospital: A. Dupont. Dax Hospital: Y. Gerard (L. Caunègre, K. André). Bayonne Hospital: F. Bonnal (S. Farbos, M. C. Gemain). Libourne Hospital: J. Ceccaldi (S. Tchamgoué). Mont-de-Marsan Hospital: S. De Witte (C. Courtault). Pau Hospital: E. Monlun (V. Gaborieau). Périgueux Hospital: P. Lataste (J. P. Meraud). Villeneuve-sur-Lot Hospital: I. Chossat.
Permanent team: M. J. Blaizeau, M. Bruyand, V. Conte, M. Decoin, J. Delaune, S. Delveaux, F. Diarra, C. D’Ivernois, A. Frosch, S. Geffard, C. Hannapier, S. Lawson-Ayayi, E. Lenaud, O. Leleux, F. Le Marec, J. Leray, I. Louis, G. Palmer, A. Pougetoux, X. Sicard, D. Touchard B. Uwamaliya-Nziyumvira.
(3) Australian HIV Observational Database (Australia)
Central coordination: M. Law, K. Petoumenos, H. McManus, S. Wright, C. Bendall (Sydney, New South Wales).
Participating physicians: R. Moore, S. Edwards, J. Hoy, K. Watson, N. Roth, J. Nicholson (Melbourne, Victoria); M. Bloch, T. Franic, D. Baker, R. Vale, A. Carr, D. Cooper (Sydney, New South Wales); J. Chuah, M. Ngieng (Gold Coast, Queensland); D. Nolan, J. Skett (Perth, Western Australia).
(4) BASS (Spain)
Central coordination: G. Calvo, F. Torres, S. Mateu (Barcelona).
Participating physicians: P. Domingo, M. A. Sambeat, J. Gatell, E. Del Cacho, J. Cadafalch, M. Fuster (Barcelona); C. Codina, G. Sirera, A. Vaqué (Badalona).
(5) The Brussels St. Pierre Cohort (Belgium)
Coordination: S. De Wit, N. Clumeck, M. Delforge, C. Necsoi.
Participating physicians: N. Clumeck, S. De Wit, A. F. Gennotte, M. Gerard, K. Kabeya, D. Konopnicki, A. Libois, C. Martin, M. C. Payen, P. Semaille, Y. Van Laethem.
(6) Community Programs for Clinical Research on AIDS (US)
Central coordination: J. Neaton, G. Bartsch, W. M. El-Sadr, E. Krum, G. Thompson, D. Wentworth.
Participating physicians: R. Luskin-Hawk (Chicago, Illinois); E. Telzak (Bronx, New York); W. M. El-Sadr (Harlem, New York); D. I. Abrams (San Francisco, California); D. Cohn (Denver, Colorado); N. Markowitz (Detroit, Michigan); R. Arduino (Houston, Texas); D. Mushatt (New Orleans, Louisiana); G. Friedland (New Haven, Connecticut); G. Perez (Newark, New Jersey); E. Tedaldi (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania); E. Fisher (Richmond, Virginia); F. Gordin (Washington, District of Columbia); L. R. Crane (Detroit, Michigan); J. Sampson (Portland, Oregon); J. Baxter (Camden, New Jersey).
(7) EuroSIDA (multinational)
Coordinating centre: J. Lundgren, O. Kirk, A. Mocroft, A. Cozzi-Lepri, D. Grint, D. Podlekareva, J. Kjær, L. Peters, J. Reekie, J. Kowalska, J. Tverland, A. H. Fischer, J. Nielsen.
Participating countries and physicians (#national coordinator):
Argentina: M. Losso#, C. Elias, Hospital J. M. Ramos Mejia, Buenos Aires.
Austria: N. Vetter#, Pulmologisches Zentrum der Stadt Wien, Vienna; R. Zangerle, Medical University Innsbruck, Innsbruck.
Belarus: I. Karpov#, A. Vassilenko, Belarus State Medical University, Minsk; V. M. Mitsura, Gomel State Medical University, Gomel; O. Suetnov, Regional AIDS Centre, Svetlogorsk.
Belgium: N. Clumeck#, S. De Wit, M. Delforge, Saint-Pierre Hospital, Brussels; R. Colebunders, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp; L. Vandekerckhove, University Ziekenhuis Gent, Gent.
Bosnia-Herzegovina: V. Hadziosmanovic#, Klinicki Centar Univerziteta Sarajevo, Sarajevo.
Bulgaria: K. Kostov#, Infectious Diseases Hospital, Sofia.
Croatia: J. Begovac#, University Hospital of Infectious Diseases, Zagreb.
Czech Republic: L. Machala#, D. Jilich, Faculty Hospital Bulovka, Prague; D. Sedlacek, Charles University Hospital, Plzen.
Denmark: J. Nielsen#, G. Kronborg, T. Benfield, M. Larsen, Hvidovre Hospital, Copenhagen; J. Gerstoft, T. Katzenstein, A.-B. E. Hansen, P. Skinhøj, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen; C. Pedersen, Odense University Hospital, Odense; L. Ostergaard, Skejby Hospital, Aarhus.
Estonia: K. Zilmer#, West-Tallinn Central Hospital, Tallinn; J. Smidt, Nakkusosakond Siseklinik, Kohtla-Järve.
Finland: M. Ristola#, Helsinki University Central Hospital, Helsinki.
France: C. Katlama#, Hôpital de la Pitié-Salpétière, Paris; J.-P. Viard, Hôpital Necker-Enfants Malades, Paris; P.-M. Girard, Hospital Saint-Antoine, Paris; J. M. Livrozet, Hôpital Edouard Herriot, Lyon; P. Vanhems, University Claude Bernard, Lyon; C. Pradier, Hôpital de l’Archet, Nice; F. Dabis, D. Neau, Unité INSERM, Bordeaux.
Germany: J. Rockstroh#, Universitäts Klinik Bonn; R. Schmidt, Medizinische Hochschule Hannover, Hannover; J. van Lunzen, O. Degen, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Infectious Diseases Unit, Hamburg; H. J. Stellbrink, IPM Study Center, Hamburg; S. Staszewski, University Hospital Frankfurt, Frankfurt; M. Bickel, Medizinische Poliklinik, Munich; G. Fätkenheuer, Universität Köln, Cologne.
Greece: J. Kosmidis#, P. Gargalianos, G. Xylomenos, J. Perdios, Athens General Hospital, Athens; G. Panos, A. Filandras, E. Karabatsaki, 1st IKA Hospital, Athens; H. Sambatakou, Ippokration Genereal Hospital, Athens.
Hungary: D. Banhegyi#, Szent Lásló Hospital, Budapest.
Ireland: F. Mulcahy#, St. James’s Hospital, Dublin.
Israel: I. Yust#, D. Turner, M. Burke, Ichilov Hospital, Tel Aviv; S. Pollack, G. Hassoun, Rambam Medical Center, Haifa; S. Maayan, Hadassah University Hospital, Jerusalem.
Italy: S. Vella#, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome; R. Esposito, I. Mazeu, C. Mussini, Università Modena, Modena; C. Arici, Ospedale Riuniti, Bergamo; R. Pristera, Ospedale Generale Regionale, Bolzano; F. Mazzotta, A. Gabbuti, Ospedale Sante Maria Annunziata, Firenze; V. Vullo, M. Lichtner, University di Roma la Sapienza, Rome; A. Chirianni, E. Montesarchio, M. Gargiulo, Presidio Ospedaliero AD Cotugno, Monaldi Hospital, Napoli; G. Antonucci, A. Testa, P. Narciso, C. Vlassi, M. Zaccarelli, Istituto Nazionale Malattie Infettive Lazzaro Spallanzani, Rome; A. Lazzarin, A. Castagna, N. Gianotti, Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan; M. Galli, A. Ridolfo, Ospedale Luigi Sacco, Milan; A. d’Arminio Monforte, Istituto di Malattie Infettive e Tropicali, Milan.
Latvia: B. Rozentale#, I. Zeltina, Infectology Centre of Latvia, Riga.
Lithuania: S. Chaplinskas#, Lithuanian AIDS Centre, Vilnius.
Luxembourg: R. Hemmer#, T. Staub, Centre Hospitalier, Luxembourg.
Netherlands: P. Reiss#, Academisch Medisch Centrum bij de Universiteit van Amsterdam, Amsterdam.
Norway: V. Ormaasen#, A. Maeland, J. Bruun, Ullevål Hospital, Oslo.
Poland: B. Knysz# J. Gasiorowski, Medical University, Wroclaw; A. Horban, E. Bakowska, Centrum Diagnostyki i Terapii AIDS, Warsaw; A. Grzeszczuk, R. Flisiak, Medical University, Bialystok; A. Boron-Kaczmarska, M. Pynka, M. Parczewski, Medical Univesity, Szczecin; M. Beniowski, E. Mularska, Osrodek Diagnostyki i Terapii AIDS, Chorzow; H. Trocha, Medical University, Gdansk; E. Jablonowska, E. Malolepsza, K. Wojcik, Wojewodzki Szpital Specjalistyczny, Lodz.
Portugal: F. Antunes#, M. Doroana, L. Caldeira, Hospital Santa Maria, Lisbon; K. Mansinho, Hospital de Egas Moniz, Lisbon; F. Maltez, Hospital Curry Cabral, Lisbon.
Romania: D. Duiculescu#, Spitalul Clinic Dr. Victor Babeş, Bucarest.
Russia: A. Rakhmanova#, Medical Academy Botkin Hospital, Saint Petersburg; N. Zakharova, St. Petersburg AIDS Centre, Saint Petersburg; S. Buzunova, Novgorod Centre for AIDS, Novgorod.
Serbia: D. Jevtovic#, Institute for Infectious and Tropical Diseases, Belgrade.
Slovakia: M. Mokráš#, D. Staneková, Dérer Hospital, Bratislava.
Slovenia: J. Tomazic#, University Clinical Centre Ljubljana, Ljubljana.
Spain: J. González-Lahoz#, V. Soriano, P. Labarga, J. Medrano, Hospital Carlos III, Madrid; S. Moreno, J. M. Rodriguez, Hospital Ramon y Cajal, Madrid; B. Clotet, A. Jou, R. Paredes, C. Tural, J. Puig, I. Bravo, Hospital Germans Trias i Pujol, Badalona; J. M. Gatell, J. M. Miró, Hospital Clinic i Provincial, Barcelona; P. Domingo, M. Gutierrez, G. Mateo, M. A. Sambeat, Hospital Sant Pau, Barcelona.
Sweden: A. Karlsson#, Venhaelsan-Sodersjukhuset, Stockholm; L. Flamholc, Malmö University Hospital, Malmö.
Switzerland: B. Ledergerber#, R. Weber, University Hospital, Zürich; P. Francioli, M. Cavassini, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, Lausanne; B. Hirschel, E. Boffi, Hospital Cantonal Universitaire de Geneve, Geneva; H. Furrer, Inselspital Bern, Bern; M. Battegay, L. Elzi, University Hospital Basel, Basel.
Ukraine: E. Kravchenko#, N. Chentsova, Kiev Centre for AIDS, Kiev; V. Frolov, G. Kutsyna, Luhansk State Medical University; Luhansk; S. Servitskiy, Odessa Region AIDS Center, Odessa; M. Krasnov, Kharkov State Medical University, Kharkov.
United Kingdom: S. Barton#, St. Stephen’s Clinic, Chelsea and Westminster Hospital, London; A. M. Johnson, D. Mercey, A. Phillips, M. A. Johnson, A. Mocroft, Royal Free and University College Medical School, London; M. Murphy, Medical College of Saint Bartholomew’s Hospital, London; J. Weber, G. Scullard, Imperial College School of Medicine at St. Mary’s, London; M. Fisher, Royal Sussex County Hospital, Brighton; C. Leen, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh.
(8) HivBivus (Sweden)
Central coordination: L. Morfeldt, G. Thulin, A. Sundström.
Participating physicians: B. Åkerlund (Huddinge); K. Koppel, A. Karlsson (Stockholm); L. Flamholc, C. Håkangård (Malmö).
(9) ICONA Cohort (Italy)
Board of Directors: M. Moroni (Chair), G. Angarano, A. Antinori, O. Armignacco, A. d’Arminio Monforte, F. Castelli, R. Cauda, G. Di Perri, M. Galli, R. Iardino, G. Ippolito, A. Lazzarin, C. F. Perno, F. von Schloesser, P. Viale
Scientific secretary: A d’Arminio Monforte, A. Antinori, A. Castagna, F. Ceccherini-Silberstein, A. Cozzi-Lepri, E. Girardi, S. Lo Caputo, C. Mussini, M. Puoti
ICONA steering committee: M. Andreoni, A. Ammassari, A. Antinori, A. d’Arminio Monforte, C. Balotta, P. Bonfanti, S. Bonora, M. Borderi, R. Capobianchi, A. Castagna, F. Ceccherini-Silberstein, A. Cingolani, P. Cinque, A. Cozzi-Lepri, A. De Luca, A. Di Biagio, E. Girardi, N. Gianotti, A. Gori, G. Guaraldi, G. Lapadula, M. Lichtner, S. Lo Caputo, G. Madeddu, F. Maggiolo, G. Marchetti, S. Marcotullio, L. Monno, C. Mussini, M. Puoti, E. Quiros Roldan, S. Rusconi
Statistical and monitoring team: A. Cozzi-Lepri, P. Cicconi, I. Fanti, T. Formenti, L. Galli, P. Lorenzini.
Participating physicians and centres: A. Giacometti, A. Costantini (Ancona); G. Angarano, L. Monno, C. Santoro (Bari); F. Maggiolo, C. Suardi (Bergamo); P. Viale, E. Vanino, G. Verucchi (Bologna); F. Castelli, E. Quiros Roldan, C. Minardi (Brescia); T. Quirino, C. Abeli (Busto Arsizio); P. E. Manconi, P. Piano (Cagliari); J. Vecchiet, K. Falasca (Chieti); L. Sighinolfi, D. Segala (Ferrara); F. Mazzotta, S. Lo Caputo (Firenze); G. Cassola, G. Viscoli, A. Alessandrini, R. Piscopo, G. Mazzarello (Genova); C. Mastroianni, V. Belvisi (Latina); P. Bonfanti, I. Caramma (Lecco); A. P. Castelli (Macerata); M. Galli, A. Lazzarin, G. Rizzardini, M. Puoti, A. d’Arminio Monforte, A. L. Ridolfo, R. Piolini, A. Castagna, S. Salpietro, L. Carenzi, M. C. Moioli, P. Cicconi, G. Marchetti (Milano); C. Mussini, C. Puzzolante (Modena); A. Gori, G. Lapadula (Monza); N. Abrescia, A. Chirianni, M. G. Guida, M. Onofrio (Napoli); F. Baldelli, D. Francisci (Perugia); G. Parruti, T. Ursini (Pescara); G. Magnani, M. A. Ursitti (Reggio Emilia); R. Cauda, M. Andreoni, A. Antinori, V. Vullo, A. Cingolani, A. d’Avino, A. Ammassari, L. Gallo, E. Nicastri, R. Acinapura, M. Capozzi, R. Libertone, G. Tebano (Roma); A. Cattelan (Rovigo); M. S. Mura, G. Madeddu (Sassari); P. Caramello, G. Di Perri, G. C. Orofino, S. Bonora, M. Sciandra (Torino); G. Pellizzer, V. Manfrin (Vicenza).
(10) Nice Cohort (France)
Central coordination: C. Pradier, E. Fontas, K. Dollet, C. Caissotti.
Participating physicians: P. Dellamonica, P. M. Roger, E. Bernard, E. Cua, F. De Salvador-Guillouet, J. Durant, S. Ferrando, B. Dunais, V. Mondain-Miton, I. Perbost, B. Prouvost-Keller, P. Pugliese, A. Naqvi, S. Pillet, K. Risso.
(11) Swiss HIV Cohort Study (Switzerland)
V. Aubert, J. Barth, M. Battegay, E. Bernasconi, J. Böni, H. C. Bucher, C. Burton-Jeangros, A. Calmy, M. Cavassini, M. Egger, L. Elzi, J. Fehr, J. Fellay, H. Furrer (Chairman of the Clinical and Laboratory Committee), C. A. Fux, M. Gorgievski, H. Günthard (President of the SwissHIV Cohort Study), D. Haerry (Deputy of “Positive Council”), B. Hasse, H. H. Hirsch, I. Hösli, C. Kahlert, L. Kaiser, O. Keiser, T. Klimkait, H. Kovari, B. Ledergerber, G. Martinetti, B. Martinez de Tejada, K. Metzner, N. Müller, D. Nadal, G. Pantaleo, A. Rauch (Chairman of the Scientific Board), A. Regenass, M. Rickenbach (Head of Data Center), C. Rudin (Chairman of the Mother & Child Substudy), P. Schmid, D. Schultze, F. Schöni-Affolter, J. Schüpbach, R. Speck, P. Taffé, P. Tarr, A. Telenti, A. Trkola, P. Vernazza, R. Weber, S. Yerly.
Validation Cohort: Royal Free Hospital Clinic Cohort
S. Bhagani, F. Burns, P. Byrne, A. Carroll, I. Cropley, Z. Cuthbertson, T. Drinkwater, S. Edwards, T. Fernandez, E. Garusu, A. Gonzales, D. Grover, S. Hutchinson, B. Killingley, G. Murphy, D. Ivens, M. Johnson, S. Kinloch de Loes, M. Lipman, S. Madge, N. Marshall, H. Montgomery, R. Shah, L. Swaden, M. Tyrer, M. Youle, D. Webster, A. Wright.
L. Burch, V. Cambiano, F. Lampe, F. Nakagawa, J. O’Connor, A. Phillips, C. Smith, A. Speakman.
Validation Cohort: SMART/ESPRIT
We would like to acknowledge the SMART and ESPRIT participants, the SMART study team, the ESPRIT study team, and the INSIGHT executive committee.
ESPRIT Study Group
The members of the ESPRIT and SILCAAT study groups are as follows.
Coordinating Centers: Copenhagen: B. Aagaard, E. Aragon, J. Arnaiz, L. Borup, B. Clotet, U. Dragsted, A. Fau, D. Gey, J. Grarup, U. Hengge, P. Herrero, P. Jansson, B. Jensen, K. Jensen, H. Juncher, P. Lopez, J. Lundgren, C. Matthews, D. Mollerup, M. Pearson, A. Phillips, S. Reilev, K. Tillmann, S. Varea. London: B. Angus, A. Babiker, B. Cordwell, J. Darbyshire, W. Dodds, S. Fleck, J. Horton, F. Hudson, Y. Moraes, F. Pacciarini, A. Palfreeman, N. Paton, N. Smith, F. van Hooff. Minneapolis: J. Bebchuk, G. Collins, E. Denning, A. DuChene, L. Fosdick, M. Harrison, K. Herman-Lamin, E. Krum, G. Larson, J. Neaton, R. Nelson, K. Quan, S. Quan, T. Schultz, G. Thompson, D. Wentworth, N. Wyman. Sydney: C. Carey, F. Chan, D. Cooper, B. Cordwell, D. Courtney-Rodgers, F. Drummond, S. Emery, M. Harrod, S. Jacoby, L. Kearney, M. Law, E. Lin, S. Pett, R. Robson, N. Seneviratne, M. Stewart, E. Watts. Washington: E. Finley, F. Gordin, A. Sánchez, B. Standridge, M. Vjecha.
Endpoint Review Committee: W. Belloso, R. Davey, D. Duprez, J. Gatell, J. Hoy, A. Lifson, C. Pederson, G. Perez, R. Price, R. Prineas, F. Rhame, J. Sampson, J. Worley.
Data and Safety Monitoring Board: J. Modlin, V. Beral, R. Chaisson, T. Fleming, C. Hill, K. Kim, B. Murray, B. Pick, M. Seligmann, I. Weller.
US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases: K. Cahill, L. Fox, M. Luzar, A. Martinez, L. McNay, J. Pierson, J. Tierney, S. Vogel.
International Drug Distribution (CTS, Durham, North Carolina): V. Costas, J. Eckstrand.
Specimen Repository (SAIC Frederick): S. Brown.
Clinical Sites for ESPRIT and/or SILCAAT: Argentina: L. Abusamra, E. Angel, S. Aquilia, W. Belloso, J. Benetucci, V. Bittar, E. Bogdanowicz, P. Cahn, A. Casiro, J. Contarelli, J. Corral, L. Daciuk, D. David, W. Dobrzanski, A. Duran, J. Ebenrstejin, I. Ferrari, D. Fridman, V. Galache, G. Guaragna, S. Ivalo, A. Krolewiecki, I. Lanusse, H. Laplume, M. Lasala, R. Lattes, J. Lazovski, G. Lopardo, M. Losso, L. Lourtau, S. Lupo, A. Maranzana, C. Marson, L. Massera, G. Moscatello, S. Olivia, I. Otegui, L. Palacios, A. Parlante, H. Salomon, M. Sanchez, C. Somenzini, C. Suarez, M. Tocci, J. Toibaro, C. Zala. Australia: S. Agrawal, P. Ambrose, C. Anderson, J. Anderson, D. Baker, K. Beileiter, K. Blavius, M. Bloch, M. Boyle, D. Bradford, P. Britton, P. Brown, T. Busic, A. Cain, L. Carrall, S. Carson, I. Chenoweth, J. Chuah, F. Clark, J. Clemons, K. Clezy, D. Cooper, P. Cortissos, N. Cunningham, M. Curry, L. Daly, C. D’Arcy-Evans, R. Del Rosario, S. Dinning, P. Dobson, W. Donohue, N. Doong, C. Downs, E. Edwards, S. Edwards, C. Egan, W. Ferguson, R. Finlayson, C. Forsdyke, L. Foy, T. Franic, A. Frater, M. French, D. Gleeson, J. Gold, P. Habel, K. Haig, S. Hardy, R. Holland, J. Hoy, J. Hudson, R. Hutchison, N. Hyland, R. James, C. Johnston, M. Kelly, M. King, K. Kunkel, H. Lau, J. Leamy, D. Lester, J. Leung, A. Lohmeyer, K. Lowe, K. MacRae, C. Magness, O. Martinez, H. Maruszak, N. Medland, S. Miller, J. Murray, P. Negus, R. Newman, M. Ngieng, C. Nowlan, J. Oddy, N. Orford, D. Orth, J. Patching, M. Plummer, S. Price, R. Primrose, I. Prone, H. Ree, C. Remington, R. Richardson, S. Robinson, G. Rogers, J. Roney, N. Roth, D. Russell, S. Ryan, J. Sarangapany, T. Schmidt, K. Schneider, C. Shields, C. Silberberg, D. Shaw, J. Skett, D. Smith, T. Meng Soo, D. Sowden, A. Street, B. Kiem Tee, J. L. Thomson, S. Topaz, R. Vale, C. Villella, A. Walker, A. Watson, N. Wendt, L. Williams, D. Youds. Austria: A. Aichelburg, P. Cichon, B. Gemeinhart, A. Rieger, B. Schmied, V. Touzeau-Romer, N. Vetter. Belgium: R. Colebunders, N. Clumeck, A. DeRoo, K. Kabeya, E. O’Doherty, S. de Wit. Brazil: C. De Salles Amorim, C. Basso, S. Flint, E. Kallas, G. Levi, D. Lewi, L. Pereira Jr., M. da Silva, T. Souza, A. Toscano. Canada (CIHR Canadian HIV Trials Network): J. Angel, M. Arsenault, M. Bast, B. Beckthold, P. Bouchard, I. Chabot, R. Clarke, J. Cohen, P. Coté, M. Ellis, C. Gagne, J. Gill, M. Houde, B. Johnston, N. Jubinville, C. Kato, N. Lamoureux, G. Larson, J. Latendre- Paquette, A. Lindemulder, A. McNeil, N. McFarland, J. Montaner, C. Morrisseau, R. O’Neill, G. Page, A. Piche, B. Pongracz, H. Preziosi, L. Puri, A. Rachlis, E. Ralph, I. Raymond, D. Rouleau, J. P. Routy, R. Sandre,T. Seddon, S. Shafran, C. Sikora, F. Smaill, D. Stromberg, S. Trottier, S. Walmsley, K. Weiss, K. Williams, D. Zarowny. Denmark: B. Baadegaard, Å. Bengaard Andersen, K. Boedker, P. Collins, J. Gerstoft, L. Jensen, H. Moller, P. Lehm Andersen, I. Loftheim, L. Mathiesen, H. Nielsen, N. Obel, C. Pedersen, D. Petersen, L. Pors Jensen, F. Trunk Black. France (Agence Nationale de Recherches sur le Sida et les Hépatites Virales): J. P. Aboulker, A. Aouba, M. Bensalem, H. Berthe, C. Blanc, M. Bloch, D. Bornarel, O. Bouchaud, F. Boue, E. Bouvet, C. Brancon, S. Breaud, D. Brosseau, A. Brunet, C. Capitant, C. Ceppi, C. Chakvetadze, C. Cheneau, J. M. Chennebault, P. De Truchis, A. M. Delavalle, J. F. Delfraissy, P. Dellamonica, A. M. Delavalle, C. Dumont, N. Edeb, G. Fabre, S. Ferrando, A. Foltzer, V. Foubert, J. A. Gastaut, J. Gerbe, P. M. Girard, C. Goujard, B. Hoen, P. Honore, H. Hue,T. Hynh, C. Jung, S. Kahi, C. Katlama, J. M. Lang, V. Le Baut, B. Lefebvre, N. Leturque, Y. Lévy, J. Loison, G. Maddi, A. Maignan, C. Majerholc, C. de Boever, J. L. Meynard, C. Michelet, C. Michon, M. Mole, E. Netzer, G. Pialoux, I. Poizot-Martin, F. Raffi, M. Ratajczak, I. Ravaux, J. Reynes, D. Salmon-Ceron, M. Sebire, A. Simon, L. Tegna, D. Tisne- Dessus, C. Tramoni, J. P. Viard, M. Vidal, C. Viet-Peaucelle, L. Weiss, A. Zeng, D. Zucman. Germany: A. Adam, K. Arastéh, G. Behrens, F. Bergmann, M. Bickel, D. Bittner, J. Bogner, N. Brockmeyer, N. Darrelmann, M. Deja, M. Doerler, S. Esser, G. Faetkenheuer, S. Fenske, S. Gajetzki, D. Gey, F. Goebel, D. Gorriahn, E. Harrer, T. Harrer, H. Hartl, M. Hartmann, S. Heesch, W. Jakob, H. Jäger, H. Klinker, G. Kremer, C. Ludwig, K. Mantzsch, S. Mauss, A. Meurer, A. Niedermeier, N. Pittack, A. Plettenberg, A. Potthoff, M. Probst, M. Rittweger, J. Rockstroh, B. Ross, J. Rotty, E. Rund, T. Ruzicka, R. T. Schmidt, G. Schmutz, E. Schnaitmann, D. Schuster, T. Sehr, B. Spaeth, S. Staszewski, H. J. Stellbrink, C. Stephan, T. Stockey, A. Stoehr, K. Tillmann, A. Trein, T. Vaeth, M. Vogel, J. Wasmuth, C. Wengenroth, R. Winzer, E. Wolf. Ireland: F. Mulcahy, D. L. Reidy. Israel: Y. Cohen, G. Drora, I. Eliezer, O. Godo, E. Kedem, E. Magen, M. Mamorsky, S. Pollack, Z. Sthoeger, H. Vered, I. Yust. Italy: F. Aiuti, M. Bechi, A. Bergamasco, D. Bertelli, R. Bruno, L. Butini, M. Cagliuso, G. Carosi, S. Casari, V. Chrysoula, G. Cologni, V. Conti, A. Costantini, A. Corpolongo, G. D’Offizi, F. Gaiottino, M. Di Pietro, R. Esposito, G. Filice, M. Francesco, E. Gianelli, C. Graziella, L. Magenta, F. Martellotta, R. Maserati, F. Mazzotta, G. Murdaca, G. Nardini, S. Nozza, F. Puppo, M. Pogliaghi, D. Ripamonti, C. Ronchetti, S. Rusconi, V. Rusconi, P. Sacchi, N. Silvia, F. Suter, G. Tambussi, A. Uglietti, M. Vechi, B. Vergani, F. Vichi, P. Vitiello. Japan: A. Iwamoto, Y. Kikuchi, N. Miyazaki, M. Mori, T. Nakamura, T. Odawara, S. Oka, T. Shirasaka, M. Tabata, M. Takano, C. Ueta, D. Watanabe, Y. Yamamoto. Morocco: I. Erradey, H. Himmich, K. Marhoum El Filali. The Netherlands: W. Blok, R. van Boxtel, K. Brinkman H Doevelaar, A. van Eeden, M. Grijsen, M. Groot, J. Juttmann, M. Kuipers, S. Ligthart, P. van der Meulen, J. Lange, N. Langebeek, S. Ligthart, P. Reiss, C. Richter, M. Schoemaker, L. Schrijnders-Gudde, E. Septer-Bijleveld, H. Sprenger, J. Vermeulen, R. ten Kate, B. van de Ven. Norway: J. Bruun, D. Kvale, A. Maeland. Poland: E. Bakowska, M. Beniowski, A. Boron-Kaczmarska, J. Gasiorowski, A. Horban, M. Inglot, B. Knysz, E. Mularska, M. Parczewski, M. Pynka, W. Rymer, A. Szymczak. Portugal: M. Aldir, F. Antunes, C. Baptista, J. da Conceicao Vera, M. Doroana, K. Mansinho, C. Raquel A dos Santos, E. Valadas, I. Vaz Pinto. Singapore: E. Chia, E. Foo, F. Karim, P. L. Lim, A. Panchalingam, N. Paton, A. Quek. Spain: R. Alcázar- Caballero, E. Aragon, J. Arnaiz, J. Arribas, J. Arrizabalaga, X. de Barron, F. Blanco, E. Bouza, I. Bravo, S. Calvo, L. Carbonero, I. Carpena, M. Castro, B. Clotet, L. Cortes, M. del Toro, P. Domingo, M. Elias, J. Espinosa, V. Estrada, E. Fernandez-Cruz, P. Fernández, H. Freud, M. Fuster, A. Garcia, G. Garcia, R. Garrido, J. Gatell, P. Gijón, J. Gonzalez-García, I. Gil, A. González, J. González-Lahoz, P. López Grosso, M. Gutierrez, E. Guzmán, J. Iribarren, M. Jiménez, A. Jou, J. Juega, J. Lopez, P. Lopez, F. Lozano, L. Martín-Carbonero, R. Mata, G. Mateo, A. Menasalvas, C. Mirelles, J. de Miguel Prieto, M. Montes, A. Moreno, J. Moreno, V. Moreno, R. Muñoz, A. Ocampo, E. Ortega, L. Ortiz, B. Padilla, A. Parras, A. Paster, J. Pedreira, J. Peña, R. Perea, B. Portas, J. Puig, F. Pulido, M. Rebollar, J. de Rivera, V. Roca, F. Rodríguez- Arrondo, R. Rubio, J. Santos, J. Sanz, G. Sebastian, M. Segovia, V. Soriano, L. Tamargo, S. Varea, P. Viciana, M. von Wichmann. Sweden: G. Bratt, A. Hollander, P. Olov Pehrson, I. Petz, E. Sandstrom, A. Sönnerborg. Switzerland: E. Bernasconi, V. Gurtner. Thailand: U. Ampunpong, C. Auchieng, C. Bowonwatanuwong, P. Chanchai, P. Chetchotisakd, T. Chuenyan, C. Duncombe, M. Horsakulthai, P. Kantipong, K. Laohajinda, P. Phanuphak, V. Pongsurachet, S. Pradapmook, K. Ruxruntham, S. Seekaew, A. Sonjai, S. Suwanagool, W. Techasathit, S. Ubolyam, J. Wankoon. United Kingdom: I. Alexander, D. Dockrell, P. Easterbrook, B. Edwards, E. Evans, M. Fisher, R. Fox, B. Gazzard, G. Gilleran, J. Hand, L. Heald, C. Higgs, S. Jebakumar, I. Jendrulek, M. Johnson, S. Johnson, F. Karim, G. Kinghorn, K. Kuldanek, C. Leen, R. Maw, S. McKernan, L. McLean, S. Morris, M. Murphy, S. O’Farrell, E. Ong, B. Peters, C. Stroud, M. Wansbrough-Jones, J. Weber, D. White, I. Williams, M. Wiselka, T. Yee. United States: S. Adams, D. Allegra, L. Andrews, B. Aneja, G. Anstead, R. Arduino, R. Artz, J. Bailowitz, S. Banks, J. Baxter, J. Baum, D. Benator, D. Black, D. Boh, T. Bonam, M. Brito, J. Brockelman, S. Brown, V. Bruzzese, A. Burnside Jr., V. Cafaro, K. Casey, L. Cason, G. Childress, C. L. Clark, D. Clifford, M. Climo, D. Cohn, P. Couey, H. Cuervo, R. Davey Jr., S. Deeks, M. Dennis, M. Diaz-Linares, D. Dickerson, M. Diez, J. Di Puppo, P. Dodson, D. Dupre, R. Elion, K. Elliott, W. El-Sadr, M. Estes, J. Fabre, M. Farrough, J. Flamm, S. Follansbee, C. Foster, C. Frank, J. Franz, G. Frechette, G. Freidland, J. Frische, L. Fuentes, C. Funk, C. Geisler, K. Genther, M. Giles, M. Goetz, M. Gonzalez, C. Graeber, F. Graziano, D. Grice, B. Hahn, C. Hamilton, S. Hassler, A. Henson, S. Hopper, M. John, L. Johnson, M. Johnson, R. Johnson, R. Jones, J. Kahn, M. Kelly, N. Klimas, M. Kolber, S. Koletar, A. Labriola, R. Larsen, F. Lasseter, M. Lederman, T. Ling, T. Lusch, R. MacArthur, C. Machado, L. Makohon, J. Mandelke, S. Mannheimer, N. Markowitz, M. Martínez, N. Martinez, M. Mass, H. Masur, D. McGregor, D. McIntyre, J. McKee, D. McMullen, M. Mettinger, S. Middleton, J. Mieras, D. Mildvan, P. Miller, T. Miller, V. Mitchell, R. Mitsuyasu, A. Moanna, C. Mogridge, F. Moran, R. Murphy, D. Mushatt, R. Nahass, D. Nixon, S. O’Brien, J. Ojeda, P. Okhuysen, M. Olson, J. Osterberger, W. Owen, Sr. S Pablovich, S. Patel, G. Perez, G. Pierone Jr., R. Poblete, A. Potter, E. Preston, C. Rappoport, N. Regevik, M. Reyelt, F. Rhame, L. Riney, M. Rodriguez-Barradas, M. Rodriguez, M. Rodriguez, J. Rodriguez, R. Roland, C. Rosmarin-DeStefano, W. Rossen, J. Rouff, M. Saag, J. Sampson, S. Santiago, J. Sarria, S. Wirtz, U. Schmidt, C. Scott, A. Sheridan, A. Shin, S. Shrader, G. Simon, D. Slowinski, K. Smith, J. Spotkov, C. Sprague, D. States, C. Suh, J. Sullivan, K. Summers, B. Sweeton, V. Tan, T. Tanner, E. Tedaldi, Z. Temesgen, D. Thomas, M. Thompson, C. Tobin, N. Toro, W. Towner, K. Upton, J. Uy, S. Valenti, C. van der Horst, J. Vita, J. Voell, J. Walker, T. Walton, K. Wason, V. Watson, A. Wellons, J. Weise, M. White, T. Whitman, B. Williams, N. Williams, J. Windham, M. Witt, K. Workowski, G. Wortmann, T. Wright, C. Zelasky, B. Zwickl.
SMART Study Group
The members of the SMART study group are as follows.
Community Programs for Clinical Research on AIDS Chair’s Office and Operations Center: F. Gordin (group leader), E. Finley, D. Dietz, C. Chesson, M. Vjecha, B. Standridge, B. Schmetter, L. Grue, M. Willoughby, A. Demers.
Regional Coordinating Centers: Copenhagen: J. D. Lundgren, A. Phillips, U. B. Dragsted, K. B. Jensen, A. Fau, L. Borup, M. Pearson, P. O. Jansson, B. G. Jensen, T. L. Benfield; London—J. H. Darbyshire, A. G. Babiker, A. J. Palfreeman, S. L. Fleck, Y. Collaco-Moraes, B. Cordwell, W. Dodds, F. van Hooff, L. Wyzydrag; Sydney—D. A. Cooper, S. Emery, F. M. Drummond, S. A. Connor, C. S. Satchell, S. Gunn, S. Oka, M. A. Delfino, K. Merlin, C. McGinley.
Statistical and Data Management Center: Minneapolis—J. D. Neaton, G. Bartsch, A. DuChene, M. George, B. Grund, M. Harrison, C. Hogan (deceased), E. Krum, G. Larson, C. Miller, R. Nelson, J. Neuhaus, M. P. Roediger, T. Schultz, L. Thackeray.
Electrocardiography Reading Center: R. Prineas, C. Campbell.
End Point Review Committee: G. Perez (cochair), A. Lifson (cochair), D. Duprez, J. Hoy, C. Lahart, D. Perlman, R. Price, R. Prineas, F. Rhame, J. Sampson, J. Worley.
US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Data and Safety Monitoring Board: M. Rein (chair), R. DerSimonian (executive secretary), B. A. Brody, E. S. Daar, N. N. Dubler, T. R. Fleming, D. J. Freeman, J. P. Kahn, K. M. Kim, G. Medoff, J. F. Modlin, R. Moellering Jr., B. E. Murray, B. Pick, M. L. Robb, D. O. Scharfstein, J. Sugarman, A. Tsiatis, C. Tuazon, L. Zoloth.
US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases: K. Klingman, S. Lehrman.
SMART Clinical Site Investigators (numbers of enrolled patients are in parentheses): Argentina (147): J. Lazovski, W. H. Belloso, M. H. Losso, J. A. Benetucci, S. Aquilia, V. Bittar, E. P. Bogdanowicz, P. E. Cahn, A. D. Casiró, I. Cassetti, J. M. Contarelli, J. A. Corral, A. Crinejo, L. Daciuk, D. O. David, G. Guaragna, M. T. Ishida, A. Krolewiecki, H. E. Laplume, M. B. Lasala, L. Lourtau, S. H. Lupo, A. Maranzana, F. Masciottra, M. Michaan, L. Ruggieri, E. Salazar, M. Sánchez, C. Somenzini; Australia (170): J. F. Hoy, G. D. Rogers, A. M. Allworth, J. S. C. Anderson, J. Armishaw, K. Barnes, A. Carr, A. Chiam, J. C. P. Chuah, M. C. Curry, R. L. Dever, W. A. Donohue, N. C. Doong, D. E. Dwyer, J. Dyer, B. Eu, V. W. Ferguson, M. A. H. French, R. J. Garsia, J. Gold, J. H. Hudson, S. Jeganathan, P. Konecny, J. Leung, C. L. McCormack, M. McMurchie, N. Medland, R. J. Moore, M. B. Moussa, D. Orth, M. Piper, T. Read, J. J. Roney, N. Roth, D. R. Shaw, J. Silvers, D. J. Smith, A. C. Street, R. J. Vale, N. A. Wendt, H. Wood, D. W. Youds, J. Zillman; Austria (16): A. Rieger, V. Tozeau, A. Aichelburg, N. Vetter; Belgium (95): N. Clumeck, S. Dewit, A. de Roo, K. Kabeya, P. Leonard, L. Lynen, M. Moutschen, E. O’Doherty; Brazil (292): L. C. Pereira Jr., T. N. L. Souza, M. Schechter, R. Zajdenverg, M. M. T. B. Almeida, F. Araujo, F. Bahia, C. Brites, M. M. Caseiro, J. Casseb, A. Etzel, G. G. Falco, E. C. J. Filho, S. R. Flint, C. R. Gonzales, J. V. R. Madruga, L. N. Passos, T. Reuter, L. C. Sidi, A. L. C. Toscano; Canada (102): D. Zarowny, E. Cherban, J. Cohen, B. Conway, C. Dufour, M. Ellis, A. Foster, D. Haase, H. Haldane, M. Houde, C. Kato, M. Klein, B. Lessard, A. Martel, C. Martel, N. McFarland, E. Paradis, A. Piche, R. Sandre, W. Schlech, S. Schmidt, F. Smaill, B. Thompson, S. Trottier, S. Vezina, S. Walmsley; Chile (49): M. J. Wolff Reyes, R. Northland; Denmark (19): L. Ostergaard, C. Pedersen, H. Nielsen, L. Hergens, I. R. Loftheim, K. B. Jensen; Estonia (5): M. Raukas, K. Zilmer; Finland (21): J. Justinen, M. Ristola; France (272): P. M. Girard, R. Landman, S. Abel, S. Abgrall, K. Amat, L. Auperin, R. Barruet, A. Benalycherif, N. Benammar, M. Bensalem, M. Bentata, J. M. Besnier, M. Blanc, O. Bouchaud, A. Cabié, P. Chavannet, J. M. Chennebault, S. Dargere, X. de la Tribonniere, T. Debord, N. Decaux, J. Delgado, M. Dupon, J. Durant, V. Frixon-Marin, C. Genet, L. Gérard, J. Gilquin, B. Hoen, V. Jeantils, H. Kouadio, P. Leclercq, J.-D. Lelièvre, Y. Levy, C. P. Michon, P. Nau, J. Pacanowski, C. Piketty, I. Poizot-Martin, I. Raymond, D. Salmon, J. L. Schmit, M. A. Serini, A. Simon, S. Tassi, F. Touam, R. Verdon, P. Weinbreck, L. Weiss, Y. Yazdanpanah, P. Yeni; Germany (215): G. Fätkenheuer, S. Staszewski, F. Bergmann, S. Bitsch, J. R. Bogner, N. Brockmeyer, S. Esser, F. D. Goebel, M. Hartmann, H. Klinker, C. Lehmann, T. Lennemann, A. Plettenberg, A. Potthof, J. Rockstroh, B. Ross, A. Stoehr, J. C. Wasmuth, K. Wiedemeyer, R. Winzer; Greece (95): A. Hatzakis, G. Touloumi, A. Antoniadou, G. L. Daikos, A. Dimitrakaki, P. Gargalianos-Kakolyris, M. Giannaris, A. Karafoulidou, A. Katsambas, O. Katsarou, A. N. Kontos, T. Kordossis, M. K. Lazanas, P. Panagopoulos, G. Panos, V. Paparizos, V. Papastamopoulos, G. Petrikkos, H. Sambatakou, A. Skoutelis, N. Tsogas, G. Xylomenos; Ireland (2): C. J. Bergin, B. Mooka; Israel (13): S. Pollack, M. G. Mamorksy, N. Agmon-Levin, R. Karplus, E. Kedem, S. Maayan, E. Shahar, Z. Sthoeger, D. Turner, I. Yust; Italy (88): G. Tambussi, V. Rusconi, C. Abeli, M. Bechi, A. Biglino, S. Bonora, L. Butini, G. Carosi, S. Casari, A. Corpolongo, M. De Gioanni, G. Di Perri, M. Di Pietro, G. D’Offizi, R. Esposito, F. Mazzotta, M. Montroni, G. Nardini, S. Nozza, T. Quirino, E. Raise; Japan (15): M. Honda, M. Ishisaka; Lithuania (4): S. Caplinskas, V. Uzdaviniene; Luxembourg (3): J. C. Schmit, T. Staub; Morocco (42): H. Himmich, K. Marhoum El Filali; New Zealand (7): G. D. Mills, T. Blackmore, J. A. Masters, J. Morgan, A. Pithie; Norway (17): J. Brunn, V. Ormasssen; Peru (57): A. La Rosa, O. Guerra, M. Espichan, L. Gutierrez, F. Mendo, R. Salazar; Poland (54): B. Knytz, A. Horban, E. Bakowska, M. Beniowski, J. Gasiorowski, J. Kwiatkowski; Portugal (73): F. Antunes, R. S. Castro, M. Doroana, A. Horta, K. Mansinho, A. C. Miranda, I. V. Pinto, E. Valadas, J. Vera; Russia (17): A. Rakhmanova, E. Vinogradova, A. Yakovlev, N. Zakharova; South Africa (26): R. Wood, C. Orrel; Spain (100): J. Gatell, J. A. Arnaiz, R. Carrillo, B. Clotet, D. Dalmau, A. González, Q. Jordano, A. Jou, H. Knobel, M. Larrousse, R. Mata, J. S. Moreno, E. Oretaga, J. N. Pena, F. Pulido, R. Rubio, J. Sanz, P. Viciana; Switzerland (91): B. Hirschel, R. Spycher, M. Battegay, E. Bernasconi, S. Bottone, M. Cavassini, A. Christen, C. Franc, H. J. Furrer, A. Gayet-Ageron, D. Genné, S. Hochstrasser, L. Magenta, C. Moens, N. Müller, R. Nüesch; Thailand (159): P. Phanuphak, K. Ruxrungtham, W. Pumpradit, P. Chetchotisakd, S. Dangthongdee, S. Kiertiburanakul, V. Klinbuayaem, P. Mootsikapun, S. Nonenoy, B. Piyavong, W. Prasithsirikul, P. Raksakulkarn; United Kingdom (214): B. G. Gazzard, J. G. Ainsworth, J. Anderson, B. J. Angus, T. J. Barber, M. G. Brook, C. D. Care, D. R. Chadwick, M. Chikohora, D. R. Churchill, D. Cornforth, D. H. Dockrell, P. J. Easterbrook, P. A. Fox, R. Fox, P. A. Gomez, M. M. Gompels, G. M. Harris, S. Herman, A. G. A. Jackson, S. P. R. Jebakumar, M. A. Johnson, G. R. Kinghorn, K. A. Kuldanek, N. Larbalestier, C. Leen, M. Lumsden, T. Maher, J. Mantell, R. Maw, S. McKernan, L. McLean, S. Morris, L. Muromba, C. M. Orkin, A. J. Palfreeman, B. S. Peters, T. E. A. Peto, S. D. Portsmouth, S. Rajamanoharan, A. Ronan, A. Schwenk, M. A. Slinn, C. J. Stroud, R. C. Thomas, M. H. Wansbrough-Jones, H. J. Whiles, D. J. White, E. Williams, I. G. Williams, M. Youle; United States (2,989): D. I. Abrams, E. A. Acosta, S. Adams, A. Adamski, L. Andrews, D. Antoniskis, D. R. Aragon, R. Arduino, R. Artz, J. Bailowitz, B. J. Barnett, C. Baroni, M. Barron, J. D. Baxter, D. Beers, M. Beilke, D. Bemenderfer, A. Bernard, C. L. Besch, M. T. Bessesen, J. T. Bethel, S. Blue, J. D. Blum, S. Boarden, R. K. Bolan, J. B. Borgman, I. Brar, B. K. Braxton, U. F. Bredeek, R. Brennan, D. E. Britt, J. Brockelman, S. Brown, V. Bruzzese, D. Bulgin-Coleman, D. E. Bullock, V. Cafaro, B. Campbell, S. Caras, J. Carroll, K. K. Casey, F. Chiang, G. Childress, R. B. Cindrich, C. Clark, M. Climo, C. Cohen, J. Coley, D. V. Condoluci, R. Contreras, J. Corser, J. Cozzolino, L. R. Crane, L. Daley, D. Dandridge, V. D’Antuono, J. G. Darcourt Rizo Patron, J. A. DeHovitz, E. DeJesus, J. DesJardin, M. Diaz-Linares, C. Dietrich, P. Dodson, E. Dolce, K. Elliott, D. Erickson, M. Estes, L. L. Faber, J. Falbo, M. J. Farrough, C. F. Farthing, P. Ferrell-Gonzalez, H. Flynn, C. Frank, M. Frank, K. F. Freeman, N. French, G. Friedland, N. Fujita, L. Gahagan, K. Genther, I. Gilson, M. B. Goetz, E. Goodwin, F. Graziano, C. K. Guity, P. Gulick, E. R. Gunderson, C. M. Hale, K. Hannah, H. Henderson, K. Hennessey, W. K. Henry, D. T. Higgins, S. L. Hodder, H. W. Horowitz, M. Howe-Pittman, J. Hubbard, R. Hudson, H. Hunter, C. Hutelmyer, M. T. Insignares, L. Jackson, L. Jenny, M. John, D. L. Johnson, G. Johnson, J. Johnson, L. Johnson, J. Kaatz, J. Kaczmarski, S. Kagan, C. Kantor, T. Kempner, K. Kieckhaus, N. Kimmel, B. M. Klaus, N. Klimas, J. R. Koeppe, J. Koirala, J. Kopka, J. R. Kostman, M. J. Kozal, A. Kumar, A. Labriola, H. Lampiris, C. Lamprecht, K. M. Lattanzi, J. Lee, J. Leggett, C. Long, A. Loquere, K. Loveless, C. J. Lucasti, R. Luskin-Hawk, M. MacVeigh, L. H. Makohon, S. Mannheimer, N. P. Markowitz, C. Marks, N. Martinez, C. Martorell, E. McFeaters, B. McGee, D. M. McIntyre, J. McKee, E. McManus, L. G. Melecio, D. Melton, S. Mercado, E. Merrifield, J. A. Mieras, M. Mogyoros, F. M. Moran, K. Murphy, D. Mushatt, S. Mutic, I. Nadeem, J. P. Nadler, R. Nahass, D. Nixon, S. O’Brien, A. Ognjan, M. O’Hearn, K. O’Keefe, P. C. Okhuysen, E. Oldfield, D. Olson, R. Orenstein, R. Ortiz, J. Osterberger, W. Owen, F. Parpart, V. Pastore-Lange, S. Paul, A. Pavlatos, D. D. Pearce, R. Pelz, G. Perez, S. Peterson, G. Pierone Jr., D. Pitrak, S. L. Powers, H. C. Pujet, J. W. Raaum, J. Ravishankar, J. Reeder, N. Regevik, N. A. Reilly, C. Reyelt, J. Riddell 4th, D. Rimland, M. L. Robinson, A. E. Rodriguez, M. C. Rodriguez-Barradas, V. Rodriguez Derouen, R. Roland, C. Rosmarin, W. L. Rossen, J. R. Rouff, J. H. Sampson, M. Sands, C. Savini, S. Schrader, M. M. Schulte, C. Scott, R. Scott, H. Seedhom, M. Sension, A. Sheble-Hall, A. Sheridan, J. Shuter, L. N. Slater, R. Slotten, D. Slowinski, M. Smith, S. Snap, D. M. States, M. Stewart, G. Stringer, J. Sullivan, K. K. Summers, K. Swanson, I. B. Sweeton, S. Szabo, E. M. Tedaldi, E. E. Telzak, Z. Temesgen, D. Thomas, M. A. Thompson, S. Thompson, C. Ting Hong Bong, C. Tobin, J. Uy, A. Vaccaro, L. M. Vasco, I. Vecino, G. K. Verlinghieri, F. Visnegarwala, B. H. Wade, V. Watson, S. E. Weis, J. A. Weise, S. Weissman, A. M. Wilkin, L. Williams, J. H. Witter, L. Wojtusic, T. J. Wright, V. Yeh, B. Young, C. Zeana, J. Zeh; Uruguay (3): E. Savio, M. Vacarezza.
Conceived and designed the experiments: AM JDL OK LR. Performed the experiments: AM JDL OK LR. Analyzed the data: AM. Enrolled patients: ML PR OK CS DW JN CAF OM PM MAJ. Wrote the first draft of the manuscript: AM JDL LR. Wrote the paper: AM JDL MR ML PR OK CS DW JN CAF OM PM MAJ LR. Agree with manuscript results and conclusions: AM JDL MR ML PR OK CS DW JN CAF OM PM MAJ LR. All authors have read, and confirm that they meet, ICMJE criteria for authorship.
- 1. May M, Gompels M, Delpech V, Porter K, Post F, et al. (2011) Impact of late diagnosis and treatment on life expectancy in people with HIV-1: UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (UK CHIC) Study. BMJ 343: d6016. pmid:21990260
- 2. van Sighem AI, Gras LA, Reiss P, Brinkman K, de Wolf F, et al. (2010) Life expectancy of recently diagnosed asymptomatic HIV-infected patients approaches that of uninfected individuals. AIDS 24: 1527–1535. pmid:20467289
- 3. Mocroft A, Vella S, Benfield TL, Chiesi A, Miller V, et al. (1998) Changing patterns of mortality across Europe in patients infected with HIV-1. EuroSIDA Study Group. Lancet 352: 1725–1730. pmid:9848347
- 4. Jotwani V, Li Y, Grunfeld C, Choi AI, Shlipak MG (2012) Risk factors for ESRD in HIV-infected individuals: traditional and HIV-related factors. Am J Kidney Dis 59: 628–635. pmid:22206742
- 5. McAlister FA, Ezekowitz J, Tonelli M, Armstrong PW (2004) Renal insufficiency and heart failure: prognostic and therapeutic implications from a prospective cohort study. Circulation 109: 1004–1009. pmid:14769700
- 6. Gupta SK, Mamlin BW, Johnson CS, Dollins MD, Topf JM, et al. (2004) Prevalence of proteinuria and the development of chronic kidney disease in HIV-infected patients. Clin Nephrol 61: 1–6. pmid:14964451
- 7. Szczech LA, Gange SJ, van der HC, Bartlett JA, Young M, et al. (2002) Predictors of proteinuria and renal failure among women with HIV infection. Kidney Int 61: 195–202. pmid:11786101
- 8. Lucas GM, Lau B, Atta MG, Fine DM, Keruly J, et al. (2008) Chronic kidney disease incidence, and progression to end-stage renal disease, in HIV-infected individuals: a tale of two races. J Infect Dis 197: 1548–1557. pmid:18422458
- 9. Mocroft A, Kirk O, Reiss P, de Wit S, Sedlacek D, et al. (2010) Estimated glomerular filtration rate, chronic kidney disease and antiretroviral drug use in HIV-positive patients. AIDS 24: 1667–1678. pmid:20523203
- 10. Flandre P, Pugliese P, Cuzin L, Bagnis CI, Tack I, et al. (2011) Risk factors of chronic kidney disease in HIV-infected patients. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol 6: 1700–1707. pmid:21566114
- 11. Ryom L, Mocroft A, Kirk O, Worm SW, Kamara DA, et al. (2013) Association between antiretroviral exposure and renal impairment among HIV-positive persons with normal baseline renal function: the D:A:D Study. J Infect Dis 207: 1359–1369. pmid:23382571
- 12. Scherzer R, Estrella M, Li Y, Choi AI, Deeks SG, et al. (2012) Association of tenofovir exposure with kidney disease risk in HIV infection. AIDS 26: 867–875. pmid:22313955
- 13. Ibrahim F, Hamzah L, Jones R, Nitsch D, Sabin C, et al. (2011) Baseline renal function as predictor of mortality and renal disease progression in HIV infected patients [abstract]. Abstract 836. 18th Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections; 27 Feb–2 Mar 2011; Boston, Massachusetts, US.
- 14. Lee M, Saver JL, Chang KH, Liao HW, Chang SC, et al. (2010) Low glomerular filtration rate and risk of stroke: meta-analysis. BMJ 341: c4249. pmid:20884696
- 15. Mocroft A, Ryom L, Begovac J, Monforte AD, Vassilenko A, et al. (2014) Deteriorating renal function and clinical outcomes in HIV-positive persons. AIDS 28: 727–737. pmid:24983543
- 16. Thakkinstian A, Ingsathit A, Chaiprasert A, Rattanasiri S, Sangthawan P, et al. (2011) A simplified clinical prediction score of chronic kidney disease: a cross-sectional-survey study. BMC Nephrol 12: 45. pmid:21943205
- 17. Chien KL, Lin HJ, Lee BC, Hsu HC, Lee YT, et al. (2010) A prediction model for the risk of incident chronic kidney disease. Am J Med 123: 836–846. pmid:20800153
- 18. Ando M, Yanagisawa N, Ajisawa A, Tsuchiya K, Nitta K (2011) A simple model for predicting incidence of chronic kidney disease in HIV-infected patients. Clin Exp Nephrol 15: 242–247. pmid:21246239
- 19. Scherzer R, Gandhi M, Estrella MM, Tien PC, Deeks SG, et al. (2014) A chronic kidney disease risk score to determine tenofovir safety in a prospective cohort of HIV-positive male veterans. AIDS 28: 1289–1295. pmid:24922479
- 20. Collins GS, Omar O, Shanyinde M, Yu LM (2013) A systematic review finds prediction models for chronic kidney disease were poorly reported and often developed using inappropriate methods. J Clin Epidemiol 66: 268–277. pmid:23116690
- 21. Friis-Moller N, Weber R, Reiss P, Thiebaut R, Kirk O, et al. (2003) Cardiovascular disease risk factors in HIV patients—association with antiretroviral therapy. Results from the DAD study. AIDS 17: 1179–1193. pmid:12819520
- 22. Cockcroft DW, Gault MH (1976) Prediction of creatinine clearance from serum creatinine. Nephron 16: 31–41. pmid:1244564
- 23. Gupta SK, Eustace JA, Winston JA, Boydstun II, Ahuja TS, et al. (2005) Guidelines for the management of chronic kidney disease in HIV-infected patients: recommendations of the HIV Medicine Association of the Infectious Diseases Society of America. Clin Infect Dis 40: 1559–1585. pmid:15889353
- 24. Ryom L, Mocroft A, Lundgren JD (2014) Antiretroviral therapy, immune suppression and renal impairment in HIV-positive persons. Curr Opin HIV AIDS 9: 41–47. pmid:24225381
- 25. ) Manual of operations: MOOP—Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs, version 1.4. Available: http://www.cphiv.dk/Portals/0/files/Study%20documents/DAD_MOOP_revised2013.pdf. Accessed 5 March 2015.
- 26. Sabin CA, Smith CJ, Youle M, Lampe FC, Bell DR, et al. (2006) Deaths in the era of HAART: contribution of late presentation, treatment exposure, resistance and abnormal laboratory markers. AIDS 20: 67–71. pmid:16327321
- 27. Abrams D, Levy Y, Losso MH, Babiker A, Collins G, et al. (2009) Interleukin-2 therapy in patients with HIV infection. N Engl J Med 361: 1548–1559. pmid:19828532
- 28. El-Sadr WM, Lundgren JD, Neaton JD, Gordin F, Abrams D, et al. (2006) CD4+ count-guided interruption of antiretroviral treatment. N Engl J Med 355: 2283–2296. pmid:17135583
- 29. Levey AS, Stevens LA, Schmid CH, Zhang YL, Castro AF 3rd, et al. (2009) A new equation to estimate glomerular filtration rate. Ann Intern Med 150: 604–612. pmid:19414839
- 30. Ryom L, Mocroft A, Kirk O, Ross M, Reiss P, et al. (2014) Predictors of advanced chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease in HIV-positive persons. AIDS 28: 187–199. pmid:24361680
- 31. de Boer IH (2012) Chronic kidney disease—a challenge for all ages. JAMA 308: 2401–2402. pmid:23111858
- 32. Stohr W, Reid A, Walker AS, Ssali F, Munderi P, et al. (2011) Glomerular dysfunction and associated risk factors over 4–5 years following antiretroviral therapy initiation in Africa. Antivir Ther 16: 1011–1020. pmid:22024517
- 33. Mocroft A, Ryom L, Reiss P, Furrer H, d’Arminio MA, et al. (2014) A comparison of estimated glomerular filtration rates using Cockcroft-Gault and the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration estimating equations in HIV infection. HIV Med 15: 144–152. pmid:24118916
- 34. World Health Organization (2013) Consolidated guidelines on the use of antiretroviral drugs for treating and preventing HIV infection. Recommendations for a public health approach. Geneva: World Health Organization.